Lipid biomarkers for stable and unstable heart disease

ABSTRACT

The present invention relates generally to the field of diagnostic and prognostic assays for heart disease. More particular, the present invention provides an assay for diagnosing the presence or extent of development of heart disease or its classification or state thereof. The assay of the present invention is also useful in the stratification of a subject with respect to a risk of developing heart disease. The assay of the present invention is also capable of integration into pathology architecture to provide a diagnostic and reporting system.

FIELD

The present invention relates generally to the field of diagnostic and prognostic assays for heart disease. More particularly, the present invention provides an assay for diagnosing the presence or extent of development of heart disease or its classification or state thereof. The assay of the present invention is also useful in the stratification of a subject with respect to a risk of developing heart disease. The assay of the present invention is also capable of integration into pathology architecture to provide a diagnostic and reporting system.

BACKGROUND

Bibliographic details of references provided in the subject specification are listed at the end of the specification.

Reference to any prior art is not, and should not be taken as an acknowledgment or any form of suggestion that this prior art forms part of the common general knowledge in any country.

Atherosclerosis (AS) is the single most common cause of heart disease and is the major contributor to the development of angina, heart attacks and stroke. Despite the introduction of statin-based therapy to reduce levels of plasma low density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, the epidemic of heart disease is claiming tens of thousands of lives each year, particularly in Western countries and costs the health system over billions of dollars per year (National Health Survey: Summary of Results, Australia, 2004-05, cat. no. 4364.0, ABS, Canberra, Vol: Australian Bureau of Statistics, 2006, (AIHW) AIoHaW. Health system expenditure on disease and injury in Australia, 2000-01. Health and Welfare Expenditure Series No. 19, 2004; HWE 26).

Atherosclerosis begins to develop early in life and progresses with time. However, the rate of progression is, to a large extent, unpredictable and differs markedly amongst seemingly comparable individuals. One of the early events leading to Atherosclerosis is the formation of “fatty streaks”, deposits of monocytes, macrophages, foam cells and lipids within the intima of the arterial wall. Fatty streaks exist in most adults and can remain as fatty streaks for years or decades, having little or no adverse clinical effects. Some, but not all, fatty steaks progress into fibriolipid plaques which are distinguished by the presence of smooth muscle cells and increased extracellular fibres within the intima. Cell death within the plaque leads to the formation of a necrotic core, the accumulation of extracellular material and the formation of the complex plaque. At this stage, the plaque may severely restrict blood flow leading to a range of clinical complications; however, many individuals will be unaware of the problem and show no symptoms.

Complex plaques can become unstable (a “vulnerable” plaque) as a result of the thinning of the smooth muscle cell layer over the plaque. Unstable plaques may rupture leading to thrombosis, myocardial infarction and stroke with the associated morbidity and mortality (the “vulnerable” patient). Although plaque accumulation and development is progressive throughout life, the switch from stable to unstable plaque can occur earlier or later in the disease process. Thus a 45 year old with relatively low levels of plaque can become unstable leading to a coronary event.

Despite our detailed knowledge of plaque pathology and progression many individuals have no clinical symptoms and so are unaware of their risk. In 30 to 50% of these individuals, the first indicator of Atherosclerosis is an acute heart attack which is often fatal (Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2006 Update, Dallas Tex.: American Heart Association, 2006. Available at http://www.americanheart.org/downloadable/heart/1198257493273HS_Stats %202008.pdf)

A non-invasive assay is required to identify and monitor heart disease.

SUMMARY

Each embodiments described herein is to be applied mutatis mutandis to each any every embodiment unless specifically stated otherwise.

The present invention applies a lipidomic approach to identifying the presence, development, stage or severity of heart disease or its various manifestations.

An association is therefore identified between the level of lipidomic analytes in a subject and heart disease. The term “analyte” includes biomarker and indicator. By “heart disease” is meant an individual condition as well as a collection of conditions within the clinical spectrum of symptomatic or asymptomatic heart disease. The lipidomic biomarkers provide a range of risk indicators of the severity of disease and rate of progression and a classification of the disease such as stable or unstable in relation to plaques. This risk ranges from minor to extreme. Knowledge of the level of risk enables intervention to mitigate further development of heart disease. The ability to monitor and identify markers of heart disease including diagnosing it in asymptomatic subjects further enables decisions on the type of medical intervention required from behavioural modification and medicaments to surgical intervention. The lipidomic biomarkers are also instructive as to the level of risk for an individual developing more severe symptomology associated with heart disease. The lipidomic profile also defines a desired state of health in subjects. Hence, monitoring changing levels of lipid analytes is a useful tool in pharmacotranslational studies and clinical management of patients.

Reference to “heart disease” includes conditions such as coronary heart disease (including coronary artery disease, angina pectoris and myocardial infarction), atherosclerosis, cardiomyopathy (including that associated with arrhythmia), cardiovascular disease, ischaemic heart disease, heart failure (including cor pulmonale), hypertensive heart disease (including left ventricular hypertrophy and congestive heart failure), inflammatory heart disease (including endocarditis, inflammatory cardiomegaly and myocarditis) and valvular heart disease (including aortic valve stenosis and mitral valve prolapse). Heart disease spectrum also includes associated conditions such as aortic aneurysm, hypertension, thrombosis and pericarditis. Heart disease is a spectrum of clinical manifestations.

The present invention is predicated in part on the determination that subjects with heart disease or at risk of developing heart disease exhibit altered lipid metabolism. The levels of particular lipidomic analytes correlate with the state, stage and/or classification of heart disease and its progression in symptomatic and asymptomatic subjects. By “classification” includes identifying subjects with stable and unstable plaques and hence, individuals can be classified as vulnerable or non-vulnerable subjects. Hence, the present invention enables stratification of subjects into risk categories, treatment categories and likely progression outcomes.

Twenty-three different lipid classes and three hundred and twenty-nine lipid analytes were analysed. Ten different lipid classes comprising thirty lipid analytes were particularly useful for distinguishing between vulnerable and non-vulnerable subjects. Further, eighteen lipid classes comprising ninety-five lipid analytes were useful for distinguishing between control normal subjects and subjects with coronary artery disease. Furthermore, as summarised in Table 16, phosphatidylinositol lipids including seventeen lipid analytes in this class were on average significantly reduced in vulnerable subjects; thirteen lipid classes were reduced on average in coronary artery disease subjects and one lipid class, the diacylglycerols, was increased in coronary artery disease subjects.

The lipidomic approach uses one or more of three groups of lipid analytes:

-   -   (i) modified ceramides (modCER), modified phosphatidylcholines         (modPC) and, modified cholesterol esters (modCE) selected from         those listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes selected from the         list in Table 1; and/or     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte (modCER, modPC and/or modCE) and at least         one is a non-modified lipid analyte selected from the list in         Table 1.

The levels or ratios of levels the lipidomic analytes are determined relative to a control. The assay may also be automated or semi-automated. In particular, the levels or ratios of, levels may be used as input data for multivariate or univariate analysis leading to an algorithm which can be used to generate an index of probability of having or progressing with heart disease.

The levels of the lipid biomarkers may also be used in combination with other standard indicators of heart disease, whether biochemical markers, symptoms or electrocardial techniques.

Accordingly, one aspect of the present invention is directed to an assay to stratify a subject as a vulnerable or non-vulnerable subject with respect to plaques, the assay comprising determining the levels of a lipid analyte selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1,         and     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         wherein the level or ratio of the lipid analyte or analytes         relative to a control identifies the subject as being vulnerable         or non-vulnerable.

Yet another aspect of the present invention contemplates an assay to stratify a subject with respect to heart disease, the assay comprising determining the levels of a lipid analyte selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1,         and/or     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         wherein the level or ratio of the lipid analyte or analytes         relative to a control provides a correlation as to the presence,         state, classification or progression of heart disease.

In some embodiments, the assays comprise determining the levels of at least two lipid analytes.

Still another aspect of the present invention contemplates the use of a panel of lipid analytes selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1,         and     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         in the manufacture of an assay to identify the presence, state,         classification or progression of heart disease in a subject. In         particular embodiments, the assay is used to identify vulnerable         or non-vulnerable subjects.

Even yet another aspect of the present invention relates to a method of treatment or prophylaxis of a subject comprising assaying the subject with respect to heart disease by determining the levels of a lipid analyte selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1,         and     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         wherein the level or ratio of the lipid analyte or analytes         relative to a control provides a correlation to the presence,         state, classification or progression of heart disease and then         providing therapeutic and/or behavioural modification to the         subject.

The “stratification” is in effect a level of risk that a subject has heart disease or is developing heart disease or is likely to develop symptoms of heart disease.

The determination of the levels or ratios of the lipid biomarkers may be used in combination with other indicators of heart disease and may be used to monitor efficacy of treatment. In addition, the assay may be useful in determining the most effective therapeutic or behavioural intervention to treat heart disease in symptomatic or asymptomatic subjects.

The assay may also be used in a personalized medicine approach in the management of heart disease and/or as part of a pathology architecture platform.

The above summary is not and should not be seen in any way as an exhaustive recitation of all embodiments of the present invention.

TABLE 1 Lipid Analytes (Biomarkers) No. (#) Analyte 1 Cer 16:0 S1 Cer 17:0 (IS) 2 Cer 18:1 3 Cer 18:0 4 Cer 20:0 5 Cer 22:0 6 Cer 24:1 7 Cer 24:0 8 MHC 16:0 S2 MHC 16:0d3 (IS) 9 MHC 18:1 10 MHC 18:0 11 MHC 20:0 12 MHC 22:0 13 MHC 24:1 14 MHC 24:0 15 DHC 16:0 S3 DHC 16:0d3 (IS) 16 DHC 18:1 17 DHC 18:0 18 DHC 20:0 19 DHC 22:0 20 DHC 24:1 21 DHC 24:0 22 THC 16:0 S4 THC 17:0 (IS) 23 THC 18:1 24 THC 18:0 25 THC 20:0 26 THC 22:0 27 THC 24:1 28 THC 24:0 29 GM3 16:0 30 GM3 18:0 31 GM3 20:0 32 GM3 22:0 33 GM3 24:1 34 GM3 24:0 35 modCer 576.5/7.68 36 modCer 614.6/5.72 37 modCer 632.6/9.22 38 modCer 651.6/7.56 39 modCer 703.6/5.87 40 modCer 731.6/6.22 41 modCer 766.6/7.17 42 modCer 769.6/8.01 43 modCer 798.7/7.29 S5 Acyl Cer 17:0 18:1 (IS) 44 modCer 875.7/9.23 45 modCer 883.8/7.75 46 modCer 886.8/9.06 47 modCer 910.8/8.98 48 modCer 921.8/9.05 S6 SM 12:0 (IS) S6 SM 12:0 (IS) S6 SM 12:0 (IS) 49 SM 14:0 50 SM 15:0 51 SM 16:1 52 SM 16:0 53 SM 18:1 54 SM 18:0 55 SM 20:1 56 SM 22:1 57 SM 22:0 58 SM 24:2 59 SM 24:1 60 SM 24:0 61 PG 16:1 18:1 62 PG 16:0 18:1 S7 PG 17:0 17:0 (IS) 63 PG 18:1 18:1 64 PG 18:0 18:1 S8 BMP 14:0 14:0 (IS) 65 BMP 18:1 18:1 S9 PS 17:0/17:0 66 PS 36:2 67 PS 36:1 68 PS 38:5 69 PS 38:4 70 PS 38:3 71 PS 40:6 72 PS 40:5 73 PE 32:1 74 PE 32:0 75 PE 34:2 76 PE 34:1 S10 PE 17:0/17:0 (IS) 77 PE 36:5 78 PE 36:4 79 PE 36:3 80 PE 36:2 81 PE 36:1 82 PE 36:0 83 PE 38:6 84 PE 38:5 85 PE38:4 86 PE 38:3 87 PE 38:2 88 PE 38:1 89 PE 40:7 90 PE 40:6 91 PI 32:1 92 PI 32:0 93 PI 34:1 94 PI 34:0 95 PI 36:4 96 PI 36:3 97 PI 36:2 98 PI 36:1 99 PI 36:0 100 PI 38:6 101 PI 38:5 102 PI 38:4 103 PI 38:3 104 PI 38:2 105 PI 40:6 106 PI 40:5 107 PI 40:4 S11 LPC 13:0 (IS) 108 LPC 14:0 109 LPC 15:0 110 LPC 16:1 111 LPC 16:0 112 LPC 18:2 113 LPC 18:1 114 LPC 18:0 115 LPC 20:5 116 LPC 20:4 117 LPC 20:3 118 LPC 20:2 119 LPC 20:1 120 LPC 20:0 121 LPC 22:6 122 LPAF 16:0 123 LPAF 18:1 124 LPAF 18:0 S12 PC 13:0/13:0 S12 PC 13:0/13:0 125 PC 30:2 126 PC 32:2 127 PC 32:1 128 PC 32:0 129 PC 34:3 130 PC 34:2 131 PC 34:1 132 PC 34:0 133 PC 36:5 134 PC 36:4 135 PC 36:3 136 PC 36:2 137 PC 38:6 138 PC 38:5 139 PC 38:4 140 PC 40:7 141 PC 40:6 142 PC 40:5 S13 PC 21:0 21:0 (IS) S13 PC 21:0 21:0 (IS) S13 PC 21:0 21:0 (IS) 143 PC 44:12 144 oddPC 31:1 145 oddPC 31:0 146 oddPC 33:0 147 oddPC 33:1 148 oddPC 33:2 149 oddPC 35:4 150 oddPC 35:3 151 oddPC 35:2 152 oddPC 35:1 153 oddPC 35:0 154 oddPC 37:6 155 oddPC 37:5 156 oddPC 37:4 157 oddPC 37:3 158 oddPC 37:2 159 APC 32:1 160 APC 32:0 161 APC 34:2 162 APC 34:1 163 APC 34:0 164 APC 36:5 165 APC 36:4 166 APC 36:3 167 APC 36:2 168 APC 36:1 169 APC 36:0 170 APC 38:6 171 APC 38:5 172 APC 38:4 173 APC 38:3 174 APC 38:2 175 modPC 506.3/3.50 176 modPC 508.3/3.30 (LPAF 18:1) 177 modPC 510.3/4.00 (LPAF 18:0) 178 modPC 512.3/1.70 179 modPC 536.3/3.50 180 modPC 538.3/4.10 181 modPC 552.4/3.90 (LPC 20:0) 182 modPC 564.4/4.70 (LPAF 22:1) 183 modPC 566.4/5.10 (LPAF 22:0) 184 modPC 580.4/4.84 (LPC 22:0) 187 modPC 594.4/3.26 189 modPC 608.4/3.84 190 modPC 610.4/2.03 191 modPC 622.4/4.54 (PC 24:0) 192 modPC 633.4/4.51 193 modPC 636.4/3.37 194 modPC 645.4/4.49 195 modPC 650.4/3.24 196 modPC 650.4/4.44 197 modPC 650.4/3.94 198 modPC 664.4/4.22 199 modPC 666.4/2.99 200 modPC 678.4/4.37 201 modPC 678.4/4.94 202 modPC 678.4/5.51 (PC 28:0) 203 modPC 690.4/4.11 204 modPC 690.4/4.90 205 modPC 690.4/6.00 206 modPC 692.4/5.05 207 modPC 692.4/5.52 (APC 30:0) 208 modPC 692.4/6.10 209 modPC 694.4/6.20 210 modPC 703.5/4.09 211 modPC 704.5/3.81 212 modPC 706.5/3.79 213 modPC 720.5/4.52 214 modPC 736.5/5.38 215 modPC 743.5/5.91 217 modPC 752.5/5.58 (PC34:5) 220 modPC 772.5/5.37 221 modPC 773.6/6.47 222 modPC 788.6/5.19 223 modPC 801.6/6.70 224 modPC 816.6/5.58 225 modPC 818.6/6.10 226 mod PC 818.6/6.48 (APC 40:7) 227 modPC 828.6/6.03 228 modPC 843.6/7.10 229 modPC 866.6/7.24 230 modPC 878.6/5.98 (modPC877.6/7.1) 231 modPC 881.6/6.05 (modPC879.6/6.1) 232 COH S14 CON d7 (IS) 233 CE 14:0 234 CE 15:0 235 CE 16:2 236 CE 16:1 237 CE 16:0 238 CE 17:1 239 CE 17:0 240 CE 18:3 241 CE 18:2 242 CE 18:1 243 CE 18:0 S15 CE 18:0 d6 (IS) S15 CE 18:0 d6 (IS) S15 CE 18:0 d6 (IS) 244 CE 20:5 245 CE 20:4 246 CE 20:3 247 CE 20:2 248 CE 20:1 249 CE 22:6 250 CE 22:5 251 CE 22:4 252 CE 22:3 253 CE 22:2 254 CE 22:1 255 CE 22:0 256 CE 24:6 257 CE 24:5 258 CE 24:4 259 CE 24:3 260 CE 24:2 261 CE 24:1 262 CE 24:0 263 modCE 558.5/7.74 264 modCE 588.5/7.94 265 modCE 682.7/8.76 266 modCE 790.8/6.57 267 DG 14:0 14:0 268 DG 14:1 16:0 269 DG 14:0 16:0 S16 DG 15:0 15:0 (IS) 270 DG 14:0 18:2 271 DG 14:0 18:1 272 DG 16:0 16:0 273 DG 16:0 18:2 274 DG 16:1 18:1 275 DG 16:0 18:1 276 DG 18:0 16:1 277 DG 16:0 18:0 278 DG 16:0 20:4 279 DG 18:1 18:3 280 DG 18:2 18:2 281 DG 16:0 20:3 282 DG 18:1 18:2 283 DG 18:0 18:2 284 DG 18:1 18:1 285 DG 18:0 18:1 286 DG 16:0 20:0 287 DG 18:0 18:0 288 DG 16:0 22:6 289 DG 16:0 22:5 290 DG 18:1 20:4 291 DG 18:0 20:4 292 DG 18:1 20:3 293 DG 18:1 20:0 294 TG 14:0 16:1 18:2 295 TG 16:1 16:1 16:1 296 TG 14:0 16:0 18:2 297 TG 14:0 16:1 18:1 298 TG 14:1 16:0 18:1 299 TG 14:1 16:1 18:0 300 TG 18:1 14:0 16:0 301 TG 16:0 16:0 16:0 302 TG 15:0 18:1 16:0 303 TG 17:0 16:0 16:1 304 TG 17:0 18:1 14:0 305 TG 14:0 18:2 18:2 306 TG 14:1 18:0 18:2 307 TG 14:1 18:1 18:1 308 TG 16:1 16:1 18:1 309 TG 16:0 16:0 18:2 310 TG 16:1 16:1 18:0 311 TG 16:0 16:1 18:1 312 TG 14:0 18:0 18:1 313 TG 16:0 16:0 18:1 314 TG 16:0 16:0 18:0 315 TG 15:0 18:1 18:1 316 TG 17:0 18:1 16:1 317 TG 17:0 18:2 16:0 318 TG 17:0 18:1 16:0 319 TG 17:0 16:0 18:0 S17 TG 17:0 17:0 17:0 (IS) S17 TG 17:0 17:0 17:0 (IS) 320 TG 16:0 18:2 18:2 321 TG 16:1 18:1 18:2 322 TG 16:1 18:1 18:1 323 TG 16:0 18:1 18:2 324 TG 16:0 18:1 18:1 325 TG 16:0 18:0 18:1 326 TG 17:0 18:1 18:1 327 TG 18:2 18:2 18:2 328 TG 18:1 18:2 18:2 329 TG 18:0 18:2 18:2 330 TG 18:1 18:1 18:2 331 TG 18:1 18:1 18:1 332 TG 18:0 18:1 18:1 333 TG 18:0 18:0 18:1 334 TG 18:0 18:0 18:0 335 TG 18:2 18:2 20:4 336 TG 18:1 18:1 20:4 337 TG 18:1 18:1 22:6 List of Abbreviations: acCer acylceramide APC alkylphosphatidylcholine BMP bis(monoacylglycero)phosphate CE cholesterol ester Cer ceramide COH cholesterol DG diacylglycerol DHC dihexosylceramide GM3 G_(M3) ganglioside LPAF lysoplatelet activating factor LPC lysophosphatidylcholine MHC monohexosylceramide modCE modified cholesterol ester modCer modified ceramide modPC modified phosphatidylcholine oddPC odd chain phosphatidylcholine PC phosphatidylcholine PE phosphatidylethanolamine PG phosphatidylglycerol PI phosphatidylinositol PS phosphatidylserine SM sphingomyelin TG triaclyglycerol THC trihexosylcermide

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE FIGURES

Some figures contain color representations or entities. Color photographs are available from the Patentee upon request or from an appropriate Patent Office. A fee may be imposed if obtained from a Patent Office.

FIGS. 1(A) and (B) are graphical representations of the area under the curve and error rate resulting from stable CAD vs unstable CAD models. Recursive feature elimination (RFE) with three-fold cross validation (repeated 100 times) was used to develop multivariate models using support vector machine learning. This was done for models of varying feature size (e.g., 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32 and 64) and for models that included either traditional risk factors alone (blue circles) lipids alone (green squares) or lipids with traditional risk factors (red triangles). ROC analysis was performed to give area under the curve (panel A) and error rates (panel B). Error bars represent 95% confidence limits.

FIGS. 2(A) and (B) are graphical representations of the area under the curve and error rate resulting from control vs CAD models. Recursive feature elimination (RFE) with three-fold cross validation (repeated 100 times) was used to develop multivariate models using support vector machine learning. This was done for models of varying feature size (e.g., 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32 and 64) and for models that included either traditional risk factors alone (blue circles) lipids alone (green squares) or lipids with traditional risk factors (red triangles). ROC analysis was performed to give area under the curve (panel A) and error rates (panel B). Error bars represent 95% confidence limits.

FIG. 3 is a graphical representation of ROC analysis of classification models of stable CAD vs unstable CAD. Multivariate models created with either the 13 traditional risk factors (Table 5), the 8 highest tanked lipids (Table 13) or a combination of both were validated by three-fold cross validation repeated 10 times and the results combined in a ROC analyses.

FIG. 4 is a graphical representation of ROC analysis of classification models of control vs CAD. Multivariate models created with either the 13 traditional risk factors (Table 5), the 16 highest ranked lipids (Table 14) or a combination of both were validated by three-fold cross validation repeated 10 times and the results combined in a ROC analyses.

FIG. 5 provides a graphical representations of data showing recursive feature elimination analysis of CAD. Multivariate models containing different numbers of lipids alone (circles) or traditional risk factors (squares) or combined lipids and risk factors (triangles) were created to discriminate between control and CAD (left panels) and between stable and unstable CAD (right panels). C-statistics (top panels) and % accuracy (lower panels) with 95% confidence intervals for each model are plotted against the number of variables in the model.

FIG. 6 provides a graphical representation of data showing receiver operator characteristic (ROC) analysis of multivariate models. Multivariate classification models were created by recursive feature elimination with three-fold cross-validation (repeated 100 times) using support vector machine learning. ROC analysis was performed on the optimised models containing either 16 lipids alone, 8 risk factors alone or a combination of 8 lipids and risk factors.

FIG. 7 provides graphical representations of data showing plasma levels of selected lipid species. Lipid species were measured in each group as described in Materials and Methods. The concentration of each lipid species expressed as pmol/mL is plotted for each group. The bar represents the median value, the box represents the 25^(th) to 75^(th) percentile and the whiskers the upper and lower limits. Circles show outliers (>1.5×height of the box from the median) and asterisks show extreme outliers (>3.0×height of the box from the median).

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE TABLES

Table 1 provides a numbered list of 331 lipid analytes (biomarkers) identified in predetermined control vulnerable or non-vulnerable subjects, normal (healthy) subjects or heart disease subjects. Numbers prefaced by “s” identify internal standards used as internal controls for lipid analysis as described in the Examples.

Table 2 provides a description of the internal standard mix composition and concentration.

Table 3 provides mass spectrometer settings used for precursor ion scans.

Table 4 tabulates the scan methods used to create MRM acquisition methods for plasma lipid profiling for each lipid class.

Table 5 provides clinical and biochemical characteristics of patients.

Table 6 provides the medication of stable and unstable CAD cohorts.

Table 7 provides details of lipid analytes measured in MRM experiment 1 as described in the Examples.

Table 8 provides details of lipid analytes measured in MRM experiment 2 as described in the Examples.

Table 9 provides details of lipid analyte levels in stable and unstable cohorts.

Table 9a provides details of lipid analyte levels in control and CAD cohorts (continued).

Table 10 provides a summary of the univariate analysis of plasma lipids in control, stable CAD and unstable CAD cohorts.

Table 11 provides an analysis of variance of stable vs unstable cohorts.

Table 12 provides an analysis of variance of control vs CAD cohorts.

Table 13 provides ranked list of analytes based on recursive feature elimination of stable and unstable CAD cohorts.

Table 14 provides a ranked list of analytes based on recursive feature elimination of control vs CAD.

Table 15 provides final conditions for precursor ion scan and MRM acquisition methods for lipid identification and quantification.

Table 16 provides a final summary of univariate analysis of plasma lipids in control, CAD, stable CAD and unstable CAD groups.

Table 17 provides logistic regression models of stable CAD vs unstable CAD and logistic regression models of control vs CAD.

Table 18 provides ranked lipids in the stable CAD vs unstable CAD logistic model.

Table 19 provides ranked risk factors in the stable CAD vs unstable CAD logistic models.

Table 20 provides ranked features in the stable CAD vs unstable CAD logistic model.

Table 21 provides ranked lipids in the control vs CAD logistic model.

Table 22 provides ranked risk factors in the control vs CAD logistic model.

Table 23 provides ranked features in the control vs CAD logistic model.

Table 24 provides ranked features in the stable CAD vs unstable CAD recursive feature elimination models.

Table 25 provides ranked features in the control vs CAD recursive feature elimination models.

Table 26 provides a description of the lipid species affected by statin use.

Table 27 provides the medication of stable and unstable CAD cohorts.

DETAILED DESCRIPTION

Throughout this specification and the claims which follow, unless the context requires otherwise, the word “comprise”, and variations such as “comprises” and “comprising”, will be understood to imply the inclusion of a stated integer or step or group of integers or steps but not the exclusion of any other integer or step or group of integers or steps.

As used in the subject specification, the singular forms “a”, “an” and “the” include plural aspects unless the context clearly dictates otherwise. Thus, for example, reference to “a biomarker” includes a single biomarker, as well as two or more biomarkers; reference to “an analyte” includes a single analyte or two or more analytes; reference to “the invention” includes single and multiple aspects of the invention; and so forth.

The use of numerical values in the various ranges specified in this application, unless expressly indicated otherwise, are stated as approximations as though the minimum and maximum values within the stated ranges were both preceded by the word “about”. In this manner, slight variations above and below the stated ranges can be used to achieve substantially the same results as values within the ranges. Also, the disclosure of these ranges is intended as a continuous range including every value between the minimum and maximum values. In addition, the present invention extends to ratios of two or more markers providing a numerical value associated with a level of risk of heart disease development or presence.

A rapid, efficient and sensitive assay is provided for the stratification of heart disease in symptomatic and asymptomatic subject.

“Stratification” includes identification, diagnosing, clarification, monitoring and/or determination of the presence, level, severity, state and/or classification of heart disease. Generally, this is based on comparing a knowledge base of levels or ratios of lipid analytes in body fluid or tissue extract to another knowledge base of predetermined levels, statistically correlated to heart disease or a condition or symptom within the spectrum of heart disease.

Hence, the present invention identifies a correlation between the level or ratios of particular lipid analytes in a subject and heart disease. The term “heart disease” as used herein is to be considered as an individual condition as well as a spectrum of conditions including a range of risk indicators of the level of disease progression. This risk ranges from minor to extreme. The ability to monitor and identify markers of heart disease enables decisions on the type of medical intervention required from behavioural modification and medicaments to surgical intervention. This is particularly the case with asymptomatic individuals or those having a family history of heart disease.

The present invention extends to any or all conditions within the clinical spectrum of “heart disease”.

Such conditions include, without being limited to, cardiomyopathies, such as, alcoholic cardiomyopathy, coronary artery disease, congenital heart disease, nutritional diseases affecting the heart, ischemic (or ischaemic) cardiomyopathy, hypertensive cardiomyopathy, valvular cardiomyopathy, inflammatory cardiomyopathy, cardiovascular disease, such as atherosclerosis, ischaemic heart disease, heart failure, hypertensive heart disease, such as, left ventricular hypertrophy, coronary heart disease, (congestive) heart failure, hypertensive cardiomyopathy, cardiac arrhythmias, inflammatory heart disease, such as, endocarditis, inflammatory cardiomegaly, myocarditis, valvular heart disease, such as, aortic valve stenosis, mitral valve prolapse and valvular cardiomyopathy

Reference herein to a “subject” includes a human which may also be considered an individual, patient, host, recipient or target. The subject may also be an animal or an animal model. The term “analyte” includes a biomarker, marker, indicator, risk factor and the like.

The lipidomic approach uses one or more of three groups of lipid analytes:

-   -   (i) modified ceramides (modCER), modified phosphatidylcholines         (modPC) and modified cholesterol esters (modCE) selected from         those listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes selected from the         list in Table 1; and/or     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte (modCER, modPC and/or modCE) and at least         one is a non-modified lipid analyte selected from the list in         Table 1.

Accordingly, one aspect of the present invention is directed to an assay to stratify a subject as a vulnerable or non-vulnerable subject with respect to plaques, the assay comprising determining the levels of a lipid analyte selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1,         and     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         wherein the level or ratio of the lipid analyte or analytes         relative to a control identifies the subject as being vulnerable         or non-vulnerable.

The present invention enables, therefore, a risk profile to be determined for a subject based on a lipidomic profile. The stratification or profiling enables early diagnosis, conformation of a clinical diagnosis, treatment monitoring and treatment selection.

In a particular embodiment, the lipidomic profile is associated with heart disease, the predisposition of development and/or the risk level for severity and progression.

In, a particular embodiment, the invention provides an assay to stratify a subject as a vulnerable or non-vulnerable subject with respect to plaques, the assay comprising determining the levels of at least two lipid analytes selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;         and/or.     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         wherein the level of an individual lipid analyte listed in Table         1 is different between vulnerable subjects and non-vulnerable         subjects and wherein the level of the lipid analytes in the         subject relative to a control identifies the subject as being         vulnerable or non-vulnerable.

In another embodiment, the assays comprise comparing the level of the at least two lipid analytes in the subject to the respective levels of the same lipid analytes in at least one control subject selected from a vulnerable subject and a non-vulnerable subject, wherein a similarity in the respective levels of the at least two lipid analytes between the subject and the non-vulnerable subject identifies the subject as being non-vulnerable, and wherein a similarity in the respective levels of the at least two lipid analytes between the subject and the vulnerable subject identifies the subject as being vulnerable.

Reference to a “control” broadly includes data that the skilled person would use to facilitate the accurate interpretation of technical data. In an illustrative example, the level or levels of lipid analyte(s) from a subject are compared to the respective level or levels of the same lipid analyte(s) in one or more cohorts (populations/groups) of control subjects selected from a vulnerable subject cohort wherein the subjects have been diagnosed with unstable heart disease, a non-vulnerable subject cohort wherein the subjects have been diagnosed with stable heart disease, a normal subject cohort wherein the subjects have been predetermined not to have heart disease, and a heart disease subject cohort that comprises the members of the vulnerable and non-vulnerable cohorts. In some embodiments, the control may be the level or ratio of one or more lipid analytes in a sample from the test subject taken at an earlier time point. Thus, a temporal change in analyte levels can be used to identify vulnerability or provide a correlation as to the state of heart diseases. In some embodiments, the relative levels of two or more lipid analytes provides a useful control.

In some embodiments, a control subject is a group of control subjects. The level of analytes in a control subject group may be a mean value or a preselected level, threshold or range of levels that define, characterise or distinguish a particular group. Thresholds may be selected that provide an acceptable ability to predict diagnostic or prognostic risk, treatment success, etc. In illustrative examples, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves are calculated by plotting the value of one or more variables versus its relative frequency in two populations (called arbitrarily “disease” and “normal” or “low risk” and “high risk” groups for example). For any particular lipid analyte(s) or class(es), a distribution of level(s) for subjects in the two populations will likely overlap. Under such conditions, a test level does not absolutely distinguish “disease” and “normal” or “vulnerable” and “non-vulnerable” with 100% accuracy, and the area of overlap indicates where the test cannot distinguish between groups. Accordingly, in some embodiments, a threshold or range is selected, above which (or below which, depending on how a lipid analyte level changes with heart disease or prognosis) the test is considered to be “positive” and below which the test is considered to be “negative”. As described in Example 4, non-parametric tests were used to establish the statistical significance of differences between different analyte levels in the different control groups (See Table 16). Linear regression analysis was also used to identify lipid analytes that are independent predictors of group assignment. Several lipid analytes were found to be independent predictor of stable or unstable CAD, specifically PI 34:0, DHC 18:1, modCer 703.6.5.87, SM 22:1 and GM3 18:0. Similarly, twenty one lipid analytes were able to distinguish individually between control and CAD patients (Table 12, Model 6). Multivariate analysis is particularly suitable for developing a predictive model based on plasma lipid profiles. A range of models including different numbers of lipid analytes (1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 22, 64 . . . 329) either alone or with traditional risk factors were examined for their ability to distinguish a particular group (Tables 18 to 20). The values from these models were used to perform ROC analyses to determine the severity and specificity of the models (see Example 6, FIG. 6). Accordingly it is possible, as demonstrated, herein to use the full range of lipid analytes or to select particular subsets of lipid analytes capable of distinguishing between particular groups.

Alternatively, or in addition, thresholds may be established by obtaining an analyte level from the same patient, to which later results may be compared. In these embodiments, the individual in effect acts as their own “control group.” In markers that increase with disease severity or prognostic risk, an increase over time in the same patient can indicate a worsening or development of disease or risk of disease or a failure of a treatment regimen, while a decrease over time can indicate remission of disease or success of a treatment regimen. Various further controls will be routinely applied by the skilled artisan. In an illustrative example, the levels of a range or panel of lipid analytes within one or more lipid class are determined and compared to predetermined levels in one or more control subject groups. Lipid analytes determined herein not to be correlated with heart disease or unstable plaques can be included as internal controls and are therefore also useful in some embodiments.

In some embodiments, lipid analyte levels in control groups are used to generate a profile of lipid analyte levels reflecting difference between levels in two control groups. Thus, a particular lipid analyte may be more abundant or less abundant in one control group compared to another control group. The data may be represented as an overall signature score or the profile may be represented as a barcode or other graphical representation. The lipid analyte levels from a test subject may be represented in the same way and similarity with the signature scope or level of “fit” to a signature barcode or other graphical representation may be determined. In other embodiments, the levels of a particular lipid analyte or lipid class are analysed and a downward or an upward trend in analyte level determined. Thus, for example, as shown in the Examples, the total PI species were 13.8% lower in unstable vs stable CAD, over and above a 13.5% decrease in the CAD group compared to control groups. In another Example, lower levels of LPC species (except LPC 20:4 and LPC 20:2) were found to be predictive of disease severity/unstable CAD, e.g. LPC 16:1 and LPC 14:0. In another example, SMI 018:0 was over represented in the unstable CAD group.

In another embodiment, the assays further comprise comparing the level of the at least two lipid analytes in the subject to the respective levels of the same lipid analytes in at least one normal subject, wherein a similarity in the respective levels of the at least two lipid analytes between the subject and the normal subject identifies the subject as being normal with respect to plaques.

In yet another embodiment, the assays comprise determining or determining and comparing the level of at least 2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12, 14, 16, 18, 20, 22, 24, 26, 28, 30 or more lipid analytes including 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80, 81, 82, 83, 84, 85, 86, 87, 88, 89, 90, 91, 92, 93, 94, 95, 96, 97, 98, 99, 100, 101, 102, 103, 104, 105, 106, 107, 108, 109, 110, 111, 112, 113, 114, 115, 116, 117, 118, 119, 120, 121, 122, 123, 124, 125, 126, 127, 128, 129, 130, 131, 132, 133, 134, 135, 136, 137, 138, 139, 140, 141, 142, 143, 144, 145, 146, 147, 148, 149, 150, 151, 152, 153, 154, 155, 156, 157, 158, 159, 160, 161, 162, 163, 164, 165, 166, 167, 168, 169, 170, 171, 172, 173, 174, 175, 176, 177, 178, 179, 180, 181, 182, 183, 184, 185, 186, 187, 188, 189, 190, 191, 192, 193, 194, 195, 196, 197, 198, 199, 200, 201, 202, 203, 204, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 211, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 220, 221, 222, 223, 224, 225, 226, 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 236, 237, 238, 239, 240, 241, 242, 243, 244, 245, 246, 247, 248, 249, 250, 251, 252, 253, 254, 255, 256, 257, 258, 259, 260, 261, 262, 263, 264, 265, 266, 267, 268, 269, 270, 271, 272, 273, 274, 275, 276, 277, 278, 279, 280, 281, 282, 283, 284, 285, 286, 287, 288, 289, 290, 291, 292, 293, 294, 295, 296, 297, 298, 299, 300, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 306, 307, 308, 309, 310, 311, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 322, 323, 324, 325, 326, 327, 328, 329, 330, or 331 biomarkers (lipid analytes).

In some embodiments, the lipid analytes are selected that fall within a single lipid class. Thus, in some embodiments, the level of two or more lipid analytes in one or more lipid classes are determined and compared.

In some particular embodiments, the assays further comprise determining the levels of at least two lipid analytes selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;         and/or     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         wherein the level of an individual lipid analyte listed in Table         1 is different between normal subjects and heart disease         subjects and wherein the level of the lipid analytes in the         subject relative to a control identifies the subject as being a         normal subject or a heart disease subject.

In some embodiments, the or each modified lipid analyte in (i) is selected from a modified ceramide (modCER) and a modified phosphatidylcholine (modPC).

In other embodiments, the non-modified lipid analytes in (ii) are selected from a dihexosylceramide (DHC), a sphingomyelin (SM), a phosphatidylinositol (PI), a lysophosphatidylcholine (LPC), a phosphatidylcholine (PC), an alkylphosphatidylcholine (APC), a cholesterol ester (CE), a diacylglycerol (DG) and a triacylglycerol (TG).

In still further embodiments of the assay, the or each modified lipid analyte in (iii) is selected from a modified ceramide (modCER) and a modified phosphatidylcholine (modPC) and the or each non-modified lipid in (iii) is selected from a dihexosylceramide (DHC), a sphingomyelin (SM), a phosphatidylinositol (PI), a lysophosphatidylcholine (LPC), a alkylphosphatidylcholine (APC), a cholesterol ester (CE), a diacylglycerol (DG) and a triacylglycerol (TG).

In another embodiment, the assays comprise determining the levels of at least two lipid analytes selected from modCer 731.6, GM3 18:0, PC34:5, DHC 18:1, APC 34:2, SM 18:0, Cer 18:1, PI 36:1, APC 36:0, DG 18:1 20:0, LPC 14:0, LPC 16:1, PC 24:0, Cer 18:0, PI 36:3, PI 38:2, modPC.622.4/40, LPC 18:2, LPC 24:0, PC 34:3, modPC 752.6/5.58, PI 34:0, modCer 703.6/5.87 and SM 22:1.

In another embodiment, the assays comprise determining the levels of at least four, six, eight or sixteen lipid analytes selected from the group consisting of modCer 731.6, GM3 18:0, PC34:5, DHC 18:1, APC 34:2, SM 18:0, Cer 18:1, PI 36:1, APC 36:0, DG 18:1 20:0, LPC 14:0, LPC 16:1, PC 24:0, Cer 18:0, PI 36:3, PI 38:2, modPC.622.4/40, LPC 18:2, LPC 24:0, PC 34:3, modPC 752.6/5.58, PI 34:0, modCer 703.6/5.87 and SM 22:1.

In particular embodiments, the assayed levels of lipid analytes are used in combination with one or more traditional risk factors selected from age, sex, smoker, diabetes, hypertension, CAD family history, BMI, total cholesterol, LDL, HDL, triglycerides, glucose and hsCRP to thereby identify the subject as being vulnerable or non-vulnerable.

Suitably, the assays comprise, in some embodiments, comparing the level of the at least two lipid analytes in the subject to the respective levels of the same lipid analytes in at least one control subject selected from a normal subject and a heart disease subject, wherein a similarity in the respective levels of the at least two lipid analytes between the subject and the heart disease subject identifies the subject as having heart disease, and wherein a similarity in the respective levels of the at least two lipid analytes between the subject and the normal subject identifies the subject as being normal with respect to heart disease.

In yet another embodiment, the assays comprise determining or determining and comparing the levels of 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80, 81, 82, 83, 84, 85, 86, 87, 88, 89, 90, 91, 92, 93, 94 or 95 lipid analytes, preferably 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15 or 16 lipid analytes in Table 1 wherein the level of an individual lipid analyte listed in Table 1 is different between normal subjects and heart disease subjects. In some embodiments, any number between 2 and 331 lipid analytes include but 2 and 18 lipid analytes or any number between 2 and 18 lipid classes including 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 or 18 lipid classes are analysed.

In some embodiments, the modified lipid analyte in (i) is one or more of a modified ceramide (modCER) and a modified phosphatidylcholine (modPC).

In other embodiments, the non-modified lipid analyte in (ii) is two or more of a ceramide (CER), monohexosylceramide (MHC), dihexosylceramide (DHC), trihexosylceramide (THC), GM3 Ganglioside (GM3), modified ceramides (modCer), sphingomyelin (SM), phosphatidylserine (PS), phosphatidylinositol (PI), lysophosphatidylcholine (LPC), lysoplatelet activating factor (LPAF), phosphatidylcholine (PC), odd-chain phosphatidylcholine (oddPC), alkylphosphatidylcholine (APC), modified phosphatidylcholine (modPC), cholesterol esters (CE), diacylglycerol (DG), and triacylglycerol (TG).

In still further embodiments, the or each modified lipid analyte in (iii) is one or more of a modified ceramide (modCER) and a modified phosphatidylcholine (modPC) and the or each non-modified lipid in (iii) is selected from a ceramide (CER), a monohexosylceramide (MHC), a dihexosylceramide (DHC), trihexosylceramide (THC), GM3 Ganglioside (GM3), modified ceramides (modCer), sphingomyelin (SM), phosphatidylserine (PS), phosphatidylinositol (PI), lysophosphatidylcholine (LPC), lysoplatelet activating factor (LPAF), phosphatidylcholine (PC), odd-chain phosphatidylcholine (oddPC), alkylphosphatidylcholine (APC), modified phosphatidylcholine (modPC), cholesterol esters (CE), diacylglycerol (DO) and a triacylglycerol (TG).

In an illustrative example, the lipid analytes are two or more of LPC 22:0, PS 40:6, PI 34:0, Cer 20:0, Cer 18:0, APC 34:2, PC 34:5, LPC 20:3, PC 28:0, modPC 692.4/5.8, APC 30:0, modPC 736.5/5.7, LPC 20:4, APC 38:6, modPC 720.5.4.5, PI 36:0, LPC 24:0, PS 40:5, LPC 20:0, modPC 877.6/6.0 and CE 22:4.

In a further illustrative example, the lipid analytes are two or more of LPC 22:0, PS 40:6, PI 34:0, Cer 20:0, Cer 18:0, APC 34:2, PC 34:5, LPC 20:3, PC 28:0, modPC 692.4/5.8, APC 30:0, modPC 736.5/5.7, LPC 20:4, APC 38:6, modPC 720.5.4.5, PI 36:0, LPC 24:0, PS 40:5, LPC 20:0, modPC 877.6/6.0, CE 22:4, ModPC 580.4/4.84, PS 40:6, modPC 752.6/5.58, APC 32:1, oddPC 37:3, GM3 24:1, oddPC 33:0, APC 36:0, CE 24:3, SM 20:1, SM 18:0, LPC 20:0, modCE 682.7/8.76, COH, Cer 20:0, LPC 16:1, TG 16:1 16:1 16:1, modPC 564.4/4.70, modPC 720.6/4.52, modPC 608.4/5.33, PE 38:3, PE 38:1, modPC 580.4/4.84, PS 40:6, GM3 22:0, PC 37:3, PC 33:0, modPC 788.6/5.19, C24:3, C24:4, modPC 666.4/2.99, modPC 678.4/4.37, modCer 731.6/6.22, SM 18:1, APC 36:5, modPC 769.6/6.25, APC 36:3, oddPC 35:4, PG 18:1 18:1, TG 18:1 18:1 18:2, modPC 881.7/6.05, CE 17:0 and PI 38:5.

In another illustrative example, the lipid analytes are four or more, six or more, eight or more or sixteen or more of LPC 22:0, PS 40:6, PI 34:0, Cer 20:0, Cer 18:0, APC 34:2, PC 34:5, LPC 20:3, PC 28:0, modPC 692.4/5.8, APC 30:0, modPC 736.5/5.7, LPC 20:4, APC 38:6, modPC 720.5.4.5, PI 36:0, LPC 24:0, PS 40:5, LPC 20:0, modPC 877.6/6.0, CE 22:4, ModPC 580.4/4.84, PS 40:6, modPC 752.6/5.58, APC 32:1, oddPC 37:3, GM3 24:1, oddPC 33:0, APC 36:0, CE 24:3, SM 20:1, SM 18:0, LPC 20:0, modCE 682.7/8.76, COH, Cer 20:0, LPC 16:1, TG 16:1 16:1 16:1, modPC 564.4/4.70, modPC 720.6/4.52, modPC 608.4/5.33, PE 38:3, PE 38:1, modPC 580.4/4.84, PS 40:6, GM3 22:0, PC 37:3, PC 33:0, modPC 788.6/5.19, C24:3, C24:4, modPC 666.4/2.99, modPC 678.4/4.37, modCer 731.6/6.22, SM 18:1, APC 36:5, modPC 769.6/6.25, APC 36:3, oddPC 35:4, PG 18:1 18:1, TG 18:1 18:1 18:2, modPC 881.7/6.05, CE 17:0 and PI 38:5.

In some further embodiments, the assayed levels of lipid analytes are used in combination with one or more traditional risk factors selected from age, sex, smoker, diabetes, hypertension, CAD family history, BMI, total cholesterol, LDL, HDL, triglycerides, glucose and hsCRP to thereby identify the subject as being normal or having heart disease.

In a different embodiment, the present invention contemplates an assay to stratify a subject with respect to heart disease, the assay comprising determining the levels of a lipid analyte selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1,         and     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         wherein the level or ratio of the lipid analyte or analytes         relative to a control provides a indication or correlation as to         the presence, absence state, classification or progression of         heart disease.

In particular embodiments, the invention provides an assay to stratify a subject with respect to heart disease, the assay comprising determining the levels of at least two lipid analytes selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1,         and/or     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         wherein the level of an individual lipid analyte listed in Table         1 is different between normal and heart disease subjects and         wherein the level of the lipid analytes in the subject relative         to a control provides an indication of the presence or absence         of heart disease.

In some embodiments, the assays comprise comparing the level of the at least two lipid analytes in the subject to the respective levels of the same lipid analytes in at least one control subject selected from a normal subject and a heart disease subject, wherein a similarity in the respective levels of the at least two lipid analytes between the subject and the heart disease subject identifies the subject having heart disease, and wherein a similarity in the respective levels of the at least two lipid analytes between the subject and the normal subject identifies the subject as a normal subject with respect to heart disease.

In illustrative embodiments, the assays comprise determining or determining and comparing the levels of 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39; 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80, 81, 82, 83, 84, 85, 86, 87, 88, 89, 90, 91, 92, 93, 94 or 95, preferably at least 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15 or 16 lipid analytes wherein the level of an individual lipid analyte listed in Table 1 is different between normal and heart disease subjects.

In some embodiments, the modified lipid analyte in (i) is one or more of a modified ceramide (modCER) and a modified phosphatidylcholine (modPC).

In other embodiments, the non-modified lipid analyte in (ii) is two or more of a ceramide (CER), monohexosylceramide (MHC), dihexosylceramide (DHC), trihexosylceramide (THC), GM3 Ganglioside (GM3), modified ceramides (modCer), sphingomyelin (SM), phosphatidylserine (PS), phosphatidylinositol (PI), lysophosphatidylcholine (LPC), lysoplatelet activating factor (LPAF), phosphatidylcholine (PC), odd-chain phosphatidylcholine (oddPC), alkylphosphatidylcholine (APC), modified phosphatidylcholine (modPC), cholesterol esters (CE), diacylglycerol (DG), and triacylglycerol (TG).

In still further embodiments, the or each modified lipid analyte in (iii) is one or more of a modified ceramide (modCER) and a modified phosphatidylcholine (modPC) and the or each non-modified lipid in (iii) is selected from a ceramide (CER), a monohexosylceramide (MHC), a dihexosylceramide (DHC), trihexosylceramide (THC), GM3 Ganglioside (GM3), modified ceramides (modCer), sphingomyelin (SM), phosphatidylserine (PS), phosphatidylinositol (PI), lysophosphatidylcholine (LPC), lysoplatelet activating factor (LPAF), phosphatidylcholine (PC), odd-chain phosphatidylcholine (oddPC), alkylphosphatidylcholine (APC), modified phosphatidylcholine (modPC), cholesterol esters (CE), diacylglycerol (DG) and a triacylglycerol (TG).

In an illustrative example, the lipid analytes are two or more of LPC 22:0, PS 40:6, PI 34:0, Cer 20:0, Cer 18:0, APC 34:2, PC 34:5, LPC 20:3, PC 28:0, modPC 692.4/5.8, APC 30:0, modPC 736.5/5.7, LPC 20:4, APC 38:6, modPC 720.5.4.5, PI 36:0, LPC 24:0, PS 40:5, LPC 20:0, modPC 877.6/6.0, CE 22:4, ModPC 580.4/4.84, PS 40:6, modPC 752.6/5.58, APC 32:1, oddPC 37:3, GM3 24:1, oddPC 33:0, APC 36:0, CE 24:3, SM 20:1, SM 18:0, LPC 20:0, modCE 682.7/8.76, COH, Cer 20:0, LPC 16:1, TG 16:1 16:1 16:1, modPC 564.4/4.70, modPC 720.6/4.52, modPC 608.4/5.33, PE 38:3, PE 38:1, modPC 580.4/4.84, PS 40:6, GM3 22:0, PC 37:3, PC 33:0, modPC 788.6/5.19, C24:3, C24:4, modPC 666.4/2.99, modPC 678.4/4.37, modCer 731.6/6.22, SM 18:1, APC 36:5, modPC 769.6/6.25, APC 36:3, oddPC 35:4, PG 18:1 18:1, TG 18:1 18:1 18:2, modPC 881.7/6.05, CE 17:0 and PI 38:5.

In another illustrative example, the lipid analytes are four or more, six or more, eight or more or sixteen or more of LPC 22:0, PS 40:6, PI 34:0, Cer 20:0, Cer 18:0, APC 34:2, PC 34:5, LPC 20:3, PC 28:0, modPC 692.4/5.8, APC 30:0, modPC 736.5/5.7, LPC 20:4, APC 38:6, modPC 720.5.4.5, PI 36:0, LPC 24:0, PS 40:5, LPC 20:0, modPC 877.6/6.0, CE 22:4, ModPC 580.4/4.84, PS 40:6, modPC 752.6/5.58, APC 32:1, oddPC 37:3, GM3 24:1, oddPC 33:0, APC 36:0, CE 24:3, SM 20:1, SM 18:0, LPC 20:0, modCE 682.7/8.76, COH, Cer 20:0, LPC 16:1, TG 16:1 16:1 16:1, modPC 564.4/4.70, modPC 720.6/4.52, modPC 608.4/5.33, PE 38:3, PE 38:1, modPC 580.4/4.84, PS 40:6, GM3 22:0, PC 37:3, PC 33:0, modPC 788.6/5.19, C24:3, C24:4, modPC 666.4/2.99, modPC 678.4/4.37, modCer 731.6/6.22, SM 18:1, APC 36:5, modPC 769.6/6.25, APC 36:3, oddPC 35:4, PG 18:1 18:1, TG 18:1 18:1 18:2, modPC 881.7/6.05, CE 17:0 and PI 38:5.

In some further embodiments, the assayed levels of lipid analytes are used in combination with one or more traditional risk factors selected from age, sex, smoker, diabetes, hypertension, CAD family history, BMI, total cholesterol, LDL, HDL, triglycerides, glucose and hsCRP to thereby identify the subject as being normal or having heart disease.

Still another aspect of the present invention contemplates the use of a panel of lipid analytes selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1,         and     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         in the manufacture of an assay to identify the presence, state,         classification or progression of heart disease in a subject.

In some embodiments, lipid analytes are two or more selected from a ceramide (Cer) including Cer 16:0, Cer 18:1, Cer 18:0, Cer 20:0, Cer 22:0, Cer 24:1, Cer 24:0; a monohexosylceramide (MHC) including MHC 16:0, MHC 18:1, MHC 18:0, MHC 20:0, MI-IC 22:0, MHC 24:1, MHC 24:0; a dihexosylceramide (DHC) including DHC 16:0, DHC 18:1, DHC 18:0, DHC 20:0, DHC 22:0, DHC 24:1, DHC 24:0; a trihexosylcermide (THC) including THC 16:0, THC 18:1, THC 18:0, THC 20:0, THC 22:0, THC 24:1, THC 24:0; a GM3 ganglioside (GM3) including GM3 16:0, GM3 18:0, GM3 20:0, GM3 22:0, GM3 24:1, GM3 24:0; a sphingomyelin (SM) including SM 14:0, SM 15:0, SM 16:1, SM 16:0, SM 18:1, SM 18:0, SM 20:1, SM 22:1, SM 22:0, SM 24:2, SM 24:1, SM 24:0; a phosphatidylglycerol (PG) including PG 16:1 18:1, PG 16:0 18:1, PG 18:1 18:1, PG 18:0 18:1; a bis(monoacylglycerol)phosphate (BMP) including BMP 18:1 18:1; phosphatidylserine (PS) including PS 36:2, PS 36:1, PS 38:5, PS 38:4, PS 38:3, PS 40:6, PS 40:5; phosphatidylethanolamine (PE) including PE 32:1, PE 32:0, PE 34:2, PE 34:1, PE 36:5, PE 36:4, PE 36:3, PE 36:2, PE 36:1, PE 36:0, PE 38:6, PE 38:5, PE 38:4, PE 38:3, PE 38:2, PE 38:1, PE 40:7, PE 40:6; a phosphatidylinositol (PI) including PI 32:1, PI 32:0, PI 34:1, PI 34:0, PI 36:4, PI 36:3, PI 36:2, PI 36:1, PI 36:0, PI 38:6, PI 38:5, PI 38:4, PI 38:3, PI 38:2, PI 40:6, PI 40:5, PI 40:4; a lysophosphatidylcholine (LPC) including LPC 14:0, LPC 15:0, LPC 16:1, LPC 16:0, LPC 18:2, LPC 18:1, LPC 18:0, LPC 20:5 LPC 20:4, LPC 20:3, LPC 20:2, LPC 20:1, LPC 20:0, LPC 22:6; a lysoplatelet activating factor (LPAF) including LPAF 16:0, LPAF 18:1, LPAF 18:0; a phosphatidylcholine (PC) including PC 30:2, PC 32:2, PC 32:1, PC 32:0, PC 34:3, PC 34:2, PC 34:1, PC 34:0, PC 36:5, PC 36:4, PC 36:3, PC 36:2, PC 38:6, PC 38:5, PC 38:4, PC 40:7, PC 40:6, PC 40:5, PC 44:12; an alkylphosphatidylcholine (APC) including APC 32:1, APC 32:0, APC 34:2, APC 34:1, APC 34:0, APC 36:5, APC 36:4, APC 36:3, APC 36:2, APC 36:1, APC 36:0, APC 38:6, APC 38:5, APC 38:4, APC 38:3, APC 38:2; a cholesterol ester (CE) including CE 14:0, CE 15:0, CE 16:2, CE 16:1, CE 16:0, CE 17:1, CE 17:0, CE 18:3, CE 18:2, CE 18:1, CE 18:0, CE 20:5, CE 20:4, CE 20:3, CE 20:2, CE 20:1, CE 22:6, CE 22:5, CE 22:4, CE 22:3, CE 22:2, CE 22:1, CE 22:0, CE 24:6, CE 24:5, CE 24:4, CE 24:3, CE 24:2, CE 24:1, CE 24:0; a diacylglycerol (DO) including DG 14:0 14:0, DG 14:1 16:0, DG 14:0 16:0, DG 14:0 18:2, DG 14:0 18:1, DG 16:0 16:0, DG 16:0 18:2, DG 16:1 18:1, DG 16:0 18:1, DG 18:0 16:1, DG 16:0 18:0, DG 16:0 20:4, DG 18:1 18:3, DG 18:2 18:2, DG 16:0 20:3, DG 18:1 18:2, DG 18:0 18:2, DG 18:1 18:1, DG 18:0 18:1, DG 16:0 20:0, DG 18:0 18:0, DG 16:0 22:6, DG 16:0 22:5, DG 18:1 20:4, DG 18:0 20:4, DG 18:1 20:3, DG 18:1 20:0; and a triaclyglycerol (TG) including TG 14:0 16:1 18:2, TG 16:1 16:1 16:1, TG 14:0 16:0 18:2, TG 14:0 16:1 18:1, TG 14:1 16:0 18:1, TG 14:1 16:1 18:0, TG 18:1 14:0 16:0, TG 16:0 16:0 16:0, TG 15:0 18:1 16:0, TG 17:0 16:0 16:1, TG 17:0 18:1 14:0, TG 14:0 18:2 18:2, TG 14:1 18:0 18:2, TG 14:1 18:1 18:1, TG 16:1 16:1 18:1, TG 16:0 16:0 18:2, TG 16:1 16:1 18:0, TG 16:0 16:1 18:1, TG 14:0 18:0 18:1, TG 16:0 16:0 18:1, TG 16:0 16:0 18:0, TG 15:0 18:1 18:1, TG 17:0 18:1 16:1, TG 17:0 18:2 16:0, TG 17:0 18:1 16:0, TG 17:0 16:0 18:0, TG 16:0 18:2 18:2, TG 16:1 18:1 18:2, TG 16:1 18:1 18:1, TG 16:0 18:1 18:2, TG 16:0 18:1 18:1, TG 16:0 18:0 18:1, TG 17:0 18:1 18:1, TG 18:2 18:2 18:2, TG 18:1 18:2 18:2, TG 18:0 18:2 18:2, TG 18:1 18:1 18:2, TG 18:1 18:1 18:1, TG 18:0 18:1 18:1, TG 18:0 18:0 18:1, TG 18:0 18:0 18:0, TG 18:2 18:2 20:4, TG 18:1 18:1 20:4, TG 18:1 18:1 22:6; a modified ceramide (modCer) including modCer 576.5/7.68, modCer 614.6/5.72, modCer 632.6/9.22, modCer 651.6/7.56, modCer 703.6/5.87, modCer 731.6/6.22, modCer 766.6/7.17, modCer 769.6/8.01, modCer 798.7/7.29, modCer 875.7/9.23, modCer 883.8/7.75, modCer 886.8/9.06, modCer 910.8/8.98, modCer 921.8/9.05; phosphatidylcholine (modPC) including modPC 506.3/3.50, modPC 508.3/3.30, modPC 510.3/4.00, modPC 512.3/1.70, modPC 536.3/3.50, modPC 538.3/4.10, modPC 552.4/3.90, modPC 564.4/4.70, modPC 566.4/5.10, modPC 580.4/4.84, modPC 594.4/3.26, modPC 608.4/3.84, modPC 610.4/2.03, modPC 622.4/4.54, modPC 633.4/4.51, modPC 636.4/3.37, modPC 645.4/4.49, modPC 650.4/3.24, modPC 650.4/4.44, modPC 650.4/3.94, modPC 664.4/4.22, modPC 666.4/2.99, modPC 678.4/4.37, modPC 678.4/4.94, modPC 678.4/5.51, modPC 690.4/4.11, modPC 690.4/4.90, modPC 690.4/6.00, modPC 692.4/5.05, modPC 692.4/5.52, modPC 692.4/6.10, modPC 694.4/6.20, modPC 703.5/4.09, modPC 704.5/3.81, modPC 706.5/3.79, modPC 720.5/4.52, modPC 736.5/5.38, modPC 743.5/5.91, modPC 752.5/5.58, modPC 772.5/5.37, modPC 773.6/6.47, modPC 788.6/5.19, modPC 801.6/6.70, modPC 816.6/5.58, modPC 818.6/6.10, modPC 818.6/6.48, modPC 828.6/6.03, modPC 843.6/7.10, modPC 866.6/7.24, modPC 878.6/5.98, modPC 881.6/6.05; and a cholesterol ester (modCE) including modCE 558.5/7.74, modCE 588.5/7.94, modCE 682.7/8.76, modCE 790.8/6.57.

The lipidomic profile further enables determination of endpoints in pharmacotranslational studies. For example, clinical trials can take many months or even years to establish the pharmacological parameters for a medicament to be used in coronary care. However, these parameters may be associated with a lipidomic profile associated with a health state. Hence, the clinical trial can be expedited by first selecting a medicament and pharmaceutical parameters which result in a lipidomic profile associated with the desired health state.

Accordingly, another aspect of the present invention contemplates a method for determining the pharmacoefficacy of a medicament for use in heart disease treatment, the method comprising selecting a medicament and its concentration and/or formulation parameters which provide a lipidomic profile associated or characteristic of a healthy individual, the lipidomic profile identified by determining the levels of a lipid analyte selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1,         and     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         wherein the level or ratio of the lipid analyte or analytes         relative to a control provides a correlation as to the presence,         state, classification or progression of heart disease.

Another aspect of the present invention provides a method for conducting a clinical trial for a medicament for the treatment or prophylaxis of heart disease, the method comprising conducting the clinical trial using a formulation of the medicament which generates a lipidomic profile associated or characteristic of a healthy individual, the lipidomic profile identified by determining the levels of a lipid analyte selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1,         and     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         wherein the level or ratio of the lipid analyte or analytes         relative to a control provides a correlation as to the presence,         state, classification or progression of heart disease.

The lipidomic profile, therefore, can be used as a marker to define a desired state of health in an individual. It can be considered, therefore, a defined surrogate endpoint or desired endpoint in clinical management of subjects having heart disease treatment.

There are many methods which may be used to detect lipid analyte levels including mass spectrometry. In a particular, liquid chromatography, electrospray ionization-tandem mass spectrometry is used.

Immunological assays can also be done in any convenient formats known in the art. These include Western blots, immunohistochemical assays and ELISA assays. Any means for detecting a level of a lipid analyte can be used in accordance with the present invention.

The biological sample is any fluid or cell or tissue extract in a subject which comprises lipids. In one embodiment, the biological sample is a tissue of the heart or surrounding the heart. In another embodiment, the biological sample includes blood, plasma, serum, lymph, urine and saliva or cell extracts.

The present invention identifies the presence of a lipidomic profile associated with heart disease or a risk of developing same. In order to detect a lipid analyte, a biological sample is prepared and analyzed for a difference in levels or ratios of levels between the subject being tested and a control. In this context, a “control” includes the levels in a statistically significant normal population.

The identification of the association between the pathophysiology of heart disease and levels of or ratios of lipids permits the early presymptomatic screening of individuals to identify those at risk for developing heart disease or to identify the cause of such a disorder or the risk that any individual will develop same. The subject assay enables practitioners to identify or stratify individuals at risk for certain behavioural states associated with heart disease or its manifestations including an inability to overcome symptoms of heart disease after initial treatment. Certain behavioural or therapeutic or dietary protocols may then be introduced to reduce the risk of developing heart disease. Presymptomatic diagnosis will enable better treatment of heart disease, including the use of existing medical therapies. Lipidotyping of individuals is useful for (a) identifying a form of heart disease which will respond to particular drugs, (b) identifying types of heart disease which responds well to specific medications or medication types with fewer adverse effects and (c) guide new drug discovery and testing.

Even yet another aspect of the present invention relates to a method of treatment or prophylaxis of a subject comprising assaying the subject with respect to heart disease by determining the levels of a lipid analyte selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1,         and     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         wherein the level or ratio of the lipid analyte or analytes         relative to a control provides a correlation to the presence,         state, classification or progression of heart disease and then         providing therapeutic and/or behavioural modification to the         subject.

The present invention further provides a web-based system where data on expression levels of lipids are provided by a client server to a central processor which analyses and compares to a control and optionally considers other information such as patient age, sex, weight and other medical conditions and then provides a report, such as, for example, a risk factor for disease severity or progression or status or an index of probability of heart disease in symptomatic or asymptomatic individuals.

Hence, knowledge-based computer software and hardware also form part of the present invention.

In particular, the assays of the present invention may be used in existing or newly developed knowledge-based architecture or platforms associated with pathology services. For example, results from the assays are transmitted via a communications network (e.g. the internet) to a processing system in which an algorithm is stored and used to generate a predicted posterior probability value which translates to the index of disease probability which is then forwarded to an end user in the form of a diagnostic or predictive report.

The assay may, therefore, be in the form of a kit or computer-based system which comprises the reagents necessary to detect the concentration of the lipid biomarkers and the computer hardware and/or software to facilitate determination and transmission of reports to a clinician.

The assay of the present invention permits integration into existing or newly developed pathology architecture or platform systems. For example, the present invention contemplates a method of allowing a user to determine the status of a subject with respect to a heart disease or subtype thereof or stage of heart disease, the method including:

-   -   (a) receiving data in the form of levels or concentrations of a         lipid analyte selected from the list consisting of:         -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;         -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table             1, and         -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a             modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is             a non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         -   wherein the level or ratio of the lipid analyte or analytes             relative to a control provides a correlation to the             presence, state, classification or progression of heart             disease;         -   from the user via a communications network;     -   (b) processing the subject data via multivariate analysis to         provide a disease index value;     -   (c) determining the status of the subject in accordance with the         results of the disease index value in comparison with         predetermined values; and     -   (d) transferring an indication of the status of the subject to         the user via the communications network reference to the         multivariate analysis includes an algorithm which performs the         multivariate or univariate analysis function.

Conveniently, the method generally further includes:

-   -   (a) having the user determine the data using a remote end         station; and     -   (b) transferring the data from the end station to the base         station via the communications network.

The base station can include first and second processing systems, in which case the method can include:

-   -   (a) transferring the data to the first processing system;     -   (b) transferring the data to the second processing system; and     -   (c) causing the first processing system to perform the         multivariate analysis function to generate the disease index         value.

The method may also include:

-   -   (a) transferring the results of the multivariate analysis         function to the first processing system; and     -   (b) causing the first processing system to determine the status         of the subject.

In this case, the method also includes at least one of:

-   -   (a) transferring the data between the communications network and         the first processing system through a first firewall; and     -   (b) transferring the data between the first and the second         processing systems through a second firewall.

The second processing system may be coupled to a database adapted to store predetermined data and/or the multivariate analysis function, the method include:

-   -   (a) querying the database to obtain at least selected         predetermined data or access to the multivariate analysis         function from the database; and     -   (b) comparing the selected predetermined data to the subject         data or generating a predicted probability index.

The second processing system can be coupled to a database, the method including storing the data in the database.

The method can also include having the user determine the data using a secure array, the secure array of elements capable of determining the level of biomarker and having a number of features each located at respective position(s) on the respective code. In this case, the method typically includes causing the base station to:

-   -   (a) determine the code from the data;     -   (b) determine a layout indicating the position of each feature         on the array; and     -   (c) determine the parameter values in accordance with the         determined layout, and the data.

The method can also include causing the base station to:

-   -   (a) determine payment information, the payment information         representing the provision of payment by the user; and     -   (b) perform the comparison in response to the determination of         the payment information.

The present invention also provides a base station for determining the status of a subject with respect to a heart disease or a subtype thereof or a stage of heart disease, the base station including:

-   -   (a) a store method;     -   (b) a processing system, the processing system being adapted to:     -   (c) receive subject data from the user via a communications         network, the data including levels or concentrations of a lipid         analyte selected from the list consisting of:         -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;         -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table             1, and         -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a             modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is             a non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         -   wherein the level or ratio of the lipid analyte or analytes             relative to a control provides a correlation to the             presence, state, classification or progression of heart             disease;     -   (d) performing an algorithmic function including comparing the         data to predetermined data;     -   (e) determining the status of the subject in accordance with the         results of the algorithmic function including the comparison;         and     -   (f) output an indication of the status of the subject to the         user via the communications network.

The processing system can be adapted to receive data from a remote end station adapted to determine the data.

The processing system may include:

-   -   (a) a first processing system adapted to:         -   (i) receive the data; and         -   (ii) determine the status of the subject in accordance with             the results of the multivariate analysis function including             comparing the data; and     -   (b) a second processing system adapted to:         -   (i) receive the data from the processing system;         -   (ii) perform the multivariate or univariate analysis             function including the comparison; and         -   (iii) transfer the results to the first processing system.

The base station typically includes:

-   -   (a) a first firewall for coupling the first processing system to         the communications network; and     -   (b) a second firewall for coupling the first and the second         processing systems.

The processing system can be coupled to a database, the processing system being adapted to store the data in the database.

Still another aspect of the present invention contemplates the use of a panel of lipid analytes selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1,         and     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         in the manufacture of an assay to identify the presence, state,         classification or progression of heart disease in a subject.

In another embodiment, the present invention contemplates an assay for determining the presence of heart disease in a subject, the assay comprising determining the concentration of a lipid analyte selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1,         and     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         wherein the level or ratio of the lipid analyte or analytes         relative to a control provides a correlation to the presence,         state, classification or progression of heart disease in a         biological sample from the subject wherein an altered         concentration in the lipid or lipids is indicative of the         subject having heart disease.

In accordance with this embodiment, levels of the lipid(s) may be screened alone or in combination with other biomarkers or heart disease indicators. An “altered” level means an increase or elevation or a decrease or reduction in the concentrations of the lipids.

The determination of the concentrations or levels of the biomarkers enables establishment of a diagnostic rule based on the concentrations relative to controls. Alternatively, the diagnostic rule is based on the application of a statistical and machine learning algorithm. Such an algorithm uses relationships between biomarkers and disease status observed in training data (with known disease status) to infer relationships which are then used to predict the status of patients with unknown status. An algorithm is, employed which provides an index of probability that a patient has heart disease or a state or form or class thereof. The algorithm performs a multivariate analysis function.

Hence, the present invention provides a diagnostic rule based on the application of statistical and machine learning algorithms. Such an algorithm uses the relationships between lipidomic biomarkers and disease status observed in training data (with known disease status) to infer relationships which are then used to predict the status of patients with unknown status. Practitioners skilled in the art of data analysis recognize that many different forms of inferring relationships in the training data may be used without materially changing the present invention.

Hence, the present invention contemplates the use of a knowledge base of training data comprising levels of lipid biomarkers from a subject with a heart condition to generate an algorithm which, upon input of a second knowledge base of data comprising levels of the same biomarkers from a patient with an unknown heart disease condition, provides an index of probability that predicts the nature of the heart disease condition.

The term “training data” includes knowledge of levels of lipid biomarkers relative to a control. A “control” includes a comparison to levels of biomarkers in a subject devoid of the heart disease condition or cured of the condition or may be a statistically determined level based on trials. The term “levels” also encompasses ratios of levels of lipid biomarkers.

Hence, the “training data” includes levels or ratios of one or more of three groups of lipid analytes selected from

-   -   (i) modified ceramides (modCER), modified phosphatidylcholines         (modPC) and modified cholesterol esters (modCE) selected from         those listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes selected from the         list in Table 1; and/or     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 (modCER, modPC and/or         modCE) and at least one is a non-modified lipid analyte,         selected from the list in Table 1.

The present invention further provides a panel of lipidomic biomarkers useful in the detection of a heart disease, the panel comprising lipid analytes selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1,         and     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         wherein the level or ratio of the lipid analyte or analytes,         relative to a control provides a correlation to the presence,         state, classification or progression of heart disease.

The lipid biomarkers contemplated herein include from one to 331 biomarkers such as 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80, 81, 82, 83, 84, 85, 86, 87, 88, 89, 90, 91, 92, 93, 94, 95, 96, 97, 98, 99, 100, 101, 102, 103, 104, 105, 106, 107, 108, 109, 110, 111, 112, 113, 114, 115, 116, 117, 118, 119, 120, 121, 122, 123, 124, 125, 126, 127, 128, 129, 130, 131, 132, 133, 134, 135, 136, 137, 138, 139, 140, 141, 142, 143, 144, 145, 146, 147, 148, 149, 150, 151, 152, 153, 154, 155, 156, 157, 158, 159, 160, 161, 162, 163, 164, 165, 166, 167, 168, 169, 170, 171, 172, 173, 174, 175, 176, 177, 178, 179, 180, 181, 182, 183, 184, 185, 186, 187, 188, 189, 190, 191, 192, 193, 194, 195, 196, 197, 198, 199, 200, 201, 202, 203, 204, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 211, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 220, 221, 222, 223, 224, 225, 226, 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 236, 237, 238, 239, 240, 241, 242, 243, 244, 245, 246, 247, 248, 249, 250, 251, 252, 253, 254, 255, 256, 257, 258, 259, 260, 261, 262, 263, 264, 265, 266, 267, 268, 269, 270, 271, 272, 273, 274, 275, 276, 277, 278, 279, 280, 281, 282, 283, 284, 285, 286, 287, 288, 289, 290, 291, 292, 293, 294, 295, 296, 297, 298, 299, 300, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 306, 307, 308, 309, 310, 311, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 322, 323, 324, 325, 326, 327, 328, 329, 330 or 331 biomarkers. The levels or concentrations of the biomarkers provide the input test data referred to herein as a “second knowledge base of data”. The second knowledge base of data either is considered relative to a control or is fed into an algorithm generated by a “first knowledge base of data” which comprise information of the levels of biomarkers in a subject with a known heart disease condition. The second knowledge base of data is from a subject of unknown status with respect to a heart disease condition. The output of the algorithm or the comparison to a control is a probability or risk factor, referred to herein as “an index of probability”, of a subject having a particular heart disease condition or not having the condition. This includes determining whether the subject has unstable (vulnerable patient) or stable (non-vulnerable patient) plaques:

Data generated from the levels of a lipid analyte selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1,         and     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         are input data. The input of data comprising the lipid analytes         is compared with a control or is put into the algorithm which         provides a risk value of the likelihood that the subject has,         for example, heart disease. A treatment regime can also be         monitored as well as a likelihood of a relapse.

In context of the present disclosure, “fluid” includes any blood fraction, for example serum or plasma, that can be analyzed according to the methods described herein. By measuring blood levels of a particular lipid biomarker(s), it is meant that any appropriate blood fraction can be tested to determine blood levels and that data can be reported as a value present in that fraction. Other fluids contemplated herein include ascites, tissue exudate, urine, lymph fluid, mucus and respiratory fluid.

As described above, methods for diagnosing heart disease by determining levels of specific identified lipid biomarkers as listed in Table 1 and using these levels as second knowledge base data in an algorithm generated with first knowledge base data or levels of the same biomarkers in patents with a known disease. Also provided are methods of detecting symptomatic heart disease comprising determining the presence and/or velocity of specific identified lipid biomarkers in a subject's sample. By “velocity” it is meant the change in the concentration of the biomarker in a patient's sample over time.

The term “sample” as used herein means any sample containing lipid analytes that one wishes to detect including, but not limited to, biological fluids (including blood, plasma, serum, ascites), tissue extracts, freshly harvested cells, and lysates of cells which have been incubated in cell cultures. In a particular embodiment, the sample is heart tissue, one or more plaque, blood, serum, plasma or ascites.

As indicated above, the “subject” can be any mammal, generally human, suspected of having or having heart disease. The subject may be symptomatic or asymptomatic.

The term “control sample” includes any sample that can be used to establish a first knowledge base of data from subjects with a known disease status.

The method of the subject invention may be used in the diagnosis and staging of heart disease. The present invention may also be used to monitor the progression of a condition and to monitor whether a particular treatment is effective or not. In particular, the method can be used to confirm the absence or amelioration of the symptoms of the condition such as following surgery, stents, medication or behavioural change.

In an embodiment, the subject invention contemplates a method for monitoring the progression of heart disease in a patient, comprising:

-   -   (a) providing a sample from a patient;     -   (b) determining the level of a lipid analyte selected from the         list consisting of:         -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;         -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table             1, and         -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a             modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is             a non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;             wherein the level or ratio of the lipid analyte or analytes             relative to a control provides a correlation to the             presence, state, classification or progression of heart             disease subjecting the levels to an algorithm to provide an             index of probability of the patient having heart disease;             and     -   (c) repeating steps (a) and (b) at a later point in time and         comparing the result of step (b) with the result of step (c)         wherein a difference in the index of probability is indicative         of the progression of the condition in the patient.

In particular, an increased index of probability of a disease condition at the later time point may indicate that the condition is progressing and that the treatment (if applicable) is not being effective. In contrast, a decreased index of probability at the later time point may indicate that the condition is regressing and that the treatment (if applicable) is effective.

The present invention further provides an algorithm-based screening assay to screen samples from patients. Generally, input data are collected based on levels of one or more lipid biomarkers and subjected to an algorithm to assess the statistical significance of any elevation or reduction in levels which information is then output data. Computer software and hardware for assessing input data are encompassed by the present invention.

Another aspect of the present invention contemplates a method of treating a patient with heart disease the method comprising subjecting the patient to a diagnostic assay to determine an index of probability of the patient having the heart condition, the assay comprising determining the levels of a lipid analyte selected from the list consisting of:

-   -   (i) one or more modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1;     -   (ii) two or more non-modified lipid analytes listed in Table 1,         and     -   (iii) two or more lipid analytes wherein at least one is a         modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1 and at least one is a         non-modified lipid analyte listed in Table 1;         wherein the level or ratio of the lipid analyte or analytes         relative to a control provides a correlation to the presence,         state, classification or progression of heart disease and where         there is a risk of the patient having the condition, subjecting         the patient to surgical intervention, medication and/or         behavioural change and then monitoring index of probability over         time.

Reference to an “algorithm” or “algorithmic functions” as outlined above includes the performance of a multivariate or univariate analysis function. A range of different architectures and platforms may be implemented in addition to those described above. It will be appreciated that any form of architecture suitable for implementing the present invention may be used. However, one beneficial technique is the use of distributed architectures. In particular, a number of end stations may be provided at respective geographical locations. This can increase the efficiency of the system by reducing data bandwidth costs and requirements, as well as ensuring that if one base station becomes congested or a fault occurs, other end stations could take over. This also allows load sharing or the like, to ensure access to the system is available at all times.

In this case, it would be necessary to ensure that the base station contains the same information and signature such that different end stations can be used.

It will also be appreciated that in one example, the end stations can be hand-held devices, such as PDAs, mobile phones, or the like, which are capable of transferring the subject data to the base station via a communications network such as the Internet, and receiving the reports.

In the above aspects, the term “data” means the levels or concentrations of the biomarkers. The “communications network” includes the internet. When a server is used, it is generally a client server or more particularly a simple object application protocol (SOAP).

A report outlining the likelihood of heart disease by the subject is issued.

The present invention is further described by the following non-limiting Examples. Materials and Methods used in these Examples are provided below.

Materials and Methods Sample Collection

Plasma samples from the CAD patients used in this study were collected as part of a previous study conducted by White et al. Cardiovascular Research 75:813-20, 2007. A total of 202 patients with de novo presentation of CAD who were undergoing coronary angiography were recruited (White et al. supra 2007). Patients who had undergone previous coronary revascularization were excluded. Of the original 202 patients, plasma samples from 143 were available for use in this project. Patients were classified as either stable (n=61) or unstable (n=81) by two independent cardiologists on the basis of their symptoms, 12-lead ECG and cardiac troponin I measurements in accordance with the Braunwald criteria (White et al. supra 2007; Braunwald E. Circulation 80:410-4, 1989). Venous blood samples were collected into EDTA tubes. The plasma was prepared by centrifugation (1000×g, 15 minutes at 4° C.) and stored at −80° C. until required. Biochemical, lipid, and hematological parameters as well as clinical characteristics were measured. These included total cholesterol, LDL, high density lipoprotein (HDL), blood pressure, C reactive protein (CRP), smoking status, medications and body mass index (BMI).

Plasma samples from a cohort of 61 healthy individuals were obtained and used as control samples. Patients were not receiving medication for coronary vascular disease (CVD), diabetes or hypertension and had no history of myocardial infarction (MI). Additionally, patients displayed blood pressure <131/86 mm Hg, fasting total cholesterol <5.6 mmol/L, fasting triglycerides <2.0 mmol/L and fasting plasma glucose <6.1 mmol/L. Plasma was prepared by centrifugation (1500×g, 10 minutes at 4° C.) within 24 hours of collection. The plasma samples had not been thawed prior to this study.

Sample Preparation and Lipid Extraction

Plasma samples (200 μL) were thawed and treated with the antioxidant butylhydroxytoluene (BHT) (1 μL of 100 mM in ethanol) and immediately vortexed. Lipid extraction was performed using a modification of the method of Folch et al. J Biol Chem 226:497-509, 1957. A 10 μL aliquot of plasma was transferred to an eppendorf tube with 10 μL of internal standard mix 1 and 5 μL of internal standard mix 2 (Table 2). CHCl₃/MeOH (2:1) (200 μL) was added followed by brief vortexing. Samples were placed on a rotary mixer for ten minutes and then sonicated in a water bath at room temperature for thirty minutes. After sonication, the samples were incubated for twenty minutes at room temperature followed by centrifugation (16,000×g, 10 minutes at room temperature). The supernatant was transferred into a 0.5 mL polypropylene 96 well plate and dried under a stream of nitrogen at 40° C. The samples were resuspended in 50 μL water saturated butanol followed by ten minutes sonication. Then 50 μL of 10 mM ammonium formate in methanol was added. The samples were centrifuged (3,350×g, 5 minutes at room temperature) and the supernatant transferred into 0.2 mL micro-inserts placed into 32×11.6 mm glass vials with Teflon insert caps. Once extracted the samples were immediately subjected to mass spectrometry.

Mass Spectrometry

Lipid analysis was performed by liquid chromatography, electrospray ionisation-tandem mass spectrometry (LC ESI-MS/MS) using a HP 1200 liquid chromatography system combined with a PE Sciex API 4000 Q/TRAP mass spectrometer with a turbo-ionspray source (350° C.) and Analyst 1.5 data system. A Zorbax C18, 1.8 μm, 50×2.1 mm column was used for LC separation. The mobile phase consisted of tetrahydrofuran:methanol:water in the ratios 30:20:50 (Solvent A) and 75:20:5 (Solvent B), both containing 10 mM NH4COOH. The following gradient conditions were employed for all lipids except the DG and TG; 100% A/0% B reducing to 0% A/100% B over eight minutes followed by 2 minutes at 0% A/100% B, a return to 100% A/0% B over 0.5 minute then held for 3.5 minutes at 100% A/0% B prior to the next injection. DG and TG were separated using the same system with an isocratic flow at 15% A/85% for 6 minutes between injections.

The optimisation of voltages for collision energy (CE), declustering potential (DP), entrance potential (EP) and cell exit potential (CXP) was carried out using the tuning and optimisation feature of the instrument software (Analyst 1.5).

Nomenclature

The nomenclature (both systematic and common names) used in this document has come primarily from the two recent publications on this topic from the Lipid Maps Consortium (See Fahy et al., J Lipid Res. 51(6): 1618, 2010 and Fahy et al., J Lipid Res. 50: S9-14, 2009).

In addition, a number of terms have been used to define lipid species where the full structure is not known but where characteristic collision induced fragmentation data has provided us with a partial structure of the lipid species. These are as follows

modPC xxx.x/yy.y=modified or undefined phosphocholine containing lipid species with mass/charge ratio of the M+H ion denoted by xxx.x and retention time under the presently disclosed defined chromatographic conditions defined as yy.y minutes. modCer xxx.x/yy.y=modified or undefined sphingosine containing lipid species with mass/charge ratio of the M+H ion denoted by xxx.x and retention time under the presently disclosed defined chromatographic conditions defined as yy.y minutes. modCE xxx.x/yy.y=modified or undefined cholesterol containing lipid species with mass/charge ratio of the M+H ion denoted by xxx.x and retention time under the presently disclosed defined chromatographic conditions defined as yy.y minutes.

Modified PC species initially referred to as modPC 552.4/3.90, modP C 580.4/4.84, modPC 508.3/3.30, modPC 510.3/4.00, modPC 564.4/4.70, modPC 566.4/5.10, modPC752.5/5.7, modPC692.4/5.8, modPC678.4/5.4, modPC622.4/4.0, modPC878.6/7.1, modPC881.6/6.1 and modPC818.6/6.6, have been reclassified as LPC 20:0, LPC 22:0, LPAF 18:1, LPAF 18:0, LPAF 22:1, LPAF 22:0, PC34:5, APC 30:0, PC 28:0, PC 24:0, modPC877.6/7.1, modPC879.6/6.1 and APC 40:7, respectively. A small number of modPC species have been removed from Table 1, namely modPC 590.4/4.80, modPC 592.4/5.10, modPC 608.4/5.33, modPC 745.5/6.35, modPC 764.5/6.52 and modPC 769.5/6.25.

Identification of Potential Biomarkers:

1-O-acylceramides, oxidized phosphatidylcholine (OxPC) and oxidized cholesterol esters (OxCE) were thought to be potential biomarkers of the presence and progression of CAD. To identify lipid species in each of these classes, precursor ion scans were performed on a subset of 30 individuals (10 healthy controls, 10 stable CAD and 10 unstable CAD) chosen at random from our cohort.

Identification of Modified Ceramides:

Precursor scans were performed to identify 1-O-acylceramide species in plasma. Fragmentation of ceramides by CID in Q2 cleaves the bond between the carbon and the nitrogen at the sphingoid base and, with the loss of water, produces a daughter ion with a m/z 264.3 (Murphy et al. Chem Rev 101:479-526, 2001). Thus a precursor ion scan for m/z 264 will identify all modified ceramides including 1-O-acylceramides. These are referred to collectively as modified ceramides (modCer). Two precursor ion scans for m/z 264.3 were performed to cover the m/z ranges 530-760 for low molecular weight modCer and m/z 750-980 for high molecular weight modCer (Table 3).

Identification of Modified Phosphatidylcholines:

OxPC species may include non-truncated OxPCs which involve the addition of oxygen at the double bonds of the polyunsaturated acyl moities (Davis et al. J Biol Chem 283:6428-37, 2008) or truncated oxPCs where the oxidized acyl chains are cleaved to produce lower molecular weight species. A precursor ion scan for m/z 184 will identify all species of lipids containing a phosphocholine head group including oxidized phosphatidylcholines. However other phosphocholine species may also be identified, we have referred to these species as modified PC (modPC). To cover the possible m/z ranges that would cover all OxPCs, three precursor ion scan experiments were performed. The m/z ranges for Q1 for these three experiments were 490-670, 640-820 and 800-980. Fragmentation of phospholipids by CID of PC species produces a daughter ion of 184.1 which was used as the m/z setting in Q3 (Davis et al. supra 2008, Cui and Thomas Journal of Chromatography B; 877:2709-15, 2009) (Table 3).

Identification of Oxidized Cholesterol Esters:

As with phosphatidylcholine species, cholesterol esters which contain polyunsaturated fatty acids are susceptible to oxidation. A precursor ion scan of m/z 369 will identify all species of cholesterol ester, those with oxidized fatty acids. These are referred to as modified cholesterol esters (modCE). The mass ranges for the two precursor ion scan experiments aimed at identifying modCEs were m/z 450-650 and m/z 650-850 in Q1 with a m/z setting of 369.3 for Q3 (Table 3).

Plasma Lipid Profiling:

MRM experiments were established for each of the new lipid biomarkers identified from the precursor ion scans. These were then combined with a larger set of MRM experiments that had been developed by identifying the major species of each lipid class in plasma extracts using precursor ion and neutral loss scans (Table 4 and as updated in Table 15).

Plasma lipid profiling using these MRM experiments was performed on each of the 202 plasma samples in the cohort in addition to 14 quality control (QC) plasma samples. Each ion pair was monitored for between 10 and 50 ms (using scheduled MRM mode) with a resolution of 0.7 amu at half-peak height and the area under the resulting chromatogram was calculated. The peak area data was analysed using Applied Biosystems Analyst 1.5. Raw data for each class was normalised against the internal standard and converted into pmol per mL of plasma.

Statistical Analysis

Data Processing and Statistical Analysis of Precursor Ion Scan Data:

Data resulting from the precursor ion scans were analysed using Markerview (version 1.2). Data were normalized against the respective internal standard of the lipid class under investigation.

A Student's t-test was performed to identify which lipid analytes were significantly different between stable and unstable CAD groups and between control and CAD groups (stable and unstable CAD combined). Analytes with a p value <0.1 that did not correspond to known lipid species were then incorporated into the plasma profiling methods, these lipid species were termed modCer, modPC and modCE.

Data Processing and Statistical Analysis of MRM Data:

Non-parametric, Mann-Whitney-U tests were used to determine the analytes that were significantly different between stable vs unstable CAD groups and the control vs CAD groups. Analysis of variance (ANOVA) was performed on linear regression models to determine the relative contribution of the traditional risk factors and lipid analytes to classification models (SPSS version 17.0, SPSS Inc).

Multivariate analysis was applied for the creation of prediction models. This analysis followed a statistical machine learning approach and methodology comprising multiple cross-validation iterations to assess the power of proposed solutions (National ICT Australia). Briefly, recursive feature elimination (RFE) analysis with three-fold cross-validation repeated multiple times (100) was applied to develop multivariate models using support vector machine learning. This was done for models of varying feature size (e.g., 2, 4, 8, 16, 32 and 64). The output of this exercise was a ranked list of the lipids according to the frequency of their recurrent incorporation in generated models. This approach also allowed the removal of those highly correlated variables that did not add significantly to the model. For each set of models with different numbers of analytes Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed, calculating Area Under the Curve (AROC).

ROC analysis is used extensively in diagnostic testing to determine the performance of a given model (Fawcett T Pattern Recogn Lett 27:861-74, 2006).

Example 1 Patient Characteristics

The patients in the stable and unstable cohorts were closely matched, with the exception of smoking status and hsCRP (Table 5). In contrast, most of the clinical and biochemical parameters differed significantly between the control cohort and the CAD cohort (combined stable and unstable CAD patients) (Table 5).

The medication profile of the stable and unstable CAD patients was examined for lipid lowering, antihypertensive, antiplatelet, anticoagulant, anti-anginal anti-arrhythmic and anti-diabetic treatments. X² revealed that four medications were significantly different between these two cohorts (Table 6). The medications that showed differences were statins for the lipid lowering medications, angiotensin II blockers and intravenous glycerol nitrate from the anti-hypertensive medications and heparin infusion from the anticoagulant medications.

Example 2 Identification of Biomarkers

Precursor ion scans were used to identify modCer, modPC and modCE biomarkers using Markerview software (version 1.2).

This software aligns and then tabulates the m/z and retention time for all the peaks (also called features) within the precursor ions scans. It then normalizes the data against the relevant internal standard. A student t-test was then applied to the features to identify which were different between stable and unstable CAD cohorts and between the control and CAD cohorts, at a significance of p<0.10. The spectra of these peaks were then examined to remove known lipid species and isotopes.

From this process a total of 75 markers (14 modCer, 57 modPC and 4 modCE) were selected across the three lipid classes, these markers are shown in Table 7.

Example 3 Plasma Lipid Profiling of Control, Stable CAD and Unstable CAD Cohorts

Each of the 202 plasma samples in the cohort was analyzed for a total of 331 lipid species by the two scheduled MRM experiments (Tables 7 and 8). From the lipid concentrations in the 14 QC samples the coefficients of variation (% CV) were determined across the entire analytical run. % CV values were less than 20% for 271 of the 331 lipid species. Those lipids which had a % CV greater that 20% were primarily lipid species that were in low abundance (<200 pmol/mL) these did not include the top ranking lipid analytes.

Example 4 Univariate Analysis

A Mann Whitney-U test was used to distinguish which lipids showed significant differences between cohorts (stable CAD vs unstable CAD and control vs CAD). This identified 73 lipids that were significantly different between the stable and unstable CAD cohorts (p<0.05) and 198 lipids that showed statistical significance (p<0.05) between the control and CAD cohorts and (Table 9). A summary of the total number of lipids per lipid class that show differences between these cohorts is shown in Table 10.

ANOVA

In order to identify lipids that were independent predictors of class assignment linear regression analysis was performed. A number of different models were created to analyse different subsets of the cohort for covariates.

Models 1 to 3 were created with the stable CAD and unstable CAD cohorts. Model one used only the 13 traditional risk factors (age, sex, smoking status, diabetes, hypertension, family history of CAD, BMI, total cholesterol, LDL, HDL, triglycerides, glucose and hsCRP, Table 5). Model 2 was created using only the lipids (see Table 9 and 10) and Model 3 included both the lipids as well as the traditional risk factors. The ANOVA results and covariates that were independent predictors and showed significance (p<0.05) are shown in Table 11. The partial correlation values show the relative contribution of the independent variables to the model when the linear effects of the other independent variables in the models have been removed. From the R2 values (measure of the fit of the model) it can be seen that model 3 (R²=0.473) shows the best fit indicating that the combination of the lipid biomarkers and the traditional risk factors provides a better classification of the stable and unstable CAD cohorts than the traditional risk factors or the lipids alone. Whilst CRP is the most significant sources of variation between these two cohorts, the lipids PI 34:0. DHC 18:1, modCer 703.6/5.87, SM 22:1 and GM3 18:0 were also shown to be independent predictors.

Models 4, 5 & 6 represent models created with the control and CAD cohorts using traditional risk factors alone, lipids alone or a combination of both respectively. The fit of these models (R2 values shown in Table 12) parallel that of the stable versus unstable CAD models with the data showing an improvement in the fit to the predictive model when traditional risk factors and lipids were combined. Twenty-one lipids were identified as being able to distinguish between control and CAD patients independently of all other factors (Table 12, model 6).

Example 5 Multivariate Analysis

Linear regression modeling was able to create models that examined the influence of traditional risk factors, lipids and a combination of these in classifying between stable and unstable CAD patients, and control and CAD patients. However, given the complexity of the data set and the large number of variables, multivariate modeling is more appropriate to create a predictive model based upon the plasma lipid profile (Bylesjö et al. Journal of Chemometrics 20:341-51, 2006).

Recursive feature elimination (RFE) analysis was applied using three-fold cross validation (repeated 100 times) to develop multivariate models using support vector machine learning. This was done for models of varying feature size (e.g., 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32 and 64) and for models that included either lipids alone or lipids with traditional risk factors. The output of this exercise was a ranked list of the lipids according to the frequency of their recurrent incorporation in the generated models to distinguish stable CAD from unstable CAD (Table 13) or control from CAD (Table 14). This approach also allowed the removal of those significant but highly correlated variables that did not add significantly to the model.

The Y predictor values from these models were used to perform Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) analysis, which measures the sensitivity and specificity of the model and can be used as a measure of the model's ability to correctly classify cases (Stenlund et al. Analytical Chemistry 80:6898-906, 2008). The area under the curve (AUC) from these ROC analyses was potted against the number of variables to identify the minimum number required for optimal discrimination (FIGS. 1(A) and (B) and 2(A) and (B)). In the models created to discriminate between stable CAD and unstable CAD increasing the number of lipids in the model increased the AUC which reached a maximum at 8-16 lipid analytes (FIG. 1 panel A). Using a combination of traditional risk factors and lipids gave the best discrimination with a maximum AUC achieved with 8 features. FIG. 2, panel B shows that lipid only models had a lower error rate that the traditional risk factor only models but that the combined traditional risk factor and lipid models had the lowest error rates.

Models created to distinguish control and CAD had higher AUC and continued to show a slight increase up to 256 lipids although 16 lipids was sufficient to produce an AUC of 0.94 (FIG. 2 panel A). Similar to the stable CAD vs unstable CAD models, the combination of traditional risk factors and lipids resulted in the highest AUC with 16 features showing an AUC of 0.96. The combination of traditional risk factors and lipids also resulted in the lowest error rates in the control vs CAD models (FIG. 2, panel B).

The two models created with the 8 and 16 lipids (stable CAD vs unstable CAD and control vs CAD) were compared to the models created with the traditional risk factors and then to models created with a combination of the traditional risk factors and the lipids. These traditional risk factors included age, sex, smoking status, diabetes, hypertension, family history of CAD, BMI, total cholesterol, LDL, HDL, triglycerides, glucose and hsCRP. Whilst CRP is not classified as a traditional risk factor it was included in these models because CRP is a marker of inflammation and has also been used in other risk prediction scores such as the Reynolds Risk Score (Ridker et al. Circulation 109:IV-6-19, 2004; Ridker et al. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association 297:611-9, 2007; Shearer et al. PLoS ONE 4:e5444, 2009).

Models were validated by three-fold cross validation repeated 10 times and the results combined in a ROC analyses. In the stable CAD vs unstable CAD models, traditional risk factors alone gave an AUC of 0.723 compared with 0.748 for 8 lipids, while the 13 traditional risk factors combined with the 8 lipids resulted in an AUC of 0.765 (FIG. 3). In the control vs CAD models, traditional risk factors alone gave an AUC of 0.927 compared with 0.963 for 16 lipids, while the 13 traditional risk factors combined with the 16 lipids resulted in an AUC of 0.973 (FIG. 4).

Discussion

There are no current screening methods that can prospectively identify unstable plaque. As proposed herein, plasma lipids are suitable biomarkers to identify plaque instability and patient vulnerability. ModCer, modPC and modCE lipid species were identified as useful biomarkers that can distinguish between stable and unstable CAD. These markers as well as previously characterised lipids enabled the creation of a plasma lipid profile that reflected the changes in lipid metabolism associated with the progression of CAD. In combination with the traditional risk factors, the plasma lipid profiles improved the ability to stratify CAD patients into stable and unstable cohorts, and may serve as a cost effective, non-invasive clinical screening method to identify non-symptomatic patients at risk (Damas and Aukrust Scand Cardiovasc J 40:262-6, 2006; Naghavi et al. Circulation 108:1772-8, 2003).

Identification of New Biomarkers for CAD:

Whilst the exact changes that occur in lipid metabolism during the progression of CAD are not fully understood, there is growing evidence to suggest that the lipid peroxidation products play a role in atherogenesis (Davis et al. supra. 2008; Oei et al. Circulation 111:570-5, 2005). Precursor ion scanning allowed the identification of modPCs and modCer based upon their characteristic fragmentation. The plasma concentrations of these lipids were significantly different between the stable and unstable CAD cohorts as well as the control and CAD cohorts. This supports the concept that ModPCs and modCers are involved in the changes that occur in lipid metabolism with the progression of the disease. Whilst precursor ion scanning enabled the determination of the parent ion m/z for these lipids, it is not able to provide information regarding their exact structure. By identifying the species of interest (i.e. those that show a significant difference between cohorts), this provides an efficient means of targeting specific lipids to be further characterised by either further mass spectrometric analysis or other structural methods such as nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. This information may further unravel the mechanism behind the changes in lipid metabolism driving plaque progression and instability.

Example 6 Updated Results Updated Patient Characteristics

The patients in the stable and unstable cohorts did not differ in conventional risk factors, with the exception of smoking status, and hsCRP (Table 1). In contrast, most clinical and biochemical parameters differed significantly between the control cohort and the CAD cohort (combined stable and unstable CAD patients) (Table 1). This selection of the control group was made to optimise the ability to identify differentiating lipid species. Medication use was similar between the stable and unstable groups with the exception of statin and antigoagulant use (Table 2).

Identification of New Biomarkers and Plasma Lipid Profiling

Analysis of the plasma lipid extracts from 10 control, 10 stable and 10 unstable CAD patients by precursor ion scanning identified 38 species of modPC, 13 species of modCer and 4 species of modCE that displayed a significant difference between control and CAD groups. These were combined with the other lipid species identified in plasma to define the plasma lipid profile (Table 1, Table 7 and Table 8).

Plasma samples were analysed for 329 lipid species by two scheduled MRM experiments. Quality control plasma samples (QC; 14 replicates) were evenly spaced within the cohort. The coefficients of variation (CV) within the QC samples were less than 20% for 271 of the 329 lipid species. Those lipids which had a CV greater that 20% were primarily lipid species that were in low abundance (<200 pmol/mL); none of these were included in the top ranked lipid analytes used in the multivariate models.

Binary logistic regression analysis, adjusting for age and sex identified 30 lipids that were significantly different (p<0.01) between the stable CAD and unstable CAD groups and 95 lipids that were different (p<0.01) between the control and CAD (stable and unstable combined) groups (Table 16).

Multivariate Analysis

Binary logistic regression models (3-fold cross validation repeated 100 times) were created to assess the relative contribution of lipids and risk factors to the differentiation of stable CAD from unstable CAD and control from CAD. Models (stable CAD vs unstable CAD) using lipids only, traditional risk factors only or a combination of both produced C-statistics of 0.739 (CI 0.734-0.745), 0.679 (CI 0.673-0.685) and 0.804 (CI 0.798-0.811) and % accuracy of 69.5, 64.5 and 73.3 respectively (Table 17A). The multiple cross validation enabled us to rank the lipids and traditional risk-factors based on their recurrent incorporation in the logistic models. The ranked lists for the lipid only and risk factor only models are shown in Tables 18 and 19. Table 20 shows the ranked list for the combined lipids and traditional risk factor models. Models of control vs CAD using lipids only, traditional risk factors only or a combination of both produced C-statistics of 0.946 (CI 0.944-0.948), 0.956 (CI 964-0.958 and 0.982 CI 0.981-0.983 and % accuracy of 87.4, 90.3 and 92.3 respectively (Table 17B). The ranked features for the separate lipid and risk factor models are shown in Supplementary Tables 21 and 22. The ranked features for the combined lipids and risk factors model are shown in Table 23.

Recursive feature elimination (RFE) analysis was also applied using three-fold cross validation (repeated 100 times) to develop multivariate models using support vector machine learning. Models of varying feature size (e.g., 1, 2, 4, 8, 16 . . . , 329) that included either lipids alone, risk factors alone or lipids with risk factors were developed. The ranked list of the lipids/risk factors according to the frequency of their recurrent incorporation in the generated models is shown in Tables 24 and 25. The C-statistic and % accuracy from each model was plotted against the number of variables to assess the performance of the different models and identify the minimum number required for optimal discrimination (FIG. 5). Models using lipids alone (FIG. 5A circles) to discriminate stable CAD from unstable CAD showed a maximum C-statistic (0.739, CI 0.734-0.745) with only 16 lipids in the model. This was significantly better than the model created with risk factors alone (FIG. 5A squares) (C-statistic of 0.679, CI 0.673-0.685), while the model containing a combination of lipids and risk factors performed best (C-statistic of 0.804 (CI 0.798-0.811)) with only eight features (FIG. 6). This model also had the highest accuracy of 73.3% compared to risk factors alone (FIG. 5A triablges and FIG. 6) (64.5%) or lipids alone (69.5%) (FIG. 5B).

Classification of CAD from control using lipids only gave a C-statistic of 0.939 (CI 0.937-0.945) with 128 lipids in the model, however, only 16 lipids were sufficient to give a C-statistic of 0.919 (See FIG. 5C) (CI 0.917-0.921). While the traditional risk factors performed slightly better than lipids with a C-statistic of 0.965 (CI 0.964-0.966), the combined lipids and risk factor model performed best with a C-statistic of 0.973 (CI 0.972-0.974) with 16 features. This model also had the highest accuracy of 85.3% compared to risk factors (83.2%) or lipids (80.2%) (FIG. 5D). The high level of discrimination of control from CAD with all models reflects the CAD status of the control group specifically chosen to highlight differences in the lipid profile between these groups.

Updated Discussion

This study has identified differences in the plasma lipidome between stable CAD and unstable CAD. Multivariate models combining traditional risk factors and plasma lipids gave a significant improvement over traditional risk factors alone such that over 73% of patients could be correctly classified as either stable or unstable CAD. These findings indicate that plasma lipid profiling has significant diagnostic and prognostic potential for the identification of individuals at risk for unstable coronary syndromes.

The healthy control group was selected to provide the greatest phenotypic difference with the CAD groups and thereby optimise the ability to identify new lipid markers associated with CAD. Subsequent analyses of these new lipid markers and 276 known lipid species in the stable and unstable CAD groups identified 30 of these lipid species as potential biomarkers of unstable CAD. The single most prominent difference between stable and unstable CAD was the concentration of PI species. Total PI was 13.8% lower in the unstable CAD group relative to the stable CAD group with 9 of the 17 species showing a significantly lower level (p<0.01) and a further five species showing a negative trend. This is in addition to a 13.5% decrease in the stable CAD group relative to the control group, demonstrating an association between PI species and disease severity. The relevance of these observations may lie in the fact that PI, via the action of PLA2, is the primary source of arachidonic acid which is required for the biosynthesis of the prostaglandins and other ecosanoids that are involved in the activation of monocytes and macrophages and associated with matrix metalloproteinase production, a hallmark of plaque instability. PLA2 has been detected in atherosclerotic lesions, both co-localised with macrophages and in the extracellular matrix where it is thought to act on LDL to release arachidonic acid.

In contrast to PI, PS which also showed a decrease in stable CAD relative the control group (−36.1%, p=3.03E-04) displayed a higher level in the unstable CAD relative to the stable CAD group (23.9%, non-significant). PS is released from activated platelets in membrane vesicles and enhances the activation of prothrombin to thrombin during blood coagulation and thrombogenesis. However, PS is also a substrate for a number of phospholipases which may account for the lower levels in the stable CAD group relative to the control group.

In addition to differences between stable CAD and unstable CAD, many lipids showed a significant difference between the control and CAD groups. Alkylphosphatidylcholine (APC) species were almost uniformly lower in the CAD cohort with 9 of 17 species significantly different at the p<0.01 level and all but one species showing a negative trend. This may relate to the higher oxidative stress in the CAD group and the action of ROS on the polyunsaturated fatty acids of the APC species or directly on the vinyl ether linkages of the plasmalogens, which are also included in this lipid class. Alternatively, lower APC may be the result of increased PLA2 activity in these patients. The primary source of PLA2 activity in circulation is the lipoprotein PLA2 (Lp-PLA2), also known as the platelet activating factor acetylhydrolase which has been associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease in numerous epidemiological studies.

However, while the action of ROS and PLA2 on these lipids would be expected to lead to the generation of LPC, which has previously been positively associated with inflammation and atherosclerosis, as described herein, lower levels of all LPC species with the exception of LPC 20:4 and LPC 20:3 which were significantly higher in the CAD group. The lower levels may result from an increase in the catabolism of these species were observed here, but more likely relates to their more efficient removal from circulation into tissues, either in the form of modified low-density lipoprotein or directly from albumin, which represents the major form of plasma LPC.

Some of these lipids (APC 34:2, LPC 16:1, LPC14:0) displayed a further decrease in the unstable CAD relative to the stable CAD again demonstrating an association with disease severity. LPC 14:0 had median levels of 2038, 1619 and 1192 pmol/mL in control, stable and unstable CAD groups respectively (FIG. 7). However, other lipids were altered specifically in the unstable CAD group relative to the combined control and stable CAD groups; SM 18:0 showed no difference between control and CAD but was significantly higher in the unstable CAD group relative to the stable CAD group (p=3.37E-3) (FIG. 7).

Differences of this type may reflect specific alterations in lipid metabolism associated with unstable disease.

Whilst the exact changes that occur in lipid metabolism during the progression of CAD are not fully understood, there is growing evidence to suggest that lipid peroxidation products play a role in atherogenesis. Precursor ion scanning allowed the identification of modified forms of PC (modPC) that have previously been reported as oxidised and truncated species (Davis et al., J. Biol. Chem. 283: 6428-6437, 2008; Oei et al., Circulation. 111: 570-575, 2005). These were also decreased in the CAD groups relative to the control group and some species showed a further decrease in unstable CAD relative to stable CAD. This may also be a reflection of increased PLA2 activity and tissue uptake as oxidised PC species are reported to be preferred substrates for LpPLA2 (Davis et al., 2008 (supra)) and high affinity ligands for scavenger receptors. Modified Cer species (modCer) were also identified as potential biomarkers and may relate to the formation of acylceramide species associated with lysosomal PLA2 activity involved in turnover of oxLDL.

Despite the incomplete knowledge of the lipid metabolism associated with CAD lipid biomarkers are described herein as useful for the development of multivariate models to effectively stratify individuals based on disease status. The inventors' strategy was to incorporate lipid classes that reflect the multiple biological functions and processes that underlie the progression of CAD, then apply recursive feature elimination with multiple cross validation to create optimal classification models with the minimum number of lipids. This process demonstrated that only 8-16 lipids were required to achieve almost maximum discrimination of disease status (FIGS. 5A and C). These lipids (Tables 24 and 25) showed a strong homology with the top ranked lipids identified by the logistic regression (Tables 20 and 23) as those most often incorporated into the multivariate models, thereby supporting the RFE selection process.

The influence of statins on the plasma lipid profile was examined in the stable CAD cohort; 9 of 229 lipids showed a correlation with statin use (15-76% difference in concentration, p<0.01) with a further 19 having 0.01>p<0.05. However, only three of these 28 were identified as discriminating stable CAD from unstable CAD and only six lipid species were identified in the 95 that were statistically different between the control and CAD groups (Table 26). Two of these (PC 37:4 and PS 38:4) showed an opposite trend with statin use, to that observed in the CAD group, suggesting that statin use may partially correct these lipid levels.

Notwithstanding the limitations of a cross sectional study to develop predictive models, many of the lipids identified as discriminatory for unstable CAD displayed an association with disease severity suggesting that they are altered prior to the onset of ACS. The application of recursive feature elimination (RFE) using support vector machine learning enabled the development and cross validation of multivariate models for the classification of CAD patients as stable or unstable. The combination of only eight traditional risk factors and plasma lipids provided the best discrimination with a C-statistic of 0.804 (CI, 0.798-0.811) a significant improvement on the traditional risk factors alone which produced a C-statistic of only 0.679 (CI, 0.673-0.685) (FIG. 6).

The Examples demonstrate the potential of plasma lipid profiling for the identification of stable and unstable CAD.

Many modifications will be apparent to those skilled in the art without departing from the scope of the present invention.

TABLE 2 Internal standard mix composition and concentration^(a) # Lipid species Internal standard Concentration (pmol/15 μL) 1 bis(monoacylglycero)phosphate (BMP) BMP 14:0/14:0 100 2 ceramide (Cer) Cer17:0 100 3 monohexosylceramide (MHC) MHC 16:0 d3 50 4 dihexosylceramide (DHC) DHC 16:0 d3 50 5 trihexosylceramide (THC) THC 17:0 50 6 1-O-acylceramide (acCer) acCer 17:0 18:1 100 7 sphingomyelin (SM) SM 12:0 200 8 phosphatidylglycerol (PG) PG 17:0 17:0 100 9 phosphatidylcholine (PC) PC 13:0 13:0 100 10 phosphatidylcholine (PC) PC 21:0 21:0 100 11 phosphatidylethanolamine (PE) PE 17:0 17:0 100 12 phosphatidylserine (PS) PS 17:0 17:0 100 13 lysophosphatidylcholine (LPC) LPC 13:0 100 14 diacylglycerol (DG) DG 15:0 15:0 200 15 triacylglycerol (TG) TG 17:0 17:0 17:0 100 16 cholesterol (COH) COH d7 1000 17 cholesterol ester (CE) CE 18:0 d6 1000 ^(a)prepared in CHCL3/MeOH (1:1), 15 μL used in each plasma sample

TABLE 3 Mass spectrometer settings used for precursor ion scans Q1 Q3 m/z Species m/z range setting DP^(a) EP^(b) CE^(c) CXP^(d) modified 530-760 264.3 70 10 35-50 12 ceramide 750-980 264.3 70 10 50-65 12 modified 490-670 184.1 100 10 45 12 phosphatidylcholine 640-820 184.1 100 10 45 12 800-900 184.1 100 10 45 12 modified 450-650 369.3 55 10 20 12 cholesterol ester 650-850 369.3 55 10 20 12 ^(a)DP, declustering potential ^(b)EP, entrance potential ^(c)CE, collision energy ^(d)CXP, cell exit potential

TABLE 4 Scan methods used to create MRM acquisition methods for plasma lipid profiling No. of Lipid class species Internal standard Parent ion MRM type DP EP CE CXP ceramide (Cer) 7 Cer 17:0 [M + H]⁺ PIS^(a), 264.3 m/z 50 10 35 12 monohexosylceramide (MHC) 7 MHC 16:0 d3 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 264.3 m/z 77 10 50 12 dihexosylceramide (DHC) 7 DHC 16:0 d3 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 264.3 m/z 100 10 65 12 trihexosylcermide (THC) 7 THC 17:0 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 264.3 m/z 130 10 73 12 G_(M3) ganglioside (GM3) 6 THC 17:0 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 264.3 m/z 155 10 105 16 modified ceramide (modCer) 14 acCer 17:0 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 264.3 m/z 70 10 50 16 sphingomyelin (SM) 12 SM 12:0 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 184.1 m/z 65 10 35 12 phosphatidylglycerol (PG) 4 PG 17:0 17:0 [M⁺ NH₄]⁺ NL^(b), 189 Da 60 10 25 12 bis(monoacylglycerol)phosphate (BMP) 1 BMP 14:0 14:0 [M⁺ NH₄]⁺ PIS, 339.3 m/z 65 10 35 12 phosphatidylserine (PS) 7 PS 17:0 17:0 [M + H]⁺ NL, 185 Da 86 10 29 12 phosphatidylethanolamine (PE) 18 PE 17:0 17:0 [M + H]⁺ NL, 141 Da 80 10 31 12 phosphatidylinositol (PI) 17 PE 17:0 17:0 [M⁺ NH₄]⁺ PIS, 184.1 m/z 51 10 43 14 lysophosphatidylcholine (LPC) 14 LPC 13:0 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 184.1 m/z 90 10 38 12 lysoplatelet activating factor (LPAF) 3 LPC 13:0 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 285.2 m/z 90 10 42 5 phosphatidylcholine (PC) 19 PC 21:0 21:0^(c) [M + H]⁺ PIS, 184.1 m/z 100 10 45 11 odd-chain phosphatidylcholine (oddPC) 15 PC 21:0 21:0^(c) [M + H]⁺ PIS, 184.1 m/z 100 10 45 11 alkylphosphatidylcholine (APC) 16 PC 21:0 21:0^(c) [M + H]⁺ PIS, 184.1 m/z 100 10 45 11 modified phosphatidylcholine (modPC) 57 PC 21:0 21:0^(c) [M + H]⁺ PIS, 184.1 m/z 100 10 45 11 free cholesterol (COH) 1 COH d7 [M⁺ NH₄]⁺ PIS, 369.3 m/z 55 10 17 12 cholesterol ester (CE) 30 CE 18:0 d6 [M⁺ NH₄]⁺ PIS, 369.3 m/z 30 10 20 12 modified cholesterol ester (modCE) 4 CE 18:0 d6 [M⁺ NH₄]⁺ PIS, 369.3 m/z 55 10 20 12 diacylglycerol (DG) 27 DG 15:0 15:0 [M⁺ NH₄]⁺ NL, fatty acid 55 10 30 22 triaclyglycerol (TG) 44 TG 17:0 17:0 17:0 [M⁺ NH₄]⁺ NL, fatty acid 95 10 30 12 ^(a)NL, neutral loss scan ^(b)PIS, precursor ion scan ^(c)PC 13:0/13:0 was used as internal standard for species with m/z <700

TABLE 5 Clinical and biochemical characteristics of patient^(a) Control Stable CAD Unstable CAD P (stable CAD to P (Control to Characteristic (n = 61) (n = 62) (n = 81) unstable CAD)^(b) CAD)^(b) age (years) 60 ± 6  66 ± 10 65 ± 11 0.35 <0.0001 ^(c) sex (% female) 34 18 25 0.229 0.077 smoker (%) 3 15 30 0.030 0.001 diabetes (%) 0 32 32 0.976 <0.0001 hypertension (%) 0 66 51 0.075 <0.0001 CAD, family history (%) 48 40 32 0.335 0.120 BMI, (kg/m 2 ) 25.72 ± 2.25  28.00 ± 4.12  27.65 ± 3.85  0.62 0.003 total cholesterol, (mmol/L) 4.77 ± 0.45 4.38 ± 1.08 4.11 ± 0.96 0.13 0.001 LDL cholesterol, (mmol/L) 2.93 ± 0.49 2.59 ± 0.93 2.35 ± 0.77 0.12 0.0001 HDL cholesterol, (mmol/L) 1.34 ± 0.43 1.09 ± 0.31 1.10 ± 0.29 0.81 <0.0001 triglycerides, (mmol/L) 1.06 ± 0.58 1.63 ± 0.87 1.51 ± 0.97 0.47 0.0002 glucose, (mmol/L) 5.02 ± 0.48 6.88 ± 3.47 6.48 ± 2.27 0.45 <0.0001 hsCRP, mg/L 2.04 ± 2.29 3.41 ± 3.95 10.32 ± 8.32  <0.0001 <0.0001 ^(a)Data are mean ± standard deviation ^(b)p values for age, sex, smoker, diabetes, CAD family history and statin use were calculated using Chi Square. p Values for the other characteristics were calculated using Mann Whitney-U tests ^(c)variable with p < 0.05 are bolded

TABLE 6 Medication of stable and unstable CAD cohorts Medication Stable % Unstable % Chi Square value Significance Clopidogrel ^(a) 18 27 1.625 0.202 Aspirin ^(a) 95 94 0.103 0.748 statin ^(b) 54 88 19.991 0.000 ^(h) beta blocker ^(c) 59 65 0.612 0.434 ACE inhibitor ^(c) 43 56 2.328 0.127 angiotensin-II blocker ^(c) 23 6 1.076 0.300 oral/top nitrate ^(c) 31 27 0.269 0.604 intravenous glyceryl trinitrate (IV GTN) ^(c) 0 6 3.903 0.048 Ca channel blacker ^(c) 26 19 1.212 0.271 heparin infusion ^(d) 0 21 14.544 0.000 low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) ^(d) 0 11 7.236 0.007 insulin ^(g) 7 5 0.172 0.679 warfarin ^(d) 2 0 1.337 0.248 amiodarone ^(f) 2 1 0.041 0.839 spironolactone ^(c) 3 0 2.694 0.101 abciximab ^(a) 0 1 0.758 0.384 tirofiban ^(a) 0 6 3.903 0.048 frusemide ^(c) 11 9 0.314 0.575 sulfonylurea ^(g) 15 14 0.040 0.842 metformin ^(g) 23 11 3.593 0.058 ^(a) antiplatelet ^(b) lipid lowering ^(c) antihypertensive ^(d) anticoagulant ^(e) anti-anginal ^(f) anti-arrhythmic ^(g) anti-diabetic ^(h) variable with p < 0.05 are bolded

TABLE 7 Lipid analytes measured in MRM experiment 1 # Analyte exact mass Q1^(a) Q3^(b) tR^(c) ID^(d) DP^(e) EP^(f) CE^(g) CXP^(h) 1 Cer 16:0 537.512 538.5 264.3 7.10 Cer 16:0 50 10 35 12 S1 Cer 17:0 (IS) 551.528 552.5 264.3 7.26 Cer 17:0 (IS) 50 10 35 12 2 Cer 18:1 563.528 564.5 264.3 7.20 Cer 18:1 50 10 35 12 3 Cer 18:0 565.543 566.6 264.3 7.41 Cer 18:0 50 10 35 12 4 Cer 20:0 593.575 594.6 264.3 7.80 Cer 20:0 50 10 35 12 5 Cer 22:0 621.606 622.6 264.3 7.94 Cer 22:0 50 10 35 12 6 Cer 24:1 647.622 648.6 264.3 7.95 Cer 24:1 50 10 35 12 7 Cer 24:0 649.637 650.6 264.3 8.18 Cer 24:0 50 10 35 12 8 MHC 16:0 699.565 700.6 264.3 6.26 MHC 16:0 77 10 50 12 S2 MHC 16:0d3 (IS) 702.582 703.60 264.3 6.26 MHC 16:0d3 (IS) 77 10 50 12 9 MHC 18:1 725.581 726.6 264.3 6.40 MHC 18:1 77 10 50 12 10 MHC 18:0 727.596 728.6 264.3 6.61 MHC 18:0 77 10 50 12 11 MHC 20:0 755.628 756.6 264.3 6.93 MHC 20:0 77 10 50 12 12 MHC 22:0 783.659 784.7 264.3 7.21 MHC 22:0 77 10 50 12 13 MHC 24:1 809.674 810.7 264.3 7.22 MHC 24:1 77 10 50 12 14 MHC 24:0 811.690 812.7 264.3 7.47 MHC 24:0 77 10 50 12 15 DHC 16:0 861.618 862.6 264.3 5.91 DHC 16:0 100 10 65 12 S3 DHC 16:0d3 (IS) 864.635 865.6 264.3 5.91 DHC 16:0d3 (IS) 100 10 65 12 16 DHC 18:1 887.633 888.6 264.3 6.03 DHC 18:1 100 10 65 12 17 DHC 18:0 889.649 890.7 264.3 6.27 DHC 18:0 100 10 65 12 18 DHC 20:0 917.680 918.7 264.3 6.60 DHC 20:0 100 10 65 12 19 DHC 22:0 945.712 946.7 264.3 6.90 DHC 22:0 100 10 65 12 20 DHC 24:1 971.727 972.7 264.3 6.91 DHC 24:1 100 10 65 12 21 DHC 24:0 973.743 974.8 264.3 7.17 DHC 24:0 100 10 65 12 22 THC 16:0 1023.671 1024.7 264.3 5.69 THC 16:0 130 10 73 12 S4 THC 17:0 (IS) 1037.686 1038.7 264.3 5.87 THC 17:0 (IS) 130 10 73 12 23 THC 18:1 1049.686 1050.7 264.3 5.84 THC 18:1 130 10 73 12 24 THC 18:0 1051.702 1052.7 264.3 6.06 THC 18:0 130 10 73 12 25 THC 20:0 1079.733 1080.7 264.3 6.39 THC 20:0 130 10 73 12 26 THC 22:0 1107.764 1108.8 264.3 6.70 THC 22:0 130 10 73 12 27 THC 24:1 1133.780 1134.8 264.3 6.70 THC 24:1 130 10 73 12 28 THC 24:0 1135.796 1136.8 264.3 6.98 THC 24:0 130 10 73 12 29 GM3 16:0 1152.713 1153.7 264.3 4.82 GM3 16:0 155 10 105 16 30 GM3 18:0 1180.744 1181.8 264.3 5.15 GM3 18:0 155 10 105 16 31 GM3 20:0 1208.776 1209.8 264.3 5.49 GM3 20:0 155 10 105 16 32 GM3 22:0 1236.807 1237.8 264.3 5.77 GM3 22:0 155 10 105 16 33 GM3 24:1 1262.823 1263.8 264.3 5.78 GM3 24:1 155 10 105 16 34 GM3 24:0 1264.838 1265.8 264.3 6.04 GM3 24:0 155 10 105 16 35 modCer 576.5/7.68 575.500 576.5 264.3 7.68 modCer 576.5/7.68 70 10 50 16 36 modCer 614.6/5.72 613.600 614.6 264.3 5.72 modCer 614.6/5.72 70 10 50 16 37 modCer 632.6/9.22 631.600 632.6 264.3 9.22 modCer 632.6/9.22 70 10 50 16 38 modCer 651.6/7.56 650.600 651.6 264.3 7.56 modCer 651.6/7.56 70 10 50 16 39 modCer 703.6/5.87 702.620 703.61 264.3 5.87 modCer 703.6/5.87 70 10 50 16 40 modCer 731.6/6.22 730.600 731.6 264.3 6.22 modCer 731.6/6.22 70 10 50 16 41 modCer 766.6/7.17 765.600 766.6 264.3 7.17 modCer 766.6/7.17 70 10 50 16 42 modCer 769.6/8.01 768.600 769.6 264.3 8.01 modCer 769.6/8.01 70 10 50 16 43 modCer 798.7/7.29 797.700 798.7 264.3 7.29 modCer 798.7/7.29 70 10 50 16 S5 Acyl Cer 17:0 18:1 (IS) 815.800 816.8 264.3 8.90 Acyl Cer 17:0 18:1 (IS) 70 10 50 16 44 modCer 875.7/9.23 874.700 875.7 264.3 9.23 modCer 875.7/9.23 70 10 50 16 45 modCer 883.8/7.75 882.800 883.8 264.3 7.75 modCer 883.8/7.75 70 10 50 16 46 modCer 886.8/9.06 885.800 886.8 264.3 9.06 modCer 886.8/9.06 70 10 50 16 47 modCer 910.8/8.98 909.800 910.8 264.3 8.98 modCer 910.8/8.98 70 10 50 16 48 modCer 921.8/9.05 920.800 921.8 264.3 9.05 modCer 921.8/9.05 70 10 50 16 S6 SM 12:0 (IS) 646.505 647.5 184.1 4.70 SM 12:0 (IS) 65 10 35 12 S6 SM 12:0 (IS) 646.505 648.5 185.1 4.70 SM 12:0 + 1 (IS) 65 10 35 12 S6 SM 12:0 (IS) 646.505 649.5 186.1 4.70 SM 12:0 + 2 (IS) 65 10 35 12 49 SM 14:0 674.536 676.5 185.1 5.15 SM 14:0 + 1 65 10 35 12 50 SM 15:0 688.552 690.6 185.1 5.40 SM 15:0 + 1 65 10 35 12 51 SM 16:1 700.552 702.6 185.1 5.30 SM 16:1 + 1 65 10 35 12 52 SM 16:0 702.568 705.6 186.1 5.58 SM 16:0 + 2 65 10 35 12 53 SM 18:1 728.583 730.6 185.1 5.70 SM 18:1 + 1 65 10 35 12 54 SM 18:0 730.599 732.6 185.1 6.04 SM 18:0 + 1 65 10 35 12 55 SM 20:1 756.615 758.6 185.1 6.09 SM 20:1 + 1 65 10 35 12 56 SM 22:1 784.646 786.7 185.1 6.44 SM 22:1 + 1 65 10 35 12 57 SM 22:0 786.661 788.7 185.1 6.68 SM 22:0 + 1 65 10 35 12 58 SM 24:2 810.661 812.7 185.1 6.46 SM 24:2 + 1 65 10 35 12 59 SM 24:1 812.677 813.7 184.1 6.60 SM 24:1 65 10 35 12 60 SM 24:0 814.693 816.7 185.1 6.98 SM 24:0 + 1 65 10 35 12 61 PG 16:1 18:1 746.510 764.5 575.5 5.44 PG 16:1 18:1 60 10 25 12 62 PG 16:0 18:1 748.525 766.6 577.5 5.68 PG 16:0 18:1 60 10 25 12 S7 PG 17:0 17:0 (IS) 750.541 768.6 579.5 5.93 PG 17:0 17:0 (IS) 60 10 25 12 63 PG 18:1 18:1 774.541 792.6 603.5 5.76 PG 18:1 18:1 60 10 25 12 64 PG 18:0 18:1 776.557 794.6 605.6 6.00 PG 18:0 18:1 60 10 25 12 S8 BMP 14:0 14:0 (IS) 666.447 684.5 285.2 5.01 BMP 14:0 14:0 (IS) 65 10 35 5 65 BMP 18:1 18:1 774.541 792.6 339.3 5.76 BMP 18:1 18:1 65 10 35 5 S9 PS 17:0/17:0 763.536 764.5 579.5 5.78 PS 17:0/17:0 86 10 29 16 66 PS 36:2 787.536 788.5 603.5 5.67 PS 36:2 86 10 29 16 67 PS 36:1 789.552 790.6 605.6 5.87 PS 36:1 86 10 29 16 68 PS 38:5 809.521 810.5 625.5 5.49 PS 38:5 86 10 29 16 69 PS 38:4 811.536 812.5 627.5 5.69 PS 38:4 86 10 29 16 70 PS 38:3 813.552 814.6 629.6 5.82 PS 38:3 86 10 29 16 71 PS 40:6 835.536 836.5 651.5 5.69 PS 40:6 86 10 29 16 72 PS 40:5 837.552 838.6 653.6 5.73 PS 40:5 86 10 29 16 73 PE 32:1 689.500 690.5 549.5 6.25 PE 32:1 80 10 31 7 74 PE 32:0 691.515 692.5 551.5 6.40 PE 32:0 80 10 31 7 75 PE 34:2 715.515 716.5 575.5 6.30 PE 34:2 80 10 31 7 76 PE 34:1 717.531 718.5 577.5 6.50 PE 34:1 80 10 31 7 S10 PE 17:0/17:0 (IS) 719.547 720.6 579.5 6.53 PE 17:0/17:0 (IS) 80 10 31 7 77 PE 36:5 737.500 738.5 597.5 6.15 PE 36:5 80 10 31 7 78 PE 36:4 739.515 740.5 599.5 6.33 PE 36:4 80 10 31 7 79 PE 36:3 741.531 742.5 601.5 6.39 PE 36:3 80 10 31 7 80 PE 36:2 743.547 744.6 603.5 6.57 PE 36:2 80 10 31 7 81 PE 36:1 745.562 746.6 605.6 6.83 PE 36:1 80 10 31 7 82 PE 36:0 747.578 748.6 607.6 7.00 PE 36:0 80 10 31 7 83 PE 38:6 763.515 764.5 623.5 6.31 PE 38:6 80 10 31 7 84 PE 38:5 765.531 766.5 625.5 6.40 PE 38:5 80 10 31 7 85 PE38:4 767.547 768.6 627.5 6.66 PE38:4 80 10 31 7 86 PE 38:3 769.562 770.6 629.6 6.84 PE 38:3 80 10 31 7 87 PE 38:2 771.578 772.6 631.6 6.86 PE 38:2 80 10 31 7 88 PE 38:1 773.593 774.6 633.6 7.07 PE 38:1 80 10 31 7 89 PE 40:7 789.531 790.5 649.5 6.38 PE 40:7 80 10 31 7 90 PE 40:6 791.547 792.6 651.5 6.63 PE 40:6 80 10 31 7 91 PI 32:1 808.510 826.5 549.5 5.09 PI 32:1 51 10 43 14 92 PI 32:0 810.526 828.6 551.6 5.34 PI 32:0 51 10 43 14 93 PI 34:1 836.541 854.6 577.6 5.44 PI 34:1 51 10 43 14 94 PI 34:0 838.557 856.6 579.6 5.69 PI 34:0 51 10 43 14 95 PI 36:4 858.526 876.6 599.6 5.26 PI 36:4 51 10 43 14 96 PI 36:3 860.541 878.6 601.6 5.32 PI 36:3 51 10 43 14 97 PI 36:2 862.557 880.6 603.6 5.58 PI 36:2 51 10 43 14 98 PI 36:1 864.573 882.6 605.6 5.77 PI 36:1 51 10 43 14 99 PI 36:0 866.588 884.6 607.6 5.99 PI 36:0 51 10 43 14 100 PI 38:6 882.526 900.6 623.6 5.26 PI 38:6 51 10 43 14 101 PI 38:5 884.541 902.6 625.6 5.34 PI 38:5 51 10 43 14 102 PI 38:4 886.557 904.6 627.6 5.61 PI 38:4 51 10 43 14 103 PI 38:3 888.573 906.6 629.6 5.71 PI 38:3 51 10 43 14 104 PI 38:2 890.588 908.6 631.6 5.86 PI 38:2 51 10 43 14 105 PI 40:6 910.557 928.6 651.6 5.60 PI 40:6 51 10 43 14 106 PI 40:5 912.573 930.6 653.6 5.67 PI 40:5 51 10 43 14 107 PI 40:4 914.588 932.6 655.6 5.84 PI 40:4 51 10 43 14 S11 LPC 13:0 (IS) 453.286 454.3 184.1 1.22 LPC 13:0 (IS) 90 10 38 12 108 LPC 14:0 467.301 468.3 184.1 1.20 LPC 14:0 90 10 38 12 109 LPC 15:0 481.317 482.3 184.1 1.70 LPC 15:0 90 10 38 12 110 LPC 16:1 493.317 494.3 184.1 1.50 LPC 16:1 90 10 38 12 111 LPC 16:0 495.332 496.3 184.1 2.30 LPC 16:0 90 10 38 12 112 LPC 18:2 519.332 520.3 184.1 1.90 LPC 18:2 90 10 38 12 113 LPC 18:1 521.348 522.4 184.1 2.80 LPC 18:1 90 10 38 12 114 LPC 18:0 523.364 524.4 184.1 3.60 LPC 18:0 90 10 38 12 115 LPC 20:5 541.317 542.3 184.1 1.51 LPC 20:5 90 10 38 12 116 LPC 20:4 543.332 544.3 184.1 2.00 LPC 20:4 90 10 38 12 117 LPC 20:3 545.348 546.4 184.1 2.51 LPC 20:3 90 10 38 12 118 LPC 20:2 547.364 548.4 184.1 3.60 LPC 20:2 90 10 38 12 119 LPC 20:1 549.379 550.4 184.1 3.80 LPC 20:1 90 10 38 12 120 LPC 20:0 551.395 552.41 184.1 4.30 LPC 20:0 90 10 38 12 121 LPC 22:6 567.332 568.3 184.1 2.10 LPC 22:6 90 10 38 12 122 LPAF 16:0 481.353 482.4 104.1 3.00 LPAF 16:0 90 10 42 5 123 LPAF 18:1 507.369 508.4 104.1 3.30 LPAF 18:1 90 10 42 5 124 LPAF 18:0 509.385 510.4 104.1 3.90 LPAF 18:0 90 10 42 5 S12 PC 13:0/13:0 649.468 650.5 184.1 5.05 PC 13: 13:0 (IS) 100 10 45 11 S12 PC 13:0/13:0 650.492 651.5 185.1 5.05 PC 13: 13:0 + 1 (IS) 100 10 45 11 125 PC 30:2 701.500 703.5 185.1 5.31 PC 30:2 + 1 100 10 45 11 126 PC 32:2 729.531 731.5 185.1 5.80 PC 32:2 + 1 100 10 45 11 127 PC 32:1 732.547 733.6 184.1 5.96 PC 32:1 + 1 100 10 45 11 128 PC 32:0 733.562 735.6 185.1 6.24 PC 32:0 + 1 100 10 45 11 129 PC 34:3 755.547 757.6 185.1 5.88 PC 34:3 + 1 100 10 45 11 130 PC 34:2 757.562 760.6 186.1 6.16 PC 34:2 + 2 100 10 45 11 131 PC 34:1 759.578 761.6 185.1 6.28 PC 34:1 + 1 100 10 45 11 132 PC 34:0 761.593 763.6 185.1 6.37 PC 34:0 + 1 100 10 45 11 133 PC 36:5 779.547 781.6 185.1 5.92 PC 36:5 + 1 100 10 45 11 134 PC 36:4 781.562 784.6 186.1 6.17 PC 36:4 + 2 100 10 45 11 135 PC 36:3 783.578 785.6 185.1 6.25 PC 36:3 + 1 100 10 45 11 136 PC 36:2 785.593 788.6 186.1 6.40 PC 36:2 + 2 100 10 45 11 137 PC 38:6 805.562 807.6 185.1 6.16 PC 38:6 + 1 100 10 45 11 138 PC 38:5 807.578 809.6 185.1 6.23 PC 38:5 + 1 100 10 45 11 139 PC 38:4 809.593 812.6 186.1 6.50 PC 38:4 + 2 100 10 45 11 140 PC 40:7 831.578 833.6 185.1 6.20 PC 40:7 + 1 100 10 45 11 141 PC 40:6 833.593 835.6 185.1 6.50 PC 40:6 + 1 100 10 45 11 142 PC 40:5 835.609 837.6 185.1 6.55 PC 40:5 + 1 100 10 45 11 S13 PC 21:0 21:0 (IS) 873.719 874.7 184.1 7.80 PC 21:0 21:0 (IS) 100 10 45 11 S13 PC 21:0 21:0 (IS) 874.719 875.7 185.1 7.80 PC 21:0 21:0 + 1 (IS) 100 10 45 11 S13 PC 21:0 21:0 (IS) 875.719 876.7 186.1 7.80 PC 21:0 21:0 + 2 (IS) 100 10 45 11 143 PC 44:12 877.562 879.6 185.1 7.22 PC 44:12 + 1 100 10 45 11 144 oddPC 31:1 717.531 718.5 184.1 5.94 PC 31:1 100 10 45 11 145 oddPC 31:0 719.547 720.60 184.1 6.20 PC 31:0 100 10 45 11 146 oddPC 33:0 743.547 744.60 184.1 6.07 PC 33:2 100 10 45 11 147 oddPC 33:1 745.562 746.60 184.1 6.29 PC 33:1 100 10 45 11 148 oddPC 33:2 747.578 748.6 184.1 6.50 PC 33:0 100 10 45 11 149 oddPC 35:4 767.547 768.60 184.1 6.09 PC 35:4 100 10 45 11 150 oddPC 35:3 769.562 770.60 184.1 6.19 PC 35:3 100 10 45 11 151 oddPC 35:2 771.578 772.6 184.1 6.41 PC 35:2 100 10 45 11 152 oddPC 35:1 773.593 774.60 184.1 6.63 PC 35:1 100 10 45 11 153 oddPC 35:0 775.609 776.6 184.1 6.83 PC 35:0 100 10 45 11 154 oddPC 37:6 791.547 792.60 184.1 6.07 PC 37:6 100 10 45 11 155 oddPC 37:5 793.562 794.60 184.1 6.22 PC 37:5 100 10 45 11 156 oddPC 37:4 795.578 796.60 184.1 6.41 PC 37:4 100 10 45 11 157 oddPC 37:3 797.593 798.60 184.1 6.60 PC 37:3 100 10 45 11 158 oddPC 37:2 799.609 800.6 184.1 6.71 PC 37:2 100 10 45 11 159 APC 32:1 717.567 718.6 184.1 6.28 APC 32:1 100 10 45 11 160 APC 32:0 719.583 720.61 184.1 6.53 APC 32:0 100 10 45 11 161 APC 34:2 743.583 744.61 184.1 6.40 APC 34:2 100 10 45 11 162 APC 34:1 745.599 746.61 184.1 6.59 APC 34:1 100 10 45 11 163 APC 34:0 747.614 748.6 184.1 6.88 APC 34:0 100 10 45 11 164 APC 36:5 765.567 766.6 184.1 6.30 APC 36:5 100 10 45 11 165 APC 36:4 767.583 768.61 184.1 6.41 APC 36:4 100 10 45 11 166 APC 36:3 769.599 770.61 184.1 6.59 APC 36:3 100 10 45 11 167 APC 36:2 771.614 772.6 184.1 6.69 APC 36:2 100 10 45 11 168 APC 36:1 773.630 774.61 184.1 6.95 APC 36:1 100 10 45 11 169 APC 36:0 775.645 776.7 184.1 7.20 APC 36:0 100 10 45 11 170 APC 38:6 791.583 792.61 184.1 6.39 APC 38:6 100 10 45 11 171 APC 38:5 793.599 794.60 184.1 6.52 APC 38:5 100 10 45 11 172 APC 38:4 795.614 796.61 184.1 6.75 APC 38:4 100 10 45 11 173 APC 38:3 797.630 798.61 184.1 6.86 APC 38:3 100 10 45 11 174 APC 38:2 799.645 800.7 184.1 7.03 APC 38:2 100 10 45 11 175 modPC 506.3/3.50 505.300 506.3 184.1 3.50 modPC 506.3/3.50 100 10 45 11 176 modPC 508.3/3.30 507.310 508.3 184.1 3.30 modPC 508.3/3.30 100 10 45 11 177 modPC 510.3/4.00 509.300 510.3 184.1 4.00 modPC 510.3/4.00 100 10 45 11 178 modPC 512.3/1.70 511.300 512.3 184.1 1.70 modPC 512.3/1.70 100 10 45 11 179 modPC 536.3/3.50 535.300 536.3 184.1 3.50 modPC 536.3/3.50 100 10 45 11 180 modPC 538.3/4.10 537.300 538.3 184.1 4.10 modPC 538.3/4.10 100 10 45 11 181 modPC 552.4/3.90 551.400 552.40 184.1 3.90 modPC 552.4/3.90 100 10 45 11 182 modPC 564.4/4.70 563.400 564.4 184.1 4.70 modPC 564.4/4.70 100 10 45 11 183 modPC 566.4/5.10 565.400 566.4 184.1 5.10 modPC 566.4/5.10 100 10 45 11 184 modPC 580.4/4.84 579.400 580.4 184.1 4.84 modPC 580.4/4.84 100 10 45 11 185 modPC 590.4/4.80 589.400 590.4 184.1 4.80 modPC 590.4/4.80 100 10 45 11 186 modPC 592.4/5.10 591.400 592.4 184.1 5.10 modPC 592.4/5.10 100 10 45 11 187 modPC 594.4/3.26 593.400 594.4 184.1 3.26 modPC 594.4/3.26 100 10 45 11 188 modPC 608.4/5.33 607.410 608.41 184.1 5.33 modPC 608.4/5.33 100 10 45 11 189 modPC 608.4/3.84 607.400 608.40 184.1 3.84 modPC 608.4/3.84 100 10 45 11 190 modPC 610.4/2.03 609.400 610.4 184.1 2.03 modPC 610.4/2.03 100 10 45 11 191 modPC 622.4/4.54 621.400 622.4 184.1 4.54 modPC 622.4/4.54 100 10 45 11 192 modPC 633.4/4.51 632.400 633.4 184.1 4.51 modPC 633.4/4.51 100 10 45 11 193 modPC 636.4/3.37 635.400 636.4 184.1 3.37 modPC 636.4/3.37 100 10 45 11 194 modPC 645.4/4.49 644.400 645.4 184.1 4.49 modPC 645.4/4.49 100 10 45 11 195 modPC 650.4/3.24 649.403 650.40 184.1 3.24 modPC 650.4/3.24 100 10 45 11 196 modPC 650.4/4.44 649.430 650.42 184.1 4.44 modPC 650.4/4.44 100 10 45 11 197 modPC 650.4/3.94 649.420 650.41 184.1 3.94 modPC 650.4/3.94 100 10 45 11 198 modPC 664.4/4.22 663.420 664.4 184.1 4.32 modPC 664.4/4.22 100 10 45 11 199 modPC 666.4/2.99 665.400 666.4 184.1 2.99 modPC 666.4/2.99 100 10 45 11 200 modPC 678.4/4.37 677.400 678.40 184.1 4.37 modPC 678.4/4.37 100 10 45 11 201 modPC 678.4/4.94 677.410 678.41 184.1 5.16 modPC 678.4/4.94 100 10 45 11 202 modPC 678.4/5.51 677.420 678.42 184.1 5.34 modPC 678.4/5.51 100 10 45 11 203 modPC 690.4/4.11 689.400 690.40 184.1 4.11 modPC 690.4/4.11 100 10 45 11 204 modPC 690.4/4.90 689.400 690.41 184.1 4.90 modPC 690.4/4.90 100 10 45 11 205 modPC 690.4/6.00 689.410 690.42 184.1 6.00 modPC 690.4/6.00 100 10 45 11 206 modPC 692.4/5.05 691.400 692.40 184.1 5.05 modPC 692.4/5.05 100 10 45 11 207 modPC 692.4/5.52 691.420 692.41 184.1 5.52 modPC 692.4/5.52 100 10 45 11 208 modPC 692.4/6.10 691.440 692.42 184.1 6.10 modPC 692.4/6.10 100 10 45 11 209 modPC 694.4/6.20 693.400 694.4 184.1 6.20 modPC 694.4/6.20 100 10 45 11 210 modPC 703.5/4.09 702.500 703.5 184.1 4.09 modPC 703.5/4.09 100 10 45 11 211 modPC 704.5/3.81 703.500 704.5 184.1 3.81 modPC 704.5/3.81 100 10 45 11 212 modPC 706.5/3.79 705.500 706.5 184.1 3.79 modPC 706.5/3.79 100 10 45 11 213 modPC 720.5/4.52 719.510 720.5 184.1 4.52 modPC 720.5/4.52 100 10 45 11 214 modPC 736.5/5.38 735.500 736.5 184.1 5.38 modPC 736.5/5.38 100 10 45 11 215 modPC 743.5/5.91 742.500 743.5 184.1 5.91 modPC 743.5/5.91 100 10 45 11 216 modPC 745.5/6.35 744.500 745.5 184.1 6.35 modPC 745.5/6.35 100 10 45 11 217 modPC 752.5/5.58 751.500 752.5 184.1 5.58 modPC 752.5/5.58 100 10 45 11 218 modPC 764.5/6.52 763.500 764.5 184.1 6.52 modPC 764.5/6.52 100 10 45 11 219 modPC 769.5/6.25 768.500 769.5 184.1 6.25 modPC 769.5/6.25 100 10 45 11 220 modPC 772.5/5.37 771.500 772.5 184.1 5.37 modPC 772.5/5.37 100 10 45 11 221 modPC 773.6/6.47 772.500 773.5 184.1 6.47 modPC 773.6/6.47 100 10 45 11 222 modPC 788.6/5.19 787.500 788.5 184.1 5.19 modPC 788.6/5.19 100 10 45 11 223 modPC 801.6/6.70 800.600 801.6 184.1 6.70 modPC 801.6/6.70 100 10 45 11 224 modPC 816.6/5.58 815.600 816.60 184.1 5.58 modPC 816.6/5.58 100 10 45 11 225 modPC 818.6/6.10 817.610 818.61 184.1 6.39 modPC 818.6/6.10 100 10 45 11 226 modPC 818.6/6.48 817.620 818.62 184.1 6.64 modPC 818.6/6.48 100 10 45 11 227 modPC 828.6/6.03 827.600 828.6 184.1 6.03 modPC 828.6/6.03 100 10 45 11 228 modPC 843.6/7.10 842.600 843.6 184.1 7.10 modPC 843.6/7.10 100 10 45 11 229 modPC 866.6/7.24 865.600 866.6 184.1 7.24 modPC 866.6/7.24 100 10 45 11 230 modPC 878.6/5.98 877.600 878.6 184.1 5.98 modPC 878.6/5.98 100 10 45 11 231 modPC 881.6/6.05 880.600 881.6 184.1 6.05 modPC 881.6/6.05 100 10 45 11 232 COH 386.355 404.4 369.3 6.81 COH 55 10 17 12 S14 COH d7 (IS) 393.399 411.4 376.3 6.80 COH-d7 55 10 17 12 233 CE 14:0 596.553 614.6 369.3 9.35 C14:0 30 10 20 12 234 CE 15:0 610.569 628.6 369.3 9.27 C15:0 30 10 20 12 235 CE 16:2 620.553 638.6 369.3 9.21 C16:2 30 10 20 12 236 CE 16:1 622.569 640.6 369.3 9.33 C16:1 30 10 20 12 237 CE 16:0 624.585 642.6 369.3 9.36 C16:0 30 10 20 12 238 CE 17:1 636.585 654.6 369.3 9.48 C17:1 30 10 20 12 239 CE 17:0 638.600 656.6 369.3 9.39 C17:0 30 10 20 12 240 CE 18:3 647.577 665.6 370.3 9.22 C18:3 + 1 30 10 20 12 241 CE 18:2 650.601 668.6 371.3 9.33 C18:2 + 2 30 10 20 12 242 CE 18:1 651.608 669.6 370.3 9.46 C18:1 + 1 30 10 20 12 243 CE 18:0 652.616 670.6 369.3 9.60 C18:0 30 10 20 12 S15 CE 18:0 d6 (IS) 658.653 676.7 375.3 9.85 C18:0 d6 (IS) 30 10 20 12 S15 CE 18:0 d6 (IS) 659.661 677.7 376.3 9.85 C18:0 d6 + 1 (IS) 30 10 20 12 S15 CE 18:0 d6 (IS) 660.669 678.7 377.3 9.85 C18:0 d6 + 2 (IS) 30 10 20 12 244 CE 20:5 672.585 690.6 371.3 9.13 C20:5 + 2 30 10 20 12 245 CE 20:4 674.601 692.6 371.3 9.24 C20:4 + 2 30 10 20 12 246 CE 20:3 674.600 692.6 369.3 9.34 C20:3 30 10 20 12 247 CE 20:2 676.616 694.6 369.3 9.31 C20:2 30 10 20 12 248 CE 20:1 678.631 696.7 369.3 9.42 C20:1 30 10 20 12 249 CE 22:6 682.663 700.7 371.3 9.18 C22:6 + 2 30 10 20 12 250 CE 22:5 696.585 714.6 369.3 9.25 C22:5 30 10 20 12 251 CE 22:4 698.600 716.6 369.3 9.39 C22:4 30 10 20 12 252 CE 22:3 700.616 718.6 369.3 9.32 C22:3 30 10 20 12 253 CE 22:2 702.631 720.7 369.3 9.42 C22:2 30 10 20 12 254 CE 22:1 704.647 722.7 369.3 9.54 C22:1 30 10 20 12 255 CE 22:0 706.663 724.7 369.3 9.68 C22:0 30 10 20 12 256 CE 24:6 708.678 726.7 369.3 9.12 C24:6 30 10 20 12 257 CE 24:5 724.616 742.6 369.3 9.22 C24:5 30 10 20 12 258 CE 24:4 726.631 744.7 369.3 9.33 C24:4 30 10 20 12 259 CE 24:3 728.647 746.7 369.3 9.43 C24:3 30 10 20 12 260 CE 24:2 730.663 748.7 369.3 9.53 C24:2 30 10 20 12 261 CE 24:1 732.678 750.7 369.3 9.64 C24:1 30 10 20 12 262 CE 24:0 734.694 752.7 369.3 9.78 C24:0 30 10 20 12 263 modCE 558.5/7.74 557.510 558.5 369.3 7.74 modCE 558.5/7.74 55 10 20 12 264 modCE 588.5/7.94 587.500 588.5 369.3 7.94 modCE 588.5/7.94 55 10 20 12 265 modCE 682.7/8.76 681.700 682.7 369.3 8.76 modCE 682.7/8.76 55 10 20 12 266 modCE 790.8/6.57 789.800 790.8 369.3 6.57 modCE 790.8/6.57 55 10 20 12 ^(a)Q1, m/z setting for quardupole 1 ^(b)Q2, m/z setting for quardupole 2 ^(c)tR, retention time ^(d)ID, analyte identity (+1) and (+2) designate the isotope species ^(e)DP, declustering potential ^(f)EP, entrance potential ^(g)CE, collision energy ^(f)CXP, cell exit potential

TABLE 8 Lipid analytes measured in MRM experiment 2 # Analyte exact mass Q1^(a) Q3^(b) tR^(c) ID^(d) DP^(e) EP^(f) CE^(g) CXP^(f) 267 DO 14:0 14:0 512.444 530.5 285.2 1.90 DG 14:0 14:0 55 10 30 22 268 DG 14:1 16:0 538.465 556.5 313.3 1.90 DG 14:1 16:0 55 10 30 22 269 DG 14:0 16:0 540.475 558.5 313.3 2.00 DG 14:0 16:0 55 10 30 22 S16 DG 15:0 15:0 (IS) 540.475 558.5 299.3 2.10 DG 15:0 15:0 (IS) 55 10 30 22 270 DG 14:0 18:2 564.475 582.5 285.2 1.90 DG 14:0 18:2 55 10 30 22 271 DG 14:0 18:1 566.491 584.5 285.2 2.00 DG 14:0 18:1 55 10 30 22 272 DG 16:0 16:0 568.507 586.5 313.3 2.10 DG 16:0 16:0 55 10 30 22 273 DG 16:0 18:2 592.507 610.5 313.3 2.10 DG 16:0 18:2 55 10 30 22 274 DG 16:1 18:1 592.507 610.5 339.3 2.00 DG 16:1 18:1 55 10 30 22 275 DG 16:0 18:1 594.522 612.6 339.3 2.10 DG 16:0 18:1 55 10 30 22 276 DG 18:0 16:1 594.522 612.6 311.3 2.10 DG 18:0 16:1 55 10 30 22 277 DG 16:0 18:0 596.538 614.6 341.3 2.20 DG 16:0 18:0 55 10 30 22 278 DG 16:0 20:4 616.507 634.5 313.3 2.00 DG 16:0 20:4 55 10 30 22 279 DG 18:1 18:3 616.507 634.5 339.3 2.00 DO 18:1 18:3 55 10 30 22 280 DG 18:2 18:2 616.507 634.5 337.3 2.00 DG 18:2 18:2 55 10 30 22 281 DG 16:0 20:3 618.522 636.6 313.3 2.10 DG 16:0 20:3 55 10 30 22 282 DG 18:1 18:2 618.522 636.6 339.3 2.00 DG 18:1 18:2 55 10 30 22 283 DG 18:0 18:2 620.538 638.6 341.3 2.10 DG 18:0 18:2 55 10 30 22 284 DG 18:1 18:1 620.538 638.6 339.3 2.10 DO 18:1 18:1 55 10 30 22 285 DG 18:0 18:1 622.554 640.6 339.3 2.20 DO 18:0 18:1 55 10 30 22 286 DG 16:0 20:0 624.569 642.6 313.3 2.30 DG 16:0 20:0 55 10 30 22 287 DG 18:0 18:0 624.569 642.6 341.3 2.40 DG 18:0 18:0 55 10 30 22 288 DG 16:0 22:6 640.507 658.5 313.3 2.00 DG 16:0 22:6 55 10 30 22 289 OG 16:0 22:5 642.522 660.6 313.3 2.00 DG 16:0 22:5 55 10 30 22 290 DG 18:1 20:4 642.522 660.6 339.3 2.00 DG 18:1 20:4 55 10 30 22 291 DG 18:0 20:4 644.538 662.6 341.3 2.10 DG 18:0 20:4 55 10 30 22 292 DG 18:1 20:3 644.538 662.6 339.3 2.10 DG 18:1 20:3 55 10 30 22 293 DG 18:1 20:0 650.585 668.6 369.3 2.20 DG 18:1 20:0 55 10 30 22 294 TG 14:0 16:1 18:2 800.736 818.8 521.5 3.26 TG 14:0 16:1 18:2 95 10 30 12 295 TG 16:1 16:1 16:1 800.736 818.8 547.5 3.18 TG 16:1 16:1 16:1 95 10 30 12 296 TG 14:0 16:0 18:2 802.736 820.8 547.5 3.47 TG 14:0 16:0 18:2 95 10 30 12 297 TG 14:0 16:1 18:1 802.736 820.8 521.5 3.46 TG 14:0 16:1 18:1 95 10 30 12 298 TG 14:1 16:0 18:1 802.736 820.8 577.6 3.46 TG 14:1 16:0 18:1 95 10 30 12 299 TG 14:1 16:1 18:0 802.736 820.8 549.5 3.46 TG 14:1 16:1 18:0 95 10 30 12 300 TG 18:1 14:0 16:0 804.736 822.8 523.5 3.77 TG 18:1 14:0 16:0 95 10 30 12 301 TG 16:0 16:0 16:0 806.736 824.8 551.5 4.17 TG 16:0 16:0 16:0 95 10 30 12 302 TG 15:0 18:1 16:0 818.752 836.8 577.5 3.79 TG 15:0 18:1 16:0 95 10 30 12 303 TG 17:0 16:0 16:1 818.752 836.8 563.5 3.92 TG 17:0 16:0 16:1 95 10 30 12 304 TG 17:0 18:1 14:0 818.752 836.8 537.5 3.96 TG 17:0 18:1 14:0 95 10 30 12 305 TO 14:0 18:2 18:2 826.747 844.8 599.5 3.23 TG 14:0 18:2 18:2 95 10 30 12 306 TG 14:1 18:0 18:2 828.767 846.8 603.6 3.46 TG 14:1 18:0 18:2 95 10 30 12 307 TG 14:1 18:1 18:1 828.767 846.8 547.5 3.43 TG 14:1 18:1 18:1 95 10 30 12 308 TG 16:1 16:1 18:1 828:767 847.8 576.6 3.43 TG 16:1 16:1 18:1 +1 95 10 30 12 309 TG 16:0 16:0 18:2 830.767 848.8 551.5 3.82 TG 16:0 16:0 18:2 95 10 30 12 310 TG 16:1 16:1 18:0 830.767 848.8 547.5 3.78 TG 16:1 16:1 18:0 95 10 30 12 311 TG 16:0 16:1 18:1 830.767 849.8 550.5 3.75 TG 16:0 16:1 18:1 +1 95 10 30 12 312 TG 14:0 18:0 18:1 832.767 850.8 605.6 4.06 TG 14:0 18:0 18:1 95 10 30 12 313 TG 16:0 16:0 18:1 832.767 851.8 552.5 4.12 TG 16:0 16:0 18:1 95 10 30 12 314 TG 16:0 16:0 18:0 834.767 852.8 551.5 4.12 TG 16:0 16:0 18:0 95 10 30 12 315 TG 15:0 18:1 18:1 844.783 862.8 603.6 3.90 TG 15:0 18:1 18:1 95 10 30 12 316 TG 17:0 18:1 16:1 844.783 862.8 563.5 3.89 TG 17:0 18:1 16:1 95 10 30 12 317 TG 17:0 18:2 16:0 844.783 862.8 589.6 3.92 TG 17:0 18:2 16:0 95 10 30 12 318 TG 17:0 18:1 16:0 846.783 864.8 565.5 4.33 TG 17:0 18:1 16:0 95 10 30 12 319 TG 17:0 16:0 18:0 848.783 866.8 593.6 4.28 TG 17:0 16:0 18:0 95 10 30 12 S17 TG 17:0 17:0 17:0 (IS) 848.783 866.8 579.5 4.77 TG 17:0 17:0 17:0 (IS) 95 10 30 12 S17 TG 17:0 17:0 17:0 (IS) 848.783 867.8 580.5 4.77 TG 17:0 17:0 17:0 (IS) 95 10 30 12 320 TG 16:0 18:2 18:2 854.798 872.8 599.6 3.58 TG 16:0 18:2 18:2 95 10 30 12 321 TG 16:1 18:1 18:2 854.798 872.8 573.6 3.45 TG 16:1 18:1 18:2 95 10 30 12 322 TG 16:1 18:1 18:1 856.798 874.8 603.6 3.70 TG 16:1 18:1 18:1 95 10 30 12 323 TG 16:0 18:1 18:2 856.798 875.8 578.6 3.80 TG 16:0 18:1 18:2 +1 95 10 30 12 324 TG 16:0 18:1 18:1 858.798 877.8 604.6 4.06 TG 16:0 18:1 18:1 +1 95 10 30 12 325 TG 16:0 18:0 18:1 860.798 878.8 577.5 4.05 TG 16:0 18:0 18:1 95 10 30 12 326 TG 17:0 18:1 18:1 872.814 890.8 603.6 4.03 TG 17:0 18:1 18:1 95 10 30 12 327 TG 18:2 18:2 18:2 878.830 896.9 599.6 3.29 TG 18:2 18:2 18:2 95 10 30 12 328 TG 18:1 18:2 18:2 880.830 898.9 599.6 3.49 TG 18:1 18:2 18:2 95 10 30 12 329 TG 18:0 18:2 18:2 882.803 900.8 599.5 3.56 TG 18:0 18:2 18:2 95 10 30 12 330 TG 18:1 18:1 18:2 882.830 900.9 603.9 3.73 TG 18:1 18:1 18:2 95 10 30 12 331 TG 18:1 18:1 18:1 884.830 903.9 604.6 4.02 TG 18:1 18:1 18:1 +1 95 10 30 12 332 TG 18:0 18:1 18:1 886.830 904.9 603.6 4.02 TG 18:0 18:1 18:1 95 10 30 12 333 TG 18:0 18:0 18:1 888.830 906.9 607.6 4.37 TG 18:0 18:0 18:1 95 10 30 12 334 TG 18:0 18:0 18:0 890.830 908.9 607.6 4.90 TG 18:0 18:0 18:0 95 10 30 12 335 TG 18:2 18:2 20:4 902.861 920.9 599.6 3.29 TG 18:2 18:2 20:4 95 10 30 12 336 TG 18:1 18:1 20:4 906.861 924.9 603.6 3.60 TG 18:1 18:1 20:4 95 10 30 12 337 TG 18:1 18:1 22:6 930.892 948.9 603.7 3.42 TG 18:1 18:1 22:6 95 10 30 12 ^(a)Q1, m/z setting for quardupole 1 ^(b)Q2, m/z setting for quardupole 2 ^(c)tR, retention time ^(d)ID, analyte identity (+1) and (+2) designate the isotope species ^(e)DP, declustering potential ^(f)EP, entrance potential ^(g)CE, collision energy ^(f)CXP, cell exit potential

TABLE 9 Lipid analyte levels^(a) in stable and unstable cohorts Mann- Asymp. stable unstable stable/ Whitney Sig. # Analyte (median) (median) unstable U (2-tailed) 1 Cer 16:0 388 400 1.03 2370 5.66E−01 2 Cer 18:1 203 212 1.04 1921 1.62E−02 3 Cer 18:0 170 196 1.15 1857 7.72E−03 4 Cer 20:0 139 148 1.07 2305 4.01E−01 5 Cer 22:0 794 761 0.96 2454 8.16E−01 6 Cer 24:1 1233 1207 0.98 2409 6.78E−01 7 Cer 24:0 2647 2332 0.88 2364.5 5.51E−01 8 MHC 16:0 1756 1734 0.99 2372 5.71E−01 9 MHC 18:1 53 61 1.15 2275.5 3.37E−01 10 MHC 18:0 351 366 1.04 2403.5 6:61E−01 11 MHC 20:0 505 440 0.87 2143 1.34E−01 12 MHC 22:0 3490 3239 0.93 2400.5 6.53E−01 13 MHC 24:1 4547 4066 0.89 2386 6.11E−01 14 MHC 24:0 5646 4785 0.85 2248.5 2.85E−01 15 DHC 16:0 8510 8786 1.03 2096.5 9.13E−02 16 DHC 18:1 61 76 1.24 1844 6.59E−03 17 DHC 18:0 141 145 1.03 2358 5.33E−01 18 DHC 20:0 104 113 1.09 2380 5.94E−01 19 DHC 22:0 593 640 1.08 2274 3.34E−01 20 DHC 24:1 2169 2268 1.05 2247 2.82E−01 21 DHC 24:0 585 637 1.09 2466 8.55E−01 22 THC 16:0 1516 1472 0.97 2300 3.90E−01 23 THC 18:1 166 162 0.98 2487 9.22E−01 24 THC 18:0 172 159 0.93 2202.5 2.09E−01 25 THC 20:0 67 64 0.96 2400.5 6.53E−01 26 THC 22:0 247 270 1.09 2337 4.78E−01 27 THC 24:1 617 614 0.99 2452.5 8.12E−01 28 THC 24:0 310 322 1.04 2284.5 3.56E−01 29 GM3 16:0 1443 1509 1.05 2439.5 7.71E−01 30 GM3 18:0 500 453 0.90 2022 4.64E−02 31 GM3 20:0 333 325 0.98 2324 4.46E−01 32 GM3 22:0 713 725 1.02 2472 8.74E−01 33 GM3 24:1 1103 1037 0.94 2291.5 3.71E−01 34 GM3 24:0 641 638 1.00 2467 8.58E−01 35 modCer 576.5/7.68 21 22 1.06 2275 3.36E−01 36 modCer 614.6/5.72 20 22 1.09 2052 6.15E−02 37 modCer 632.6/9.22 4 4 1.04 2503 9.74E−01 38 modCer 651.6/7.56 288 262 0.91 2330 4.61E−01 39 modCer 703.6/5.87 651 626 0.96 2451.5 8.08E−01 40 modCer 731.6/6.22 45 56 1.24 1533 6.78E−05 41 modCer 766.6/7.17 24 22 0.90 2275 3.36E−01 42 modCer 769.6/8.01 158 142 0.90 2334 4.71E−01 43 modCer 798.7/7.29 142 134 0.94 2312 4.18E−01 44 modCer 875.7/9.23 354 395 1.12 1993 3.49E−02 45 modCer 883.8/7.75 77 83 1.07 2420 7.11E−01 46 modCer 886.8/9.06 48 49 1.03 2156 1.48E−01 47 modCer 910.8/8.98 36 40 1.10 2027 4.87E−02 48 modCer 921.8/9.05 84 82 0.98 2450.5 8.05E−01 49 SM 14:0 12650 12696 1.00 2464 8.48E−01 50 SM 15:0 7961 8841 1.11 2205.5 2.13E−01 51 SM 16:1 18788 20000 1.06 2231 2.54E−01 52 SM 16:0 108207 114439 1.06 2214.5 2.27E−01 53 SM 18:1 14013 16230 1.16 1761 2.25E−03 54 SM 18:0 26090 30897 1.18 1543 8.04E−05 55 SM 20:1 8941 9374 1.05 2490 9.32E−01 56 SM 22:1 15073 15742 1.04 2171 1.66E−01 57 SM 22:0 26334 27440 1.04 2129 1.20E−01 58 SM 24:2 52283 52810 1.01 2333 4.68E−01 59 SM 24:1 67438 66486 0.99 2432.5 7.49E−01 60 SM 24:0 17117 17197 1.00 2386 6.11E−01 61 PG 16:1 18:1 6 5 0.90 2401.5 6.56E−01 62 PG 16:0 18:1 68 63 0.93 2250 2.88E−01 63 PG 18:1 18:1 111 100 0.90 2110.5 1.03E−01 64 PG 18:0 18:1 66 63 0.96 2236 2.63E−01 65 BMP 18:1 18:1 31 34 1.11 2266 3.18E−01 66 PS 36:2 138 147 1.06 2330 4.61E−01 67 PS 36:1 876 926 1.06 2419 7.08E−01 68 PS 38:5 50 51 1.03 2345 4.99E−01 69 PS 38:4 844 981 1.16 2295 3.79E−01 70 PS 38:3 182 191 1.05 2426 7.29E−01 71 PS 40:6 101 96 0.96 2286 3.59E−01 72 PS 40:5 89 95 1.07 2385 6.08E−01 73 PE 32:1 119 111 0.93 2272 3.30E−01 74 PE 32:0 52 55 1.05 2208.5 2.18E−01 75 PE 34:2 1505 1746 1.16 2362 5.44E−01 76 PE 34:1 1092 1305 1.20 2162 1.55E−01 77 PE 36:5 221 186 0.84 2014.5 4.31E−02 78 PE 36:4 2409 2253 0.94 2418 7.05E−01 79 PE 36:3 974 1034 1.06 2290 3.68E−01 80 PE 36:2 3848 3741 0.97 2290 3.68E−01 81 PE 36:1 842 826 0.98 2374 5.77E−01 82 PE 36:0 22 21 0.95 2485 9.16E−01 83 PE 38:6 2582 2994 1.16 2240 2.70E−01 84 PE 38:5 1890 1834 0.97 2481 9.03E−01 85 PE 38:4 4774 5155 1.08 2304 3.99E−01 86 PE 38:3 540 521 0.96 2392 6.28E−01 87 PE 38:2 90 98 1.10 2333 4.68E−01 88 PE 38:1 49 54 1.09 2357.5 5.32E−01 89 PE 40:7 227 225 0.99 2451 8.07E−01 90 PE 40:6 1359 1515 1.11 2296 3.81E−01 91 PI 32:1 238 196 0.82 1987.5 3.30E−02 92 PI 32:0 88 71 0.81 2052 6.15E−02 93 PI 34:1 1815 1361 0.75 1840 6.27E−03 94 PI 34:0 36 29 0.80 1832 5.68E−03 95 PI 36:4 1355 1234 0.91 1831.5 5.64E−03 96 PI 36:3 1196 915 0.77 1612 2.50E−04 97 PI 36:2 5407 5396 1.00 2499 9.61E−01 98 PI 36:1 1572 1165 0.74 1588 1.70E−04 99 PI 36:0 6 6 0.95 2164 1.58E−01 100 PI 38:6 231 203 0.88 2008 4.05E−02 101 PI 38:5 878 760 0.87 1802 3.88E−03 102 PI 38:4 11667 10321 0.88 2124 1.15E−01 103 PI 38:3 2445 2078 0.85 1990 3.38E−02 104 PI 38:2 169 126 0.75 1718 1.24E−03 105 PI 40:6 544 503 0.92 2151 1.43E−01 106 PI 40:5 572 508 0.89 2205 2.13E−01 107 PI 40:4 153 136 0.89 1916 1.54E−02 108 LPC 14:0 1606 1082 0.67 1428 1.03E−05 109 LPC 15:0 1028 911 0.89 2227.5 2.48E−01 110 LPC 16:1 3754 3022 0.81 1581 1.52E−04 111 LPC 16:0 63869 62301 0.98 2319 4.34E−01 112 LPC 18:2 26381 20565 0.78 1758 2.16E−03 113 LPC 18:1 23188 18279 0.79 1611.5 2.48E−04 114 LPC 18:0 20232 19420 0.96 2314 4.22E−01 115 LPC 20:5 1599 1333 0.83 1895 1.21E−02 116 LPC 20:4 7636 7843 1.03 2414.5 6.94E−01 117 LPC 20:3 3237 2916 0.90 1959.5 2.47E−02 118 LPC 20:2 325 280 0.86 1866 8.60E−03 119 LPC 20:1 227 230 1.01 2407 6.72E−01 120 LPC 20:0 97 83 0.86 2016 4.38E−02 121 LPC 22:6 2689 2520 0.94 2507 9.87E−01 122 LPAF 16:0 453 421 0.93 2196 1.99E−01 123 LPAF 18:1 325 336 1.03 2491 9.35E−01 124 LPAF 18:0 113 111 0.98 2436.5 7.62E−01 125 PC 30:2 5779 6472 1.12 2160 1.53E−01 126 PC 32:2 10897 10519 0.97 2252 2.91E−01 127 PC 32:1 173997 160377 0.92 2244.5 2.78E−01 128 PC 32:0 12453 12478 1.00 2399.5 6.50E−01 129 PC 34:3 24565 19297 0.79 1673 6.41E−04 130 PC 34:2 257882 250685 0.97 2329 4.58E−01 131 PC 34:1 156440 154331 0.99 2322 4.41E−01 132 PC 34:0 4083 3782 0.93 2094 8.94E−02 133 PC 36:5 42661 34479 0.81 2013.5 4.27E−02 134 PC 36:4 115623 118023 1.02 2429.5 7.40E−01 135 PC 36:3 119722 113636 0.95 2080.5 7.95E−02 136 PC 36:2 202275 182018 0.90 1986 3.25E−02 137 PC 38:6 53779 55364 1.03 2351 5.15E−01 138 PC 38:5 57321 56032 0.98 2483.5 9.11E−01 139 PC 38:4 99515 93722 0.94 2502 9.71E−01 140 PC 40:7 4389 4527 1.03 2485 9.16E−01 141 PC 40:6 26276 28390 1.08 2225 2.44E−01 142 PC 40:5 16485 17300 1.05 2420 7.11E−01 143 PC 44:12 1865 1862 1.00 2453 8.13E−01 144 oddPC 31:1 2474 2671 1.08 2193 1.95E−01 145 oddPC 31:0 1354 1132 0.84 1970 2.75E−02 146 oddPC 33:0 1958 1895 0.97 2359.5 5.37E−01 147 oddPC 33:1 5456 5000 0.92 2044 5.71E−02 148 oddPC 33:2 4922 4848 0.99 2495 9.48E−01 149 oddPC 35:4 2077 2232 1.07 2460.5 8.37E−01 150 oddPC 35:3 2365 2098 0.89 1886.5 1.10E−02 151 oddPC 35:2 10642 10938 1.03 2478 8.93E−01 152 oddPC 35:1 9601 9814 1.02 2382 5.99E−01 153 oddPC 35:0 428 383 0.89 2022 4.64E−02 154 oddPC 37:6 1040 1050 1.01 2399.5 6.50E−01 155 oddPC 37:5 1925 1549 0.80 2143 1.34E−01 156 oddPC 37:4 7032 7012 1.00 2250.5 2.89E−01 157 oddPC 37:3 5051 4875 0.97 2382 5.99E−01 158 oddPC 37:2 7640 8107 1.06 2402.5 6.59E−01 159 APC 32:1 487 478 0.98 2353 5.20E−01 160 APC 32:0 2060 2130 1.03 2374 5.77E−01 161 APC 34:2 3121 2567 0.82 1789 3.27E−03 162 APC 34:1 4539 4636 1.02 2478.5 8.95E−01 163 APC 34:0 617 682 1.11 2357.5 5.32E−01 164 APC 36:5 7280 7273 1.00 2244 2.77E−01 165 APC 36:4 10625 10287 0.97 2154 1.46E−01 166 APC 36:3 4020 3839 0.96 2129 1.20E−01 167 APC 36:2 2421 2460 1.02 2271 3.28E−01 168 APC 36:1 1134 1168 1.03 2496.5 9.53E−01 169 APC 36:0 108 112 1.04 2426.5 7.31E−01 170 APC 38:6 4055 3832 0.94 2106 9.90E−02 171 APC 38:5 9768 9868 1.01 2439.5 7.71E−01 172 APC 38:4 9135 8994 0.98 2472 8.74E−01 173 APC 38:3 1473 1425 0.97 2226 2.46E−01 174 APC 38:2 563 570 1.01 2510.5 9.98E−01 175 modPC 506.3/3.50 10 10 0.96 2274.5 3.35E−01 176 modPC 508.3/3.30 76 75 0.98 2454.5 8.18E−01 177 modPC 510.3/4.00 29 29 1.02 2480 9.00E−01 178 modPC 512.3/1.70 103 102 0.99 2467.5 8.59E−01 179 modPC 536.3/3.50 53 46 0.88 2015 4.33E−02 180 modPC 538.3/4.10 48 40 0.84 1984 3.18E−02 181 modPC 552.4/3.90 61 51 0.83 2036 5.30E−02 182 modPC 564.4/4.70 6 6 0.94 2199.5 2.04E−01 183 modPC 566.4/5.10 7 6 0.95 2196 1.99E−01 184 modPC 580.4/4.84 13 11 0.80 1833 5.75E−03 185 modPC 590.4/4.80 3 3 1.05 2428 7.35E−01 186 modPC 592.4/5.10 17 14 0.86 2010 4.13E−02 187 modPC 594.4/3.26 132 168 1.27 2377 5.85E−01 188 modPC 608.4/5.33 36 30 0.84 1758.5 2.17E−03 189 modPC 608.4/3.84 19 26 1.40 2377 5.85E−01 190 modPC 610.4/2.03 43 48 1.12 2343.5 4.95E−01 191 modPC 622.4/4.54 3 3 0.94 2506 9.84E−01 192 modPC 633.4/4.51 12 12 1.00 2485.5 9.17E−01 193 modPC 636.4/3.37 174 168 0.96 2438.5 7.68E−01 194 modPC 645.4/4.49 21 21 1.00 2382 5.99E−01 195 modPC 650.4/3.24 701 761 1.09 2502 9.71E−01 196 modPC 650.4/4.44 28 30 1.10 2435 7.57E−01 197 modPC 650.4/3.94 22 29 1.30 2321.5 4.40E−01 198 modPC 664.4/4.22 76 75 0.99 2471 8.71E−01 199 modPC 666.4/2.99 156 165 1.06 2498 9.58E−01 200 modPC 678.4/4.37 215 251 1.17 2428 7.35E−01 201 modPC 678.4/4.94 68 68 0.99 2477 8.90E−01 202 modPC 678.4/5.51 238 124 0.52 1437 1.21E−05 203 modPC 690.4/4.11 66 56 0.85 2296 3.81E−01 204 modPC 690.4/4.90 1734 1915 1.10 2192 1.94E−01 205 modPC 690.4/6.00 104 93 0.90 2134 1.25E−01 206 modPC 692.4/5.05 13 14 1.07 2037.5 5.38E−02 207 modPC 692.4/5.52 98 65 0.66 1508.5 4.43E−05 208 modPC 692.4/6.10 115 105 0.92 2063 6.80E−02 209 modPC 694.4/6.20 11 10 0.89 2045 5.77E−02 210 modPC 703.5/4.09 51 65 1.28 2321 4.39E−01 211 modPC 704.5/3.81 12 11 0.97 2440.5 7.74E−01 212 modPC 706.5/3.79 4 5 1.19 2430 7.41E−01 213 modPC 720.5/4.52 18 11 0.61 2480 9.00E−01 214 modPC 736.5/5.38 28 22 0.80 1874 9.46E−03 215 modPC 743.5/5.91 672 805 1.20 1969 2.73E−02 216 modPC 745.5/6.35 1242 1038 0.84 1853 7.35E−03 217 modPC 752.5/5.58 260 122 0.47 1373.5 3.59E−06 218 modPC 764.5/6.52 447 424 0.95 2255 2.97E−01 219 modPC 769.5/6.25 4772 4611 0.97 2160 1.53E−01 220 modPC 772.5/5.37 75 75 0.99 2473 8.77E−01 221 modPC 773.6/6.47 5940 6158 1.04 2275 3.36E−01 222 modPC 788.6/5.19 101 106 1.05 2286 3.59E−01 223 modPC 801.6/6.70 13486 13988 1.04 2235 2.61E−01 224 modPC 816.6/5.58 32 29 0.93 2488 9.25E−01 225 modPC 818.6/6.10 142 136 0.96 2143 1.34E−01 226 modPC 818.6/6.48 1301 1244 0.96 2466 8.55E−01 227 modPC 828.6/6.03 46 85 1.84 2484 9.12E−01 228 modPC 843.6/7.10 410 405 0.99 2487.5 9.24E−01 229 modPC 866.6/7.24 77 71 0:92 2266.5 3.19E−01 230 modPC 878.6/5.98 28 26 0.92 2218 2.33E−01 231 modPC 881.6/6.05 15 12 0.82 2049 5.98E−02 232 COH 490638 486413 0.99 2268.5 3.23E−01 233 CE 14:0 11554 8074 0.70 1729.5 1.46E−03 234 CE 15:0 9042 7827 0.87 2248 2.84E−01 235 CE 16:2 9336 7547 0.81 1929 1.77E−02 236 CE 16:1 136571 114150 0.84 2036 5.30E−02 237 CE 16:0 183893 185978 1.01 2490 9.32E−01 238 CE 17:1 26988 23067 0.85 2029 4.96E−02 239 CE 17:0 10576 10203 0.96 2390 6.22E−01 240 CE 18:3 799367 682914 0.85 1934.5 1.89E−02 241 CE 18:2 4990566 5209877 1.04 2488 9.25E−01 242 CE 18:1 1046679 1083523 1.04 2364 5.49E−01 243 CE 18:0 24069 23270 0.97 2419 7.08E−01 244 CE 20:5 1804461 1693410 0.94 2299 3.88E−01 245 CE 20:4 4606083 4687500 1.02 2371 5.68E−01 246 CE 20:3 313482 332744 1.06 2400 6.51E−01 247 CE 20:2 6701 6193 0.92 2329 4.58E−01 248 CE 20:1 865 873 1.01 2469 8.64E−01 249 CE 22:6 1125037 1241975 1.10 2254 2.95E−01 250 CE 22:5 79354 87933 1.11 2278 3.43E−01 251 CE 22:4 7099 7820 1.10 2396 6.39E−01 252 CE 22:3 365 352 0.96 2358 5.33E−01 253 CE 22:2 137 146 1.07 2279 3.45E−01 254 CE 22:1 540 578 1.07 2437 7.63E−01 255 CE 22:0 323 308 0.95 2321 4.39E−01 256 CE 24:6 1566 1664 1.06 2489 919E−01 257 CE 24:5 919 882 0.96 2426.5 7.31E−01 258 CE 24:4 288 293 1.02 2437 7.63E−01 259 CE 24:3 29 31 1.09 2500 9.64E−01 260 CE 24:2 246 229 0.93 2352 5.17E−01 261 CE 24:1 1132 981 0.87 2291 3.70E−01 262 CE 24:0 431 363 0.84 2236 2.63E−01 263 modCE 558.5/7.74 17347 21339 1.23 2354 5.22E−01 264 modCE 588.5/7.94 3552 3368 0.95 2461 8.39E−01 265 modCE 682.7/8.76 7518 6876 0.91 2119 1.10E−01 266 modCE 790.8/6.57 8677 8481 0.98 2403 6.60E−01 267 DG 14:0 14:0 16 10 0.62 1776 2.75E−03 268 DG 14:1 16:0 64 42 0.66 1861 8.10E−03 269 DG 14:0 16:0 334 249 0.75 1954 2.33E−02 270 DG 14:0 18:2 249 196 0.79 2017 4.42E−02 271 DG 14:0 18:1 778 497 0.64 1888 1.12E−02 272 DG 16:0 16:0 1171 1063 0.91 2416 6.99E−01 273 DG 16:0 18:2 2520 2949 1.17 2300 3.90E−01 274 DG 16:1 18:1 2974 2296 0.77 2118 1.09E−01 275 DG 16:0 18:1 6236 6222 1.00 2503 9.74E−01 276 DG 18:0 16:1 215 133 0.62 2036 5.30E−02 277 DG 16:0 18:0 898 729 0.81 2123 1.14E−01 278 DG 16:0 20:4 524 536 1.02 2400.5 6.53E−01 279 DG 18:1 18:3 1180 1179 1.00 2258 3.03E−01 280 DG 18:2 18:2 878 1055 1.20 2108 1.01E−01 281 DG 16:0 20:3 311 216 0.70 2003 3.85E−02 282 DG 18:1 18:2 7235 8569 1.18 2276 3.38E−01 283 DG 18:0 18:2 636 614 0.97 2461 8.39E−01 284 DG 18:1 18:1 8232 9135 1.11 2492 9.38E−01 285 DG 18:0 18:1 1099 984 0.90 2274 3.34E−01 286 DG 16:0 20:0 70 50 0.71 1766 2.41E−03 287 DG 18:0 18:0 281 269 0.96 2399 6.48E−01 288 DG 16:0 22:6 274 242 0.88 2357 5.30E−01 289 DG 16:0 22:5 166 166 1.00 2477 8.90E−01 290 DG 18:1 20:4 1801 1800 1.00 2462 8.42E−01 291 DG 18:0 20:4 196 187 0.96 2468 8.61E−01 292 DG 18:1 20:3 881 749 0.85 2086 8.34E−02 293 DG 18:1 20:0 136 84 0.62 1592 1.81E−04 294 TG 14:0 16:1 18:2 1960 1117 0.57 1711 1.12E−03 295 TG 16:1 16:1 16:1 1015 545 0.54 1709 1.09E−03 296 TG 14:0 16:0 18:2 4686 2933 0.63 1828.5 5.43E−03 297 TG 14:0 16:1 18:1 6521 3704 0.57 1709 1.09E−03 298 TG 14:1 16:0 18:1 7417 6243 0.84 2265 3.16E−01 299 TG 14:1 16:1 18:0 6201 3692 0.60 1798 3.68E−03 300 TG 18:1 14:0 16:0 9040 5803 0.64 1752 1.99E−03 301 TG 16:0 16:0 16:0 2820 2009 0.71 2060 6.62E−02 302 TG 15:0 18:1 16:0 6769 6293 0.93 2380 5.94E−01 303 TG 17:0 16:0 16:1 2598 1751 0.67 2079 7.84E−02 304 TG 17:0 18:1 14:0 2370 1840 0.78 2087 8.41E−02 305 TG 14:0 18:2 18:2 668 486 0.73 2011 4.17E−02 306 TG 14:1 18:0 18:2 649 471 0.73 1845 6.67E−03 307 TG 14:1 18:1 18:1 3661 2683 0.73 1931 1.81E−02 308 TG 16:1 16:1 18:1 4479 3547 0.79 2019 4.51E−02 309 TG 16:0 16:0 18:2 9040 9235 1.02 2504 9.77E−01 310 TG 16:1 16:1 18:0 381 251 0.66 1797 3.63E−03 311 TG 16:0 16:1 18:1 37315 26921 0.72 2004 3.89E−02 312 TG 14:0 18:0 18:1 524 344 0.66 1768 2.47E−03 313 TG 16:0 16:0 18:1 33096 30064 0.91 2301 3.92E−01 314 TG 16:0 16:0 18:0 3805 2691 0.71 2122 1.13E−01 315 TG 15:0 18:1 18:1 1399 1428 1.02 2395 6.37E−01 316 TG 17:0 18:1 16:1 6309 5383 0.85 2241 2.71E−01 317 TG 17:0 18:2 16:0 3076 2308 0.75 2212 2.23E−01 318 TG 17:0 18:1 16:0 3476 2551 0.73 2220 2.36E−01 319 TG 17:0 16:0 18:0 317 218 0.69 2140 1.31E−01 320 TG 16:0 18:2 18:2 11136 11393 1.02 2344 4.96E−01 321 TG 16:1 18:1 18:2 9590 8250 0.86 2314 4.22E−01 322 TG 16:1 18:1 18:1 10230 9729 0.95 2136 1.27E−01 323 TG 16:0 18:1 18:2 43541 47844 1.10 2192 1.94E−01 324 TG 16:0 18:1 18:1 97258 104695 1.08 2494.5 9.46E−01 325 TG 16:0 18:0 18:1 3702 4087 1.10 2504 9.77E−01 326 TG 17:0 18:1 18:1 2351 2207 0.94 2303 3.97E−01 327 TG 18:2 18:2 18:2 2752 3083 1.12 2504 9.77E−01 328 TG 18:1 18:2 18:2 4822 5347 1.11 2496 9.51E−01 329 TG 18:0 18:2 18:2 966 1085 1.12 2481.5 9.04E−01 330 TG 18:1 18:1 18:2 6735 7857 1.17 2191 1.92E−01 331 TG 18:1 18:1 18:1 44053 45755 1.04 2509 9.93E−01 332 TG 18:0 18:1 18:1 8120 7955 0.98 2337.5 4.80E−01 333 TG 18:0 18:0 18:1 1715 1686 0.98 2275 3.36E−01 334 TG 18:0 18:0 18:0 257 166 0.64 1972 2.81E−02 335 TG 18:2 18:2 20:4 1288 1269 0.99 2441 7.76E−01 336 TG 18:1 18:1 20:4 6211 6972 1.12 2255.5 2.98E−01 337 TG 18:1 18:1 22:6 637 661 1.04 2333.5 4.70E−01 ^(a)levels are expressed as pmol/mL plasma

TABLE 9a Lipid analyte levels^(a) in control (normal) and CAD (heart disease) control CAD CAD/ Mann- Asymp. Sig. # (median) (median) control Whitney U (2-tailed) 1 385 395 1.03 3847 1.83E−01 2 202 208 1.03 3635.5 6.00E−02 3 129 180 1.39 2167 1.31E−08 4 121 144 1.20 3120 1.30E−03 5 845 776 0.92 3649 6.49E−02 6 1152 1211 1.05 3551 3.58E−02 7 3139 2539 0.81 2848 8.83E−05 8 2115 1734 0.82 2702 1.72E−05 9 66 59 0.90 3840 1.77E−01 10 408 362 0.89 3492.5 2.44E−02 11 632 453 0.72 2539 2.35E−06 12 5053 3352 0.66 1935.5 3.29E−10 13 5179 4346 0.84 2923 1.94E−04 14 7718 5057 0.66 2055 2.30E−09 15 9745 8562 0.88 3155.5 1.78E−03 16 79 72 0.91 3520.5 2.94E−02 17 154 142 0.92 3803.5 1.48E−01 18 114 107 0.93 3949 2.85E−01 19 755 625 0.83 2842 8.28E−05 20 2716 2214 0.82 2811 5.91E−05 21 754 608 0.81 2627 7.02E−06 22 1730 1479 0.85 2994 3.96E−04 23 168 163 0.97 3808 1.52E−01 24 185 164 0.89 3403.5 1.31E−02 25 72 66 0.90 3635.5 6.00E−02 26 309 262 0.85 3147 1.65E−03 27 741 614 0.83 3287.5 5.40E−03 28 418 321 0.77 2237 3.72E−08 29 1648 1485 0.90 3353 8.99E−03 30 603 477 0.79 2322 1.27E−07 31 346 330 0.95 3705 8.90E−02 32 857 719 0.84 3240.5 3.69E−03 33 1145 1059 0.92 3900.5 2.32E−01 34 806 638 0.79 2664 1.10E−05 35 18 22 1.18 3321 7.03E−03 36 25 21 0.83 2686.5 1.43E−05 37 4 4 0.88 3146.5 1.65E−03 38 347 273 0.79 2795.5 4.98E−05 39 623 641 1.03 4148.5 5.81E−01 40 45 51 1.11 3493 2.45E−02 41 32 23 0.70 1880 1.29E−10 42 185 150 0.81 2818 6.38E−05 43 194 136 0.70 2181.5 1.63E−08 44 344 367 1.07 4114 5.21E−01 45 79 79 1.01 3777.5 1.30E−01 46 43 48 1.11 3177 2.15E−03 47 37 38 1.03 3909 2.41E−01 48 68 83 1.22 4163. 6.07E−01 49 15313 12696 0.83 2580.5 3.96E−06 50 10000 8246 0.82 2690.5 1.50E−05 51 22484 19403 0.86 2962 2.89E−04 52 127011 112450 0.89 2408 4.18E−07 53 15061 15330 1.02 4025 3.83E−01 54 27213 28333 1.04 3846 1.82E−01 55 9541 9096 0.95 3648 6.46E−02 56 17806 15509 0.87 2692.5 1.54E−05 57 33168 27073 0.82 2348.5 1.84E−07 58 51907 52810 1.02 4240 7.53E−01 59 72611 67172 0.93 2801 5.29E−05 60 22588 17197 0.76 2084 3.64E−09 61 7 6 0.79 3503 2.62E−02 62 66 65 1.00 4138.5 5.63E−01 63 117 106 0.90 3821 1.61E−01 64 67 64 0.96 4166.5 6.13E−01 65 30 33 1.12 4195 6.66E−01 66 216 145 0.67 3004 4.37E−04 67 1176 886 0.75 3453 1.86E−02 68 95 51 0.53 2596 4.80E−06 69 1290 909 0.70 2862 1.03E−04 70 263 185 0.71 3027.5 5.49E−04 71 150 98 0.66 2168 1.33E−08 72 148 90 0.61 2352 1.93E−07 73 104 113 1.09 3660 6.92E−02 74 60 53 0.89 3643 6.27E−02 75 1727 1608 0.93 3949 2.85E−01 76 1055 1181 1.12 3865 1.98E−01 77 226 201 0.89 3537 3.27E−02 78 2115 2297 1.09 4105 5.06E−01 79 1214 1023 0.84 3379 1.09E−02 80 4647 3822 0.82 3527 3.06E−02 81 978 826 0.85 3662 7.00E−02 82 23 21 0.94 3433 1.62E−02 83 2630 2691 1.02 4199 6.74E−01 84 1869 1864 1.00 4287 8.47E−01 85 4566 4988 1.09 4022 3.79E−01 86 468 529 1.13 3938.5 2.73E−01 87 104 94 0.90 4032 3.93E−01 88 58 50 0.87 3843.5 1.80E−01 89 238 226 0.95 4153 5.89E−01 90 1289 1405 1.09 4100 4.98E−01 91 206 210 1.02 4023 3.81E−01 92 120 73 0.61 2332 1.46E−07 93 2026 1591 0.78 2824 6.81E−05 94 53 33 0.62 1975 6.32E−10 95 1776 1290 0.73 2931 2.11E−64 96 1446 941 0.65 2024 1.40E−09 97 6918 5398 0.78 2199 2.12E−08 98 1925 1370 0.71 2174 1.46E−08 99 8 6 0.69 2625 6.85E−06 100 310 219 0.71 2511.5 1.65E−06 101 1055 808 0.77 2359 2.13E−07 102 12132 10752 0.89 3273 4.81E−03 103 2831 2187 0.77 3219 3.08E−03 104 180 143 0.80 3041 6.25E−04 105 665 523 0.79 2942 2.36E−04 106 628 545 0.87 3241 3.70E−03 107 168 142 0.85 3669 7.28E−02 108 1969 1313 0.67 2097 4.46E−09 109 1276 971 0.76 2615 6.06E−06 110 3938 3413 0.87 3190 2.41E−03 111 74468 63237 0.85 2594 4.68E−06 112 32914 24015 0.73 2268 5.85E−08 113 24820 20963 0.84 2897 1.48E−04 114 26571 20000 0.75 2457 8.07E−07 115 1894 1427 0.75 3398 1.26E−02 116 7632 7778 1.02 3952 2.89E−01 117 3236 3061 0.95 4026 3.85E−01 118 385 301 0.78 3258 4.26E−03 119 293 228 0.78 2730.5 2.39E−05 120 150 86 0.57 1208 3.11E−16 121 2456 2533 1.03 3792 1.40E−01 122 551 436 0.79 2683 1.37E−05 123 404 327 0.81 3199 2.60E−03 124 145 112 0.77 2768 3.66E−05 125 6822 6130 0.90 3343 8.33E−03 126 12050 10636 0.88 2938 2.26E−04 127 156579 163194 1.04 3946 2.82E−01 128 14091 12478 0.89 3309 6.40E−03 129 27705 21007 0.76 2613 5.91E−06 130 280676 252174 0.90 2814 6.10E−05 131 148026 155147 1.05 4046.5 4.14E−01 132 4705 3851 0.82 2271 6.12E−08 133 46569 36846 0.79 3304 6.15E−03 134 107556 115909 1.08 3711.5 9.22E−02 135 117647 116393 0.99 3785 1.35E−01 136 230220 190000 0.83 2352 1.93E−07 137 61373 55038 0.90 3369 1.01E−02 138 61353 56179 0.92 3603.5 4.96E−02 139 88083 95378 1.08 3848.5 1.84E−01 140 5171 4496 0.87 3500.5 2.57E−02 141 25528 27091 1.06 4231 7.35E−01 142 16434 17222 1.05 4194.5 6.65E−01 143 2224 1862 0.84 3342.5 8.30E−03 144 2872 2630 0.92 3720 9.66E−02 145 1524 1188 0.78 3169.5 2.02E−03 146 2116 1919 0.91 3608 5.09E−02 147 5147 5180 1.01 4355 9.87E−01 148 5753 4850 0.84 2946 2.46E−04 149 2298 2141 0.93 3736.5 1.05E−01 150 2637 2179 0.83 3095 1.03E−03 151 12749 10895 0.85 3205 2.74E−03 152 9750 9643 0.99 4279.5 8.32E−01 153 481 398 0.83 2988 3.74E−04 154 1343 1049 0.78 2965 2.97E−04 155 1924 1732 0.90 3272 4.77E−03 156 6800 7013 1.03 4330 9.35E−01 157 4760 4902 1.03 4000.5 3.50E−01 158 8960 7970 0.89 2910.5 1.71E−04 159 575 482 0.84 2843 8.37E−05 160 2302 2097 0.91 3457 1.91E−02 161 4266 2754 0.65 1526 2.05E−13 162 5162 4618 0.89 3350.5 8.82E−03 163 742 646 0.87 3111 1.20E−03 164 8600 7273 0.85 2663.5 1.09E−05 165 12154 10517 0.87 2777 4.05E−05 166 4892 3935 0.80 2276 6.57E−08 167 3434 2456 0.72 2220 2.90E−08 168 1429 1148 0.80 3115.5 1.25E−03 169 135 109 0.81 3005.5 4.44E−04 170 5355 3902 0.73 2199 2.12E−08 171 11176 9833 0.88 2831 7.35E−05 172 10267 9030 0.88 3392 1.20E−02 173 1681 1460 0.87 3242 3.73E−03 174 812 570 0.70 2573.5 3.63E−06 175 15 10 0.69 2480 1.09E−06 176 96 76 0.79 2842 8.28E−05 177 40 29 0.73 2563 3.18E−06 178 127 103 0.81 2918 1.84E−04 179 64 48 0.75 2855 9.52E−05. 180 73 44 0.60 1758 1.54E−11 181 98 54 0.56 1143 7.59E−17 182 8 6 0.67 2141 8.81E−09 183 9 7 0.72 1954 4.47E−10 184 24 11 0.49 844 8.09E−20 185 4 3 0.66 2376 2.70E−07 186 20 16 0.77 2607 5.49E−06 187 166 168 1.01 4185.5 6.48E−01 188 53 33 0.62 1157 1.03E−16 189 22 24 1.07 4355 9.87E−01 190 45 47 1.05 4077.5 4.62E−01 191 5 3 0.68 3658 6.84E−02 192 15 12 0.78 2313.5 1.12E−07 193 253 171 0.68 3966 3.06E−01 194 29 21 0.71 2666 1.12E−05 195 973 747 0.77 3551 3.58E−02 196 37 30 0.82 3754 1.16E−01 197 34 27 0.80 3802 1.47E−01 198 96 75 0.78 4054 4.26E−01 199 189 162 0.86 4041 4.06E−01 200 320 246 0.77 3387.5 1.16E−02 201 82 68 0.83 2928 2.04E−04 202 340 150 0.44 2000 9.51E−10 203 66 61 0.93 3645 6.34E−02 204 2277 1866 0.82 2575 3.69E−06 205 143 98 0.69 2268 5.85E−08 206 18 14 0.80 2580 3.93E−06 207 131 78 0.59 2100 4.67E−09 208 157 109 0.69 2020 1.31E−09 209 13 10 0.76 2322 1.27E−07 210 79 59 0.75 3766 1.23E−01 211 17 11 0.65 3823 1.63E−01 212 4 4 1.11 4157 5.96E−01 213 29 15 0.50 3610 5.16E−02 214 34 24 0.71 2142 8.95E−09 215 840 764 0.91 3724 9.86E−02 216 1658 1128 0.68 1599.5 8.37E−13 217 312 165 0.53 2197.5 2.07E−08 218 427 436 1.02 4261 7.95E−01 219 5503 4684 0.85 2760 3.34E−05 220 76 75 0.98 4157.5 5.97E−01 221 6973 6082 0.87 3001.5 4.27E−04 222 101 103 1.01 4305.5 8.85E−01 223 16763 13719 0.82 2697.5 1.63E−05 224 34 31 0.89 3802 1.47E−01 225 196 139 0.71 2644.5 8.67E−06 226 1680 1301 0.77 3080.5 9.05E−04 227 58 70 1.20 3788 1.37E−01 228 514 405 0.79 2743 2.76E−05 229 110 74 0.67 1706.5 6.08E−12 230 45 28 0.61 2362 2.22E−07 231 21 12 0.58 2002 9.82E−10 232 606232 486683 0.80 2616 6.13E−06 233 9908 9498 0.96 4063.5 4.40E−01 234 9154 8247 0.90 3866 1.99E−01 235 9287 8247 0.89 3721 9.71E−02 236 107973 121688 1.13 3653.5 6.66E−02 237 193265 185566 0.96 3809 1.52E−01 238 21999 25811 1.17 3900 2.32E−01 239 11940 10329 0.87 3543 3.40E−02 240 826948 739499 0.89 3571 4.06E−02 241 5662848 5062762 0.89 4049 4.18E−01 242 1114956 1054500 0.95 4135 5.57E−01 243 28381 23908 0.84 2800 5.23E−05 244 1972637 1731501 0.88 3773 1.27E−01 245 4259259 4687500 1.10 3791 1.39E−01 246 262959 328193 1.25 2990 3.81E−04 247 6736 6448 0.96 4044 4.11E−01 248 1247 873 0.70 2464 8.86E−07 249 1316413 1201639 0.91 4083 4.71E−01 250 78516 81625 1.04 3954.5 2.92E−01 251 6344 7497 1.18 3454 1.87E−02 252 372 362 0.97 4128 5.45E−01 253 197 142 0.72 2502 1.46E−06 254 666 570 .0.86 3240 3.67E−03 255 455 317 0.70 2594 4.68E−06 256 1616 1595 0.99 4169 6.18E−01 257 1124 902 0.80 3496 2.50E−02 258 324 292 0.90 3772 1.27E−01 259 64 30 0.48 3553 3.62E−02 260 286 231 0.81 3186 2.33E−03 261 1318 1077 0.82 3308 6.35E−03 262 517 386 0.75 2942 2.36E−04 263 18709 19891 1.06 4223 7.20E−01 264 5392 3376 0.63 3790 1.39E−01 265 7857 7002 0.89 3735 1.05E−01 266 8557 8601 1.01 4228 7.29E−01 267 16 13 0.79 3544 3.42E−02 268 61 53 0.88 4055.5 4.28E−01 269 259 289 1.12 4361.5 1.00E+00 270 258 211 0.82 3731 1.02E−01 271 534 590 1.10 4135 5.57E−01 272 735 1129 1.54 3133 1.46E−03 273 2380 2913 1.22 3601 4.88E−02 274 1785 2610 1.46 3191 2.43E−03 275 4167 6222 1.49 3067 7.98E−04 276 140 156 1.12 3641 6.20E−02 277 665 825 1.24 3936 2.70E−01 278 397 530 1.34 3221 3.13E−03 279 1044 1179 1.13 4037 4.01E−01 280 959 980 1.02 4195 6.66E−01 281 178 240 1.35 3045 6.49E−04 282 6258 7786 1.24 3563 3.86E−02 283 509 625 1.23 3738 1.06E−01 284 6148 8768 1.43 2991 3.85E−04 285 786 1035 1.32 3511 2.76E−02 286 79 53 0.67 3169 2.01E−03 287 282 275 0.98 3835 1.73E−01 288 247 262 1.06 4316.5 9.07E−01 289 136 166 1.23 3539 3.31E−02 290 1359 1800 1.32 3053 7.00E−04 291 189 189 1.00 4141 5.68E−01 292 529 812 1.54 2709.5 1.87E−05 293 134 98 0.73 2937 2.24E−04 294 1993 1407 0.71 3168.5 2.00E−03 295 1027 707 0.69 3154 1.76E−03 296 4329 3333 0.77 3249 3.95E−03 297 6584 4673 0.71 3153 1.74E−03 298 5439 6702 1.23 4135.5 5.58E−01 299 5238 4194 0.80 3811.5 1.54E−01 300 8485 6784 0.80 3314.5 6.68E−03 301 2780 2333 0.84 3833 1.71E−01 302 5385 6398 1.19 4214 7.02E−01 303 1823 2017 1.11 4032.5 3.94E−01 304 1973 1986 1.01 3907.5 2.40E−01 305 952 581 0.61 2724 2.22E−05 306 714 526 0.74 3294 5.69E−03 307 3257 3062 0.94 3507 2.69E−02 308 3629 3879 1.07 4324 9.23E−01 309 7924 9235 1.17 4209.5 6.94E−01 310 398 288 0.72 3247 3.89E−03 311 28012 29731 1.06 4279.5 8.32E−01 312 494 406 0.82 3385 1.14E−02 313 23735 31195 1.31 4127.5 5.44E−01 314 3559 3197 0.90 3986 3.31E−01 315 1312 1415 1.08 4133 5.54E−01 316 4941 5824 1.18 3942 2.77E−01 317 2207 2558 1.16 3924.5 2.58E−01 318 2392 2780 1.16 4177 6.33E−01 319 218 234 1.07 4297.5 8.68E−01 320 10838 11250 1.04 4003.5 3.54E−01 321 8416 8594 1.02 4143.5 5.72E−01 322 8477 9857 1.16 3717 9.50E−02 323 38613 45076 1.17 4068 4.47E−01 324 82550 104525 1.27 3475 2.16E−02 325 3150 4077 1.29 3541 3.35E−02 326 1949 2246 1.15 3743 1.09E−01 327 3239 2856 0.88 3746 1.11E−01 328 5850 5042 0.86 3715 9.40E−02 329 1139 1039 0.91 3620 5.48E−02 330 7221 7221 1.00 4183 6.44E−01 331 37654 45293 1.20 3674 7.49E−02 332 7800 8015 1.03 4086 4.75E−01 333 1676 1686 1.01 4274 8.21E−01 334 232 197 0.85 3804 1.49E−01 335 1600 1269 0.79 3347 8.59E−03 336 6531 6756 1.03 4283 8.39E−01 337 689 648 0.94 3984 3.28E−01 ^(a)levels are expressed as pmol/mL plasma

TABLE 10 Initial summary^(a) of univariate analysis of plasma lipids in control, stable CAD and unstable CAD cohorts. Stable vs Stable vs control vs control vs # of unstable unstable CAD CAD Lipid group Species p < 0.05 p < 0.01 p < 0.05 p < 0.01 ceramide (CER) 7 2 1 4 3 monohexosyiceramide (MHC) 7 0 0 6 5 dihexosylceramide (DHC) 7 1 1 5 4 trihexosylcermide (THC) 7 0 0 5 4 G_(M3) Ganglioside (GM3) 6 1 0 4 4 modified ceramides (modCer) 14 3 1 9 8 sphingomyelin (SM) 12 2 2 8 8 phosphatidylglycerol (PG) 4 0 0 1 0 bis(monoacylglycero)phosphate (BMP) 1 0 0 0 0 phosphatidylserine (PS) 7 0 0 7 6 phosphatidylethanolamine (PE) 18 1 0 4 0 phosphatidylinositol (PI) 17 11 7 15 15 lysophosphatidylcholine (LPC) 14 8 5 11 10 lysoplatelet activating factor (LPAF) 3 0 0 3 3 phosphatidylcholine (PC) 19 3 1 12 9 odd-chain phosphatidylcholine (oddPC) 15 3 0 8 8 alkylphosphatidylcholine (APC) 16 1 1 16 14 modified phosphatidylcholine (mod PC) 57 11 7 37 35 free cholesterol (COH) 1 0 0 1 1 cholesterol esters (CE) 30 4 1 14 9 modified cholesterol esters (modCE) 4 0 0 0 0 diacylglycerol (DG) 27 8 4 15 10 triaclyglycerol (TG) 44 14 9 13 9 Total lipid species 337 73 40 198 165 ^(a)table shows the number of lipids in each class with p values below the indicated level

TABLE 11 Analysis of variance^(a) of stable vs unstable cohort ANOVA Covariates Sum of Mean Partial Squares df Square F Sig. Variable Correlation Sig Model 1 (traditional risk factors) R² = 0.304 Regression 8.095 2 4.048 22.705 .000^(b) CRP .532 .000 Residual 18.540 104 .178 smoker .236 .015 Total 26.636 106 Model 2 (lipids) R² = 0.353 Regression 12.388 4 3.097 18.803 .000^(f) modPC 752.6/5.58 −.196 .021 Residual 22.730 138 .165 GM3 18:0 −.391 .000 Total 35.119 142 DG 18:1 20:0 −.206 .015 SM 18:0 .449 .000 Model 3 (lipids + traditional risk factors) R² = 0.473 Regression 12.604 6 2.101 14.972 .000^(f) CRP .516 .000 Residual 14.031 100 .140 PI 34:0 −.280 .004 Total 26.636 106 DHC 18:1 .250 .011 modCer 703.6/5.87 .247 .012 SM 22:1 .327 .001 GM3 18:0 −.225 .023 ^(a)linear regression analysis was performed for ANOVA

TABLE 12 Analysis of variance^(a) of control vs CAD cohort ANOVA Covariates Sum of Mean Partial Squares df Square F Sig. Variable Correlation Sig Model 4 (traditional risk factors) R2 = 0.577 Regression 22.181 7 3.169 30.980 .000 hypertension .492 .000 Residual 16.263 159 .102 CRP .382 .000 Total 38.443 166 smoker .313 .000 sex (0 = M) −.302 .000 trigs .260 .001 gluc .163 .039 age .162 .040 Model 5 (lipids) R2 = 0.809 Regression 35.114 25 1.405 32.700 .000 modPC 580.4/4.84 −.280 .000 Residual 7.646 178 .043 PS 40:6 −.439 .000 Total 42.760 203 modPC 752.6/5.58 −.505 .000 APC 32:1 −.333 .000 oddPC 37:3 .326 .000 GM3 24:1 .313 .000 oddPC 33:0 −.234 .001 APC 36:0 .218 .003 CE 24:3 −.310 .000 SM 20:1 .382 .000 SM 18:0 −.320 .000 LPC 20:0 −.311 .000 modCE 682.7/8.76 .351 .000 COH −.240 .001 Cer 20:0 .218 .003 LPC 16:1 .336 .000 TG 16:1 16:1 16:1 −.285 .000 modPC 564.4/4.70 −.245 .001 modPC 720.6/4.52 −.212 .004 modPC 608.4/5.33 .162 .028 PE 38:3 −.217 .003 PE 38:1 .158 .032 Model 6 (lipids + traditional risk factors) R2 = 0.904 Regression 34.443 26 1.325 46.359 .000 modPC 580.4/4.84 −.713 .000 Residual 4.001 140 .029 hypertension .638 .000 Total 38.443 166 PS 40:6 −.387 .000 GM3 22:0 .462 .000 PC 37:3 .616 .000 PC 33:0 −.219 .009 modPC 788.6/5.19 .409 .000 C24:3 −.372 .000 C24:4 .481 .000 modPC 666.4/2.99 .323 .000 PG 16:1 18:1 −.303 .000 diabetes −.238 .005 gluc .253 .002 modPC 678.4/4.37 −.282 .001 smoker .234 .005 modCer 731.6/6.22 −.452 .000 SM 18:1 .429 .000 sex −.401 .000 APC 36:5 −.376 .000 modPC 769.6/6.25 .428 .000 APC 36:3 −.449 .000 oddPC 35:4 −.365 .000 PG 18:1 18:1 −.367 .000 TG 18:1 18:1 18:2 .211 .012 modPC 881.7/6.05 −.326 .000 CE 17:0 −.239 .004 PI 38:5 .213 .011 ^(a)linear regression analysis was performed for ANOVA

TABLE 13 Ranked list of analytes based on recursive feature elimination of stable CAD vs unstable CAD Stable vs Unstable Lipids and Traditional Lipids Only risk Factors Asymp. Asymp. Sig. Sig. # Analyte (2-tailed) Analyte (2-tailed) 1 modPC 752.5/5.58 3.59E−06 CRP 2 modCer 731.6/6.22 6.78E−05 modPC 752.5/5.58 3.59E−06 3 DHC 18:1 6.59E−03 modCer 731.6/6.22 6.78E−05 4 APC 34:2 3.27E−03 DHC 18:1 6.59E−03 5 SM 18:0 8.04E−05 SM 18:0 8.04E−05 6 GM3 18:0 4.64E−02 APC 34:2 3.27E−03 7 LPC 16:1 1.52E−04 GM3 18:0 4.64E−02 8 DG 18:1 20:0 1.81E−04 DG 18:1 20:0 1.81E−04 9 Cer 18:1 1.62E−02 PI 36:1 1.70E−04 10 PI 36:1 1.70E−04 Cer 18:1 1.62E−02 11 PC 34:3 6.41E−04 LPC 16:1 1.52E−04 12 LPC 14:0 1.03E−05 PC 34:3 6.41E−04 13 PI 36:3 2.50E−04 PI 36:3 2.50E−04 14 modPC 745.5/6.35 7.35E−03 APC 36:0 7.31E−01 15 APC 36:0 7.31E−01 LPC 14:0 1.03E−05 16 PI 38:2 1.24E−03 modPC 745.5/6.35 7.35E−03 17 SM 18:1 2.25E−03 PI 38:2 1.24E−03 18 Cer 18:0 7.72E−03 SM 18:1 2.25E−03 19 PG 18:1 18:1 1.03E−01 modPC 622.4/4.54 9.84E−01 20 modCer 910.8/8.98 4.87E−02 modCer 703.6/5.87 8.08E−01 21 modPC 622.4/4.54 9.84E−01 LDL 22 modPC 736.5/5.38 9.46E−03 PG 18:1 18:1 1.03E−01 23 modPC 608.4/5.33 2.17E−03 modPC 736.5/5.38 9.46E−03 24 modCer 703.6/5.87 8.08E−01 modPC 608.4/5.33 2.17E−03 25 DHC 22:0 3.34E−01 modPC 743.5/5.91 2.73E−02 26 LPC 18:1 2.48E−04 THC 18:0 2.09E−01 27 THC 18:0 2.09E−01 PI 34:0 5.68E−03 28 modPC 743.5/5.91 2.73E−02 DHC 22:0 3.34E−01 29 modPC 694.4/6.20 5.77E−02 DG 16:0 20:0 2.41E−03 30 modPC 692.4/5.05 5.38E−02 total_cholesterol 31 TG 16:1 16:1 16:1 1.09E−03 TG 16:1 16:1 16:1 1.09E−03 32 PI 34:0 5.68E−03 smoker_cont 33 DG 16:0 20:0 2.41E−03 SM 22:0 1.20E−01 34 SM 22:0 1.20E−01 hist_of_CAD 35 modPC 690.4/6.00 1.25E−01 modPC 692.4/5.52 4.43E−05 36 LPC 18:2 2.16E−03 Cer 18:0 7.72E−03 37 modPC 678.4/5.51 1.21E−05 LPC 18:1 2.48E−04 38 modPC 692.4/5.52 4.43E−05 modPC 694.4/6.20 5.77E−02 39 modPC 878.6/5.98 2.33E−01 TG 14:0 16:1 18:1 1.09E−03 40 TG 14:0 16:1 18:1 1.09E−03 age 41 PE 32:0 2.18E−01 modPC 690.4/6.00 1.25E−01 42 PI 38:3 3.38E−02 PE 36:0 9.16E−01 43 TG 14:1 18:0 18:2 6.67E−03 modPC 692.4/5.05 5.38E−02 44 modPC 580.4/4.84 5.75E−03 PE 32:0 2.18E−01 45 PC 40:6 2.44E−01 SM 22:1 1.66E−01 46 modCer 886.8/9.06 1.48E−01 modPC 678.4/5.51 1.21E−05 47 modPC 818.6/6.10 1.34E−01 hypertension 48 THC 18:1 9.22E−01 LPC 18:2 2.16E−03 49 DHC 16:0 9.13E−02 sex 50 PC 32:0 6.50E−01 modCer 910.8/8.98 4.87E−02 51 PE 36:0 9.16E−01 DHC 16:0 9.13E−02 52 TG 14:0 16:1 18:2 1.12E−03 TG 14:0 16:1 18:2 1.12E−03 53 CE 14:0 1.46E−03 CE 14:0 1.46E−03 54 modPC 769.5/6.25 1.53E−01 PI 40:4 1.54E−02 55 MHC 20:0 1.34E−01 TG 14:1 18:0 18:2 6.67E−03 56 APC 36:4 1.46E−01 APC 36:5 2.77E−01 57 PG 16:0 18:1 2.88E−01 modPC 878.6/5.98 2.33E−01 58 modCer 875.7/9.23 3.49E−02 modPC 769.5/6.25 1.53E−01 59 APC 36:5 2.77E−01 modCer 798.7/7.29 4.18E−01 60 PI 36:4 5.64E−03 PC 40:6 2.44E−01 61 DG 18:1 20:3 8.34E−02 APC 36:4 1.46E−01 62 modCer 614.6/5.72 6.15E−02 PI 38:3 3.38E−02 63 TG 16:1 18:1 18:1 1.27E−01 modCer 875.7/9.23 3.49E−02 64 modPC 816.6/5.58 9.25E−01 PG 16:0 18:1 2.88E−01 65 PI 40:4 1.54E−02 modPC 580.4/4.84 5.75E−03 66 modPC 704.5/3.81 7.74E−01 TG 16:1 18:1 18:1 1.27E−01 67 modPC 692.4/6.10 6.80E−02 PI 40:6 1.43E−01 68 PI 40:6 1.43E−01 THC 18:1 9.22E−01 69 modPC 881.6/6.05 5.98E−02 modPC 818.6/6.10 1.34E−01 70 PS 36:2 4.61E−01 modPC 594.4/3.26 5.85E−01 71 modPC 566.4/5.10 1.99E−01 modCer 886.8/9.06 1.48E−01 72 SM 22:1 1.66E−01 PC 32:0 6.50E−01 73 modCer 798.7/7.29 4.18E−01 PI 36:4 5.64E−03 74 PS 38:5 4.99E−01 PI 32:0 6.15E−02 75 DHC 24:1 2.82E−01 modPC 881.6/6.05 5.98E−02 76 CE 15:0 2.84E−01 TG 17:0 18:1 18:1 3.97E−01 77 PC 30:2 1.53E−01 DG 18:1 20:3 8.34E−02 78 modPC 818.6/6.48 8.55E−01 PE 34:1 1.55E−01 79 LPC 20:5 1.21E−02 MHC 20:0 1.34E−01 80 PE 34:1 1.55E−01 modPC 704.5/3.81 7.74E−01 81 PE 38:2 4.68E−01 modPC 816.6/5.58 9.25E−01 82 oddPC 35:0 4.64E−02 CE 17:1 4.96E−02 83 oddPC 37:5 1.34E−01 PE 38:2 4.68E−01 84 oddPC 37:4 2.89E−01 LPC 20:3 2.47E−02 85 TG 14:1 18:1 18:1 1.81E−02 TG 14:1 18:1 18:1 1.81E−02 86 THC 24:0 3.56E−01 oddPC 37:4 2.89E−01 87 GM3 20:0 4.46E−01 HDL 88 PS 40:6 3.59E−01 oddPC 35:0 4.64E−02 89 CE 22:2 3.45E−01 modPC 818.6/6.48 8.55E−01 90 TG 14:0 18:2 18:2 4.17E−02 CE 15:0 2.84E−01 91 PI 32:0 6.15E−02 modPC 692.4/6.10 6.80E−02 92 DG 16:0 22:6 5.30E−01 TG 16:0 16:1 18:1 3.89E−02 93 TG 16:1 16:1 18:0 3.63E−03 oddPC 37:5 1.34E−01 94 PE 34:2 5.44E−01 PG 18:0 18:1 2.63E−01 95 DG 16:0 18:2 3.90E−01 modCer 614.6/5.72 6.15E−02 96 PI 38:5 3.88E−03 TG 14:0 18:2 18:2 4.17E−02 97 TG 17:0 18:1 18:1 3.97E−01 TG 16:1 16:1 18:0 3.63E−03 98 CE 16:2 1.77E−02 PS 38:4 3.79E−01 99 LPC 20:3 2.47E−02 oddPC 33:1 5.71E−02 100 CE 22:5 3.43E−01 THC 24:0 3.56E−01 101 PE 36:5 4.31E−02 PC 36:5 4.27E−02 102 modPC 594.4/3.26 5.85E−01 DG 16:0 18:2 3.90E−01 103 modPC 706.5/3.79 7.41E−01 PI 38:6 4.05E−02 104 CE 17:1 4.96E−02 PS 36:2 4.61E−01 105 PI 38:6 4.05E−02 PE 34:2 5.44E−01 106 PC 36:2 3.25E−02 modPC 608.4/3.84 5.85E−01 107 modPC 828.6/6.03 9.12E−01 CE 16:2 1.77E−02 108 PG 18:0 18:1 2.63E−01 DHC 24:1 2.82E−01 109 DHC 20:0 5.94E−01 PC 36:2 3.25E−02 110 CE 24:5 7.31E−01 PC 40:5 7.11E−01 111 modCer 632.6/9.22 9.74E−01 TG 14:0 18:0 18:1 2.47E−03 112 oddPC 35:3 1.10E−02 modPC 592.4/5.10 4.13E−02 113 LPC 20:0 4.38E−02 PG 16:1 18:1 6.56E−01 114 CE 22:3 5.33E−01 PE 36:5 4.31E−02 115 modPC 510.3/4.00 9.00E−01 PS 38:5 4.99E−01 116 DG 18:1 20:4 8.42E−01 LPC 20:1 6.72E−01 117 APC 36:2 3.28E−01 modPC 828.6/6.03 9.12E−01 118 PC 36:4 7.40E−01 PI 38:5 3.88E−03 119 TG 17:0 18:1 14:0 8.41E−02 gluc 120 CE 22:6 2.95E−01 PI 36:0 1.58E−01 121 modPC 538.3/4.10 3.18E−02 DG 16:0 22:6 5.30E−01 122 APC 34:0 5.32E−01 modPC 650.4/3.94 4.40E−01 123 modCer 766.6/7.17 3.36E−01 CE 22:5 3.43E−01 124 modPC 801.6/6.70 2.61E−01 TG 18:0 18:0 18:0 2.81E−02 125 PC 40:5 7.11E−01 COH 3.23E−01 126 modPC 843.6/7.10 9.24E−01 PC 38:6 5.15E−01 127 modCE 682.7/8.76 1.10E−01 BMI 128 PC 38:6 5.15E−01 APC 36:3 1.20E−01 129 PC 32:1 2.78E−01 oddPC 35:3 1.10E−02 130 TG 16:1 18:1 18:2 4.22E−01 oddPC 31:0 2.75E−02 131 PG 16:1 18:1 6.56E−01 APC 32:1 5.20E−01 132 modCer 921.8/9.05 8.05E−01 diabetes 133 BMP 18:1 18:1 3.18E−01 modPC 590.4/4.80 7.35E−01 134 modPC 608.4/3.84 5.85E−01 TG 17:0 18:1 14:0 8.41E−02 135 PC 38:4 9.71E−01 CE 20:1 8.64E−01 136 THC 20:0 6.53E−01 THC 22:0 4.78E−01 137 PC 34:2 4.58E−01 TG 17:0 18:1 16:1 2.71E−01 138 modPC 650.4/3.94 4.40E−01 CE 20:2 4.58E−01 139 TG 18:0 18:0 18:0 2.81E−02 PE 40:7 8.07E−01 140 modPC 703.5/4.09 4.39E−01 MHC 18:1 3.37E−01 141 PI 34:1 6.27E−03 PC 30:2 1.53E−01 142 PS 38:4 3.79E−01 CE 24:2 5.17E−01 143 modPC 720.5/4.52 9.00E−01 modPC 843.6/7.10 9.24E−01 144 modPC 773.6/6.47 3.36E−01 modPC 566.4/5.10 1.99E−01 145 PE 38:1 5.32E−01 modPC 678.4/4.37 7.35E−01 146 DG 16:0 16:0 6.99E−01 APC 36:2 3.28E−01 147 DHC 24:0 8.55E−01 GM3 16:0 7.71E−01 148 TG 17:0 16:0 18:0 1.31E−01 GM3 20:0 4.46E−01 149 modPC 552.4/3.90 5.30E−02 CE 24:3 9.64E−01 150 THC 22:0 4.78E−01 DG 18:2 18:2 1.01E−01 151 oddPC 31:0 2.75E−02 THC 20:0 6.53E−01 152 GM3 24:1 3.71E−01 CE 24:4 7.63E−01 153 DG 18:0 18:0 6.48E−01 modPC 720.5/4.52 9.00E−01 154 CE 20:1 8.64E−01 modPC 706.5/3.79 7.41E−01 155 modPC 678.4/4.37 7.35E−01 modPC 773.6/6.47 3.36E−01 156 PE 36:3 3.68E−01 GM3 24:1 3.71E−01 157 DHC 18:0 5.33E−01 PC 36:4 7.40E−01 158 TG 16:0 16:1 18:1 3.89E−02 MHC 16:0 5.71E−01 159 oddPC 33:1 5.71E−02 APC 34:1 8.95E−01 160 modPC 590.4/4.80 7.35E−01 modPC 510.3/4.00 9.00E−01 161 modPC 592.4/5.10 4.13E−02 modPC 650.4/3.24 9.71E−01 162 modPC 610.4/2.03 4.95E−01 trigs 163 APC 36:3 1.20E−01 CE 24:5 7.31E−01 164 TG 14:0 18:0 18:1 2.47E−03 APC 38:3 2.46E−01 165 MHC 16:0 5.71E−01 modPC 552.4/3.90 5.30E−02 166 APC 34:1 8.95E−01 TG 18:1 18:1 20:4 2.98E−01 167 DG 14:0 16:0 2.33E−02 TG 14:1 16:1 18:0 3.68E−03 168 DG 18:1 18:2 3.38E−01 PE 38:6 2.70E−01 169 DG 14:0 18:2 4.42E−02 TG 18:1 18:1 18:2 1.92E−01 170 APC 36:1 9.53E−01 modPC 610.4/2.03 4.95E−01 171 DG 18:0 18:1 3.34E−01 modPC 538.3/4.10 3.18E−02 172 DG 16:0 22:5 8.90E−01 TG 18:1 14:0 16:0 1.99E−03 173 TG 16:1 16:1 18:1 4.51E−02 PC 38:4 9.71E−01 174 DG 16:1 18:1 1.09E−01 PS 38:3 7.29E−01 175 DG 18:0 18:2 8.39E−01 CE 24:6 9.29E−01 176 DG 14:0 18:1 1.12E−02 TG 16:0 18:1 18:1 9.46E−01 177 DG 16:0 18:1 9.74E−01 modCE 588.5/7.94 8.39E−01 178 modPC 666.4/2.99 9.58E−01 DG 16:0 20:4 6.53E−01 179 DG 16:0 20:3 3.85E−02 PS 36:1 7.08E−01 180 DG 16:0 20:4 6.53E−01 CE 22:4 6.39E−01 181 DG 18:1 18:3 3.03E−01 modCE 790.8/6.57 6.60E−01 182 CE 20:4 5.68E−01 CE 22:0 4.39E−01 183 CE 18:3 1.89E−02 DG 16:0 18:0 1.14E−01 184 TG 17:0 18:1 16:1 2.71E−01 CE 22:1 7.63E−01 185 Cer 22:0 8.16E−01 APC 32:0 5.77E−01 186 CE 20:5 3.88E−01 PS 40:5 6.08E−01 187 CE 18:0 7.08E−01 CE 22:2 3.45E−01 188 CE 18:2 9.25E−01 DG 14:1 16:0 8.10E−03 189 COH 3.23E−01 APC 36:1 9.53E−01 190 TG 18:1 18:1 22:6 4.70E−01 CE 24:0 2.63E−01 191 TG 17:0 18:2 16:0 2.23E−01 PS 40:6 3.59E−01 192 CE 16:0 9.32E−01 DG 18:1 18:3 3.03E−01 193 CE 16:1 5.30E−02 CE 18:2 9.25E−01 194 CE 24:4 7.63E−01 TG 17:0 16:0 16:1 7.84E−02 195 modCE 790.8/6.57 6.60E−01 modPC 690.4/4.90 1.94E−01 196 CE 24:1 3.70E−01 CE 22:3 5.33E−01 197 CE 24:2 5.17E−01 modCE 558.5/7.74 5.22E−01 198 CE 24:3 9.64E−01 DG 14:0 16:0 2.33E−02 199 modCE 588.5/7.94 8.39E−01 DG 14:0 18:2 4.42E−02 200 Cer 16:0 5.66E−01 DG 16:0 16:0 6.99E−01 201 LPAF 16:0 1.99E−01 TG 17:0 18:1 16:0 2.36E−01 202 CE 22:4 6.39E−01 TG 16:0 16:0 18:1 3.92E−01 203 CE 20:2 4.58E−01 TG 18:1 18:1 18:1 9.93E−01 204 modCer 651.6/7.56 4.61E−01 TG 18:1 18:1 22:6 4.70E−01 205 CE 24:6 9.29E−01 modPC 690.4/4.11 3.81E−01 206 CE 22:0 4.39E−01 Cer 20:0 4.01E−01 207 TG 18:0 18:0 18:1 3.36E−01 TG 14:1 16:0 18:1 3.16E−01 208 TG 16:0 16:0 18:1 3.92E−01 CE 16:1 5.30E−02 209 Cer 24:1 6.78E−01 PE 36:3 3.68E−01 210 TG 16:0 16:0 18:2 9.77E−01 TG 14:0 16:0 18:2 5.43E−03 211 TG 18:0 18:1 18:1 4.80E−01 oddPC 37:6 6.50E−01 212 TG 15:0 18:1 18:1 6.37E−01 TG 16:0 16:0 18:2 9.77E−01 213 TG 16:0 16:0 18:0 1.13E−01 TG 16:0 16:0 18:0 1.13E−01 214 TG 14:1 16:1 18:0 3.68E−03 TG 18:0 18:2 18:2 9.04E−01 215 TG 14:1 16:0 18:1 3.16E−01 TG 18:1 18:2 18:2 9.51E−01 216 DG 18:0 20:4 8.61E−01 DG 18:0 20:4 8.61E−01 217 TG 17:0 16:0 16:1 7.84E−02 TG 18:0 18:0 18:1 3.36E−01 218 TG 15:0 18:1 16:0 5.94E−01 TG 16:0 16:0 16:0 6.62E−02 219 TG 16:0 16:0 16:0 6.62E−02 TG 18:0 18:1 18:1 4.80E−01 220 modCE 558.5/7.74 5.22E−01 DG 16:1 18:1 1.09E−01 221 CE 17:0 6.22E−01 oddPC 31:1 1.95E−01 222 TG 18:1 18:1 18:1 9.93E−01 DG 18:1 18:1 9.38E−01 223 TG 18:1 18:1 18:2 1.92E−01 LPC 20:2 8.60E−03 224 TG 18:2 18:2 20:4 7.76E−01 CE 20:3 6.51E−01 225 oddPC 37:3 5.99E−01 DG 14:0 18:1 1.12E−02 226 CE 22:1 7.63E−01 DG 16:0 20:3 3.85E−02 227 TG 16:0 18:1 18:2 1.94E−01 TG 16:0 18:0 18:1 9.77E−01 228 PE 38:5 9.03E−01 TG 15:0 18:1 18:1 6.37E−01 229 PI 32:1 3.30E−02 DG 18:1 18:2 3.38E−01 230 TG 18:0 18:2 18:2 9.04E−01 APC 38:5 7.71E−01 231 TG 18:2 18:2 18:2 9.77E−01 CE 18:1 5.49E−01 232 TG 16:0 18:0 18:1 9.77E−01 CE 17:0 6.22E−01 233 oddPC 31:1 1.95E−01 CE 18:3 1.89E−02 234 PC 44:12 8.13E−01 DG 18:1 20:4 8.42E−01 235 SM 20:1 9.32E−01 CE 18:0 7.08E−01 236 CE 24:0 2.63E−01 CE 20:5 3.88E−01 237 oddPC 33:2 9.48E−01 DG 16:0 22:5 8.90E−01 238 modPC 536.3/3.50 4.33E−02 GM3 22:0 8.74E−01 239 PC 38:5 9.11E−01 DG 14:0 14:0 2.75E−03 240 PC 34:1 4.41E−01 PC 34:1 4.41E−01 241 TG 16:0 18:1 18:1 9.46E−01 CE 22:6 2.95E−01 242 PC 32:2 2.91E−01 PC 32:1 2.78E−01 243 PC 36:3 7.95E−02 CE 16:0 9.32E−01 244 Cer 24:0 5.51E−01 PC 36:3 7.95E−02 245 PC 34:0 8.94E−02 DG 18:0 18:0 6.48E−01 246 modPC 690.4/4.90 1.94E−01 PC 32:2 2.91E−01 247 APC 32:0 5.77E−01 oddPC 35:4 8.37E−01 248 APC 32:1 5.20E−01 modCer 651.6/7.56 4.61E−01 249 modPC 772.5/5.37 8.77E−01 modCer 632.6/9.22 9.74E−01 250 DG 14:1 16:0 8.10E−03 modCer 883.8/7.75 7.11E−01 251 LPAF 18:0 7.62E−01 modCer 769.6/8.01 4.71E−01 252 oddPC 37:2 6.59E−01 modCer 766.6/7.17 3.36E−01 253 oddPC 35:2 8.93E−01 modPC 666.4/2.99 9.58E−01 254 CE 20:3 6.51E−01 oddPC 37:2 6.59E−01 255 oddPC 33:0 5.37E−01 oddPC 37:3 5.99E−01 256 PS 38:3 7.29E−01 LPAF 18:0 7.62E−01 257 oddPC 37:6 6.50E−01 modPC 564.4/4.70 2.04E−01 258 oddPC 35:1 5.99E−01 APC 34:0 5.32E−01 259 LPC 18:0 4.22E−01 modCE 682.7/8.76 1.10E−01 260 SM 15:0 2.13E−01 CE 24:1 3.70E−01 261 SM 16:1 2.54E−01 oddPC 33:2 9.48E−01 262 modCer 769.6/8.01 4.71E−01 DG 18:0 18:1 3.34E−01 263 THC 16:0 3.90E−01 SM 15:0 2.13E−01 264 TG 18:1 14:0 16:0 1.99E−03 APC 38:4 8.74E−01 265 MHC 24:0 2.85E−01 oddPC 35:2 8.93E−01 266 PC 36:5 4.27E−02 LPC 20:5 1.21E−02 267 Cer 20:0 4.01E−01 DHC 20:0 5.94E−01 268 TG 18:1 18:1 20:4 2.98E−01 MHC 24:1 6.11E−01 269 GM3 16:0 7.71E−01 MHC 18:0 6.61E−01 270 MHC 22:0 6.53E−01 Cer 24:0 5.51E−01 271 MHC 18:0 6.61E−01 DHC 18:0 5.33E−01 272 modCer 576.5/7.68 3.36E−01 Cer 24:1 6.78E−01 273 SM 24:0 6.11E−01 MHC 24:0 2.85E−01 274 SM 24:2 4.68E−01 Cer 22:0 8.16E−01 275 SM 16:0 2.27E−01 TG 18:2 18:2 18:2 9.77E−01 276 oddPC 35:4 8.37E−01 TG 16:1 16:1 18:1 4.51E−02 277 modPC 633.4/4.51 9.17E−01 PC 34:2 4.58E−01 278 modCer 883.8/7.75 7.11E−01 TG 17:0 16:0 18:0 1.31E−01 279 GM3 22:0 8.74E−01 MHC 22:0 6.53E−01 280 THC 24:1 8.12E−01 modPC 506.3/3.50 3.35E−01 281 MHC 18:1 3.37E−01 modCer 576.5/7.68 3.36E−01 282 SM 14:0 8.48E−01 SM 16:0 2.27E−01 283 GM3 24:0 8.58E−01 SM 16:1 2.54E−01 284 TG 14:0 16:0 18:2 5.43E−03 SM 14:0 8.48E−01 285 DG 14:0 14:0 2.75E−03 SM 24:0 6.11E−01 286 modPC 508.3/3.30 8.18E−01 SM 24:1 7.49E−01 287 PE 36:2 3.68E−01 SM 20:1 9.32E−01 288 APC 38:3 2.46E−01 GM3 24:0 8.58E−01 289 PE38:4 3.99E−01 DG 18:0 18:2 8.39E−01 290 PE 38:6 2.70E−01 THC 16:0 3.90E−01 291 PE 36:1 5.77E−01 DHC 24:0 8.55E−01 292 DG 18:0 16:1 5.30E−02 PC 34:0 8.94E−02 293 PC 40:7 9.16E−01 THC 24:1 8.12E−01 294 modPC 788.6/5.19 3.59E−01 modPC 536.3/3.50 4.33E−02 295 modPC 764.5/6.52 2.97E−01 PC 38:5 9.11E−01 296 SM 24:1 7.49E−01 BMP 18:1 18:1 3.18E−01 297 modPC 866.6/7.24 3.19E−01 APC 38:2 9.98E−01 298 LPC 20:2 8.60E−03 modPC 866.6/7.24 3.19E−01 299 PI 38:4 1.15E−01 PE 36:4 7.05E−01 300 PI 36:0 1.58E−01 LPC 20:4 6.94E−01 301 PI 36:2 9.61E−01 PE 32:1 3.30E−01 302 PS 40:5 6.08E−01 PC 44:12 8.13E−01 303 PS 36:1 7.08E−01 TG 16:0 18:2 18:2 4.96E−01 304 PI 40:5 2.13E−01 PC 40:7 9.16E−01 305 MHC 24:1 6.11E−01 SM 24:2 4.68E−01 306 PE 40:7 8.07E−01 TG 17:0 18:2 16:0 2.23E−01 307 DG 18:1 18:1 9.38E−01 modPC 788.6/5.19 3.59E−01 308 PE 38:3 6.28E−01 modPC 772.5/5.37 8.77E−01 309 DG 16:0 18:0 1.14E−01 PI 40:5 2.13E−01 310 TG 16:0 18:2 18:2 4.96E−01 PI 34:1 6.27E−03 311 PE 40:6 3.81E−01 PE 40:6 3.81E−01 312 LPAF 18:1 9.35E−01 PE 38:1 5.32E−01 313 LPC 22:6 9.87E−01 Cer 16:0 5.66E−01 314 LPC 20:1 6.72E−01 PI 38:4 1.15E−01 315 modPC 512.3/1.70 8.59E−01 PI 36:2 9.61E−01 316 PE 36:4 7.05E−01 TG 16:1 18:1 18:2 4.22E−01 317 modPC 506.3/3.50 3.35E−01 LPC 18:0 4.22E−01 318 LPC 20:4 6.94E−01 PE 36:1 5.77E−01 319 APC 38:4 8.74E−01 PE 36:2 3.68E−01 320 APC 38:5 7.71E−01 PE 38:3 6.28E−01 321 APC 38:6 9.90E−02 PE38:4 3.99E−01 322 LPC 15:0 2.48E−01 PE 38:5 9.03E−01 323 APC 38:2 9.98E−01 modPC 508.3/3.30 8.18E−01 324 PE 32:1 3.30E−01 LPC 20:0 4.38E−02 325 modPC 678.4/4.94 8.90E−01 CE 20:4 5.68E−01 326 LPC 16:0 4.34E−01 DG 18:0 16:1 5.30E−02 327 DG 18:2 18:2 1.01E−01 modPC 801.6/6.70 2.61E−01 328 TG 17:0 18:1 16:0 2.36E−01 LPAF 18:1 9.35E−01 329 modPC 564.4/4.70 2.04E−01 LPAF 16:0 1.99E−01 330 modPC 690.4/4.11 3.81E−01 oddPC 33:0 5.37E−01 331 modPC 664.4/4.22 8.71E−01 PI 32:1 3.30E−02 332 modPC 636.4/3.37 7.68E−01 TG 16:0 18:1 18:2 1.94E−01 333 CE 18:1 5.49E−01 APC 38:6 9.90E−02 334 TG 18:1 18:2 18:2 9.51E−01 LPC 15:0 2.48E−01 335 modPC 650.4/4.44 7.57E−01 modPC 764.5/6.52 2.97E−01 336 modPC 650.4/3.24 9.71E−01 LPC 16:0 4.34E−01 337 modPC 645.4/4.49 5.99E−01 modPC 703.5/4.09 4.39E−01 338 modPC 678.4/4.94 8.90E−01 339 modPC 664.4/4.22 8.71E−01 340 modPC 650.4/4.44 7.57E−01 341 modCer 921.8/9.05 8.05E−01 342 TG 18:2 18:2 20:4 7.76E−01 343 DG 16:0 18:1 9.74E−01 344 oddPC 35:1 5.99E−01 345 TG 15:0 18:1 16:0 5.94E−01 346 LPC 22:6 9.87E−01 347 modPC 512.3/1.70 8.59E−01 348 modPC 645.4/4.49 5.99E−01 349 modPC 636.4/3.37 7.68E−01 350 modPC 633.4/4.51 9.17E−01

TABLE 14 Ranked list of analytes based on recursive feature elimination of control vs CAD groups Control vs CAD Lipids and Traditional Lipids Only risk Factors Asymp. Asymp. Sig. Sig. # Analyte (2-tailed) Analyte (2-tailed) 1 modPC 580.4/4.84 8.09E−20 modPC 580.4/4.84 8.09E−20 2 modPC 608.4/5.33 1.03E−16 hypertension 3 modPC 552.4/3.90 7.59E−17 modPC 608.4/5.33 1.03E−16 4 PS 40:6 1.33E−08 PS 40:6 1.33E−08 5 LPC 20:0 3.11E−16 modPC 552.4/3.90 7.59E−17 6 PS 40:5 1.93E−07 LPC 20:0 3.11E−16 7 PI 34:0 6.32E−10 PS 40:5 1.93E−07 8 Cer 20:0 1.30E−03 PI 34:0 6.32E−10 9 modPC 745.5/6.35 8.37E−13 Cer 20:0 1.30E−03 10 APC 34:2 2.05E−13 modPC 745.5/6.35 8.37E−13 11 modPC 678.4/5.51 9.51E−10 modPC 678.4/5.51 9.51E−10 12 Cer 18:0 1.31E−08 Cer 18:0 1.31E−08 13 PI 36:0 6.85E−06 APC 34:2 2.05E−13 14 modPC 752.5/5.58 2.07E−08 smoker_cont 15 modPC 878.6/5.98 2.22E−07 modPC 752.5/5.58 2.07E−08 16 LPC 20:3 3.85E−01 modPC 881.6/6.05 9.82E−10 17 modPC 692.4/5.52 4.67E−09 PI 36:0 6.85E−06 18 modPC 690.4/6.00 5.85E−08 LPC 20:3 3.85E−01 19 APC 38:6 2.12E−08 modPC 878.6/5.98 2.22E−07 20 oddPC 37:3 3.50E−01 modPC 692.4/5.52 4.67E−09 21 LPC 20:4 2.89E−01 HDL 22 CE 20:3 3.81E−04 modPC 690.4/6.00 5.85E−08 23 modPC 692.4/6.10 1.31E−09 APC 38:6 2.12E−08 24 modPC 881.6/6.05 9.82E−10 modPC 866.6/7.24 6.08E−12 25 modPC 736.5/5.38 8.95E−09 trigs 26 modCer 766.6/7.17 1.29E−10 LPC 20:4 2.89E−01 27 modCer 576.5/7.68 7.03E−03 age 28 modPC 866.6/7.24 6.08E−12 gluc 29 modPC 633.4/4.51 1.12E−07 modPC 736.5/5.38 8.95E−09 30 modPC 694.4/6.20 1.27E−07 modPC 692.4/6.10 1.31E−09 31 modPC 566.4/5.10 4.47E−10 modCer 576.5/7.68 7.03E−03 32 CE 20:1 8.86E−07 modCer 766.6/7.17 1.29E−10 33 LPC 22:6 1.40E−01 CE 22:4 1.87E−02 34 PE 32:0 6.27E−02 DG 18:1 20:0 2.24E−04 35 DG 18:1 20:0 2.24E−04 oddPC 37:3 3.50E−01 36 PS 38:5 4.80E−06 PI 32:0 1.46E−07 37 PI 32:0 1.46E−07 modPC 694.4/6.20 1.27E−07 38 CE 22:4 1.87E−02 CE 20:3 3.81E−04 39 modPC 720.5/4.52 5.16E−02 PS 38:5 4.80E−06 40 CE 22:2 1.46E−06 modPC 720.5/4.52 5.16E−02 41 APC 36:3 6.57E−08 CE 24:3 3.62E−02 42 CE 24:3 3.62E−02 PE 32:0 6.27E−02 43 modPC 706.5/3.79 5.96E−01 hist_of_CAD 44 Cer 18:1 6.00E−02 APC 36:3 6.57E−08 45 PI 36:1 1.46E−08 DG 16:0 20:0 2.01E−03 46 DG 18:1 20:4 7.00E−04 modPC 566.4/5.10 4.47E−10 47 Cer 16:0 1.83E−01 CE 20:1 8.86E−07 48 modPC 692.4/5.05 3.93E−06 LPC 14:0 4.46E−09 49 PC 38:4 1.84E−01 modPC 633.4/4.51 1.12E−07 50 CE 22:0 4.68E−06 modPC 706.5/3.79 5.96E−01 51 CE 17:1 2.32E−01 LPC 22:6 1.40E−01 52 PE 36:0 1.62E−02 modPC 692.4/5.05 3.93E−06 53 THC 24:0 3.72E−08 modCer 798.7/7.29 1.63E−08 54 GM3 24:1 2.32E−01 TG 14:0 18:2 18:2 2.22E−05 55 DG 16:0 20:0 2.01E−03 CE 22:2 1.46E−06 56 SM 22:0 1.84E−07 PI 36:1 1.46E−08 57 modCer 614.6/5.72 1.43E−05 CRP 58 GM3 18:0 1.27E−07 PC 38:4 1.84E−01 59 PC 34:2 6.10E−05 Cer 18:1 6.00E−02 60 modPC 678.4/4.94 2.04E−04 PG 16:1 18:1 2.62E−02 61 modPC 538.3/4.10 1.54E−11 THC 24:0 3.72E−08 62 APC 36:2 2.90E−08 CE 22:0 4.68E−06 63 SM 24:0 3.64E−09 PC 34:2 6.10E−05 64 modCer 798.7/7.29 1.63E−08 sex 65 modPC 704.5/3.81 1.63E−01 APC 32:1 8.37E−05 66 PG 16:1 18:1 2.62E−02 PI 40:6 2.36E−04 67 APC 32:1 8.37E−05 modPC 678.4/4.94 2.04E−04 68 TG 14:0 18:2 18:2 2.22E−05 SM 14:0 3.96E−06 69 DG 18:1 18:3 4.01E−01 SM 24:2 7.53E−01 70 SM 14:0 3.96E−06 PE 36:0 1.62E−02 71 LPC 14:0 4.46E−09 modPC 538.3/4.10 1.54E−11 72 PI 40:6 2.36E−04 modPC 818.6/6.48 8.67E−06 73 PI 36:2 2.12E−08 CE 17:1 2.32E−01 74 SM 24:2 7.53E−01 total_cholesterol 75 PI 38:6 1.65E−06 BMI 76 APC 38:2 3.63E−06 modPC 512.3/1.70 1.84E−04 77 Cer 24:0 8.83E−05 SM 24:0 3.64E−09 78 MHC 22:0 3.29E−10 DG 18:1 20:4 7.00E−04 79 TG 16:0 16:0 16:0 1.71E−01 GM3 18:0 1.27E−07 80 modPC 828.6/6.03 1.37E−01 TG 14:0 16:0 18:2 3.95E−03 81 modPC 818.6/6.48 8.67E−06 LDL 82 COH 6.13E−06 oddPC 37:6 2.97E−04 83 PS 38:4 1.03E−04 modPC 816.6/5.58 1.47E−01 84 modPC 816.6/5.58 1.47E−01 oddPC 37:4 9.35E−01 85 modPC 590.4/4.80 2.70E−07 PI 36:2 2.12E−08 86 DG 18:1 18:2 3.86E−02 COH 6.13E−06 87 modPC 512.3/1.70 1.84E−04 modPC 818.6/6.48 9.05E−04 88 modCer 632.6/9.22 1.65E−03 modPC 590.4/4.80 2.70E−07 89 APC 36:5 1.09E−05 SM 22:0 1.84E−07 90 DG 16:0 20:4 3.13E−03 GM3 20:0 8.90E−02 91 Cer 24:1 3.58E−02 PI 38:6 1.65E−06 92 TG 17:0 18:1 14:0 2.40E−01 PC 34:0 6.12E−08 93 LPC 18:2 5.85E−08 APC 38:2 3.63E−06 94 oddPC 37:4 9.35E−01 modCer 614.6/5.72 1.43E−05 95 LPC 20:2 4.26E−03 PE 36:2 3.06E−02 96 PC 34:0 6.12E−08 APC 36:2 2.90E−08 97 modPC 769.5/6.25 3.34E−05 LPC 18:2 5.85E−08 98 PE 36:3 1.09E−02 modPC 828.6/6.03 1.37E−01 99 TG 14:0 16:0 18:2 3.95E−03 TG 18:1 14:0 16:0 6.68E−03 100 PG 18:1 18:1 1.61E−01 modCer 632.6/9.22 1.65E−03 101 SM 16:0 4.18E−07 PS 38:4 1.03E−04 102 modPC 690.4/4.90 3.69E−06 APC 36:5 1.09E−05 103 TG 14:0 18:0 18:1 1.14E−02 PC 36:2 1.93E−07 104 DG 14:0 14:0 3.42E−02 GM3 22:0 3.69E−03 105 DHC 24:1 5.91E−05 CE 18:1 5.57E−01 106 TG 16:0 16:0 18:0 3.31E−01 MHC 16:0 1.72E−05 107 TG 16:1 16:1 18:0 3.89E−03 CE 18:3 4.06E−02 108 GM3 20:0 8.90E−02 PI 40:5 3.70E−03 109 DHC 18:0 1.48E−01 TG 18:1 18:1 18:2 6.44E−01 110 DG 16:0 18:0 2.70E−01 CE 20:2 4.11E−01 111 DG 16:0 22:6 9.07E−01 PI 38:4 4.81E−03 112 TG 18:1 18:1 20:4 8.39E−01 SM 16:1 2.89E−04 113 PI 40:4 7.28E−02 CE 18:0 5.23E−05 114 PI 40:5 3.70E−03 CE 20:5 1.27E−01 115 APC 36:0 4.44E−04 PE 40:6 4.98E−01 116 TG 14:0 16:1 18:2 2.00E−03 PI 38:2 6.25E−04 117 SM 16:1 2.89E−04 PI 36:4 2.11E−04 118 PC 36:5 6.15E−03 PS 38:3 5.49E−04 119 GM3 16:0 8.99E−03 CE 15:0 1.99E−01 120 PI 38:4 4.81E−03 CE 14:0 4.40E−01 121 MHC 18:1 1.77E−01 PE 36:1 7.00E−02 122 DG 14:0 18:1 5.57E−01 TG 16:0 16:1 18:1 8.32E−01 123 PE 40:7 5.89E−01 PI 38:3 3.08E−03 124 PI 34:1 6.81E−05 PS 36:2 4.37E−04 125 DG 14:0 16:0 1.00E+00 TG 16:1 16:1 18:1 9.23E−01 126 PI 36:4 2.11E−04 CE 17:0 3.40E−02 127 DHC 16:0 1.78E−03 CE 16:2 9.71E−02 128 PI 32:1 3.81E−01 PS 36:1 1.86E−02 129 PE 40:6 4.98E−01 CE 16:1 6.66E−02 130 PS 36:1 1.86E−02 TG 14:1 16:1 18:0 1.54E−01 131 modPC 650.4/4.44 1.16E−01 PE 38:1 1.80E−01 132 DG 16:0 18:1 7.98E−04 modCE 558.5/7.74 7.20E−01 133 DG 16:0 18:2 4.88E−02 CE 16:0 1.52E−01 134 TG 16:0 18:1 18:1 2.16E−02 PI 40:4 7.28E−02 135 DG 18:0 18:2 1.06E−01 CE 24:0 2.36E−04 136 DG 14:0 18:2 1.02E−01 PE 38:3 2.73E−01 137 DG 18:1 18:1 3.85E−04 modCE 682.7/8.76 1.05E−01 138 CE 16:0 1.52E−01 TG 18:2 18:2 20:4 8.59E−03 139 TG 16:1 18:1 18:2 5.72E−01 modCE 790.8/6.57 7.29E−01 140 CE 14:0 4.40E−01 PE38:4 3.79E−01 141 CE 16:2 9.71E−02 PE 38:5 8.47E−01 142 CE 18:2 4.18E−01 modCE 588.5/7.94 1.39E−01 143 TG 16:0 18:0 18:1 3.35E−02 THC 16:0 3.96E−04 144 CE 17:0 3.40E−02 CE 22:1 3.67E−03 145 CE 18:3 4.06E−02 CE 24:6 6.18E−01 146 TG 18:1 18:1 18:1 7.49E−02 PI 38:5 2.13E−07 147 DG 16:0 22:5 3.31E−02 CE 22:5 2.92E−01 148 TG 18:0 18:2 18:2 5.48E−02 CE 22:3 5.45E−01 149 TG 18:1 18:1 18:2 6.44E−01 DG 16:0 18:1 7.98E−04 150 PI 38:3 3.08E−03 PI 34:1 6.81E−05 151 THC 20:0 6.00E−02 TG 16:0 18:1 18:2 4.47E−01 152 TG 18:0 18:0 18:0 1.49E−01 CE 24:4 1.27E−01 153 TG 16:0 18:2 18:2 3.54E−01 PI 36:3 1.40E−09 154 CE 18:0 5.23E−05 TG 17:0 16:0 16:1 3.94E−01 155 CE 24:1 6.35E−03 THC 18:0 1.31E−02 156 modPC 703.5/4.09 1.23E−01 TG 17:0 18:1 16:1 2.77E−01 157 PI 36:3 1.40E−09 TG 17:0 18:2 16:0 2.58E−01 158 CE 24:2 2.33E−03 DG 18:1 20:3 1.87E−05 159 TG 17:0 18:1 16:1 2.77E−01 TG 15:0 18:1 18:1 5.54E−01 160 modCE 790.8/6.57 7.29E−01 TG 16:0 16:0 18:0 3.31E−01 161 modCE 558.5/7.74 7.20E−01 TG 14:0 16:1 18:2 2.00E−03 162 modCE 588.5/7.94 1.39E−01 TG 16:1 16:1 16:1 1.76E−03 163 CE 22:6 4.71E−01 DG 16:0 22:6 9.07E−01 164 CE 22:3 5.45E−01 PC 32:0 6.40E−03 165 CE 20:4 1.39E−01 modPC 690.4/4.11 6.34E−02 166 CE 20:2 4.11E−01 TG 17:0 18:1 16:0 6.33E−01 167 CE 24:6 6.18E−01 Cer 24:0 8.83E−05 168 CE 24:5 2.50E−02 DG 16:0 22:5 3.31E−02 169 CE 22:5 2.92E−01 TG 14:1 18:0 18:2 5.69E−03 170 TG 18:1 14:0 16:0 6.68E−03 TG 15:0 18:1 16:0 7.02E−01 171 DG 16:0 20:3 6.49E−04 TG 16:0 16:0 16:0 1.71E−01 172 TG 14:1 16:0 18:1 5.58E−01 TG 16:0 16:0 18:2 6.94E−01 173 TG 14:1 16:1 18:0 1.54E−01 CE 24:1 6.35E−03 174 TG 16:1 16:1 16:1 1.76E−03 TG 17:0 18:1 14:0 2.40E−01 175 PI 38:2 6.25E−04 TG 18:1 18:1 22:6 3.28E−01 176 LPAF 16:0 1.37E−05 TG 16:1 16:1 18:0 3.89E−03 177 TG 14:1 18:0 18:2 5.69E−03 TG 14:1 16:0 18:1 5.58E−01 178 TG 15:0 18:1 16:0 7.02E−01 TG 14:0 16:1 18:1 1.74E−03 179 TG 17:0 16:0 16:1 3.94E−01 TG 16:0 16:0 18:1 5.44E−01 180 DG 18:0 18:0 1.73E−01 TG 18:1 18:1 20:4 8.39E−01 181 modPC 843.6/7.10 2.76E−05 PE 40:7 5.89E−01 182 modCer 883.8/7.75 1.30E−01 TG 14:0 18:0 18:1 1.14E−02 183 DG 18:0 18:1 2.76E−02 modPC 743.5/5.91 9.86E−02 184 modPC 818.6/6.48 9.05E−04 DG 16:0 18:2 4.88E−02 185 DG 18:2 18:2 6.66E−01 DG 16:0 16:0 1.46E−03 186 TG 18:0 18:1 18:1 4.75E−01 CE 18:2 4.18E−01 187 DG 18:0 20:4 5.68E−01 DG 16:1 18:1 2.43E−03 188 TG 14:1 18:1 18:1 2.69E−02 modCer 875.7/9.23 5.21E−01 189 TG 16:1 18:1 18:1 9.50E−02 PC 30:2 8.33E−03 190 PC 30:2 8.33E−03 DG 14:0 16:0 1.00E+00 191 TG 17:0 16:0 18:0 8.68E−01 TG 18:0 18:0 18:0 1.49E−01 192 TG 18:2 18:2 20:4 8.59E−03 DG 14:1 16:0 4.28E−01 193 TG 17:0 18:1 18:1 1.09E−01 PG 18:1 18:1 1.61E−01 194 TG 18:2 18:2 18:2 1.11E−01 TG 18:0 18:1 18:1 4.75E−01 195 DG 16:1 18:1 2.43E−03 TG 18:0 18:0 18:1 8.21E−01 196 CE 18:1 5.57E−01 TG 16:0 18:2 18:2 3.54E−01 197 TG 18:0 18:0 18:1 8.21E−01 TG 16:1 18:1 18:1 9.50E−02 198 TG 16:0 16:0 18:1 5.44E−01 TG 16:0 18:1 18:1 2.16E−02 199 TG 16:0 16:0 18:2 6.94E−01 DG 18:1 18:2 3.86E−02 200 TG 16:0 16:1 18:1 8.32E−01 TG 16:1 18:1 18:2 5.72E−01 201 TG 17:0 18:2 16:0 2.58E−01 APC 38:4 1.20E−02 202 TG 17:0 18:1 16:0 6.33E−01 DG 18:1 18:1 3.85E−04 203 TG 15:0 18:1 18:1 5.54E−01 DG 16:0 20:3 6.49E−04 204 modCE 682.7/8.76 1.05E−01 TG 17:0 18:1 18:1 1.09E−01 205 PC 34:1 4.14E−01 DG 16:0 18:0 2.70E−01 206 DG 18:0 16:1 6.20E−02 DG 18:0 16:1 6.20E−02 207 PC 32:0 6.40E−03 DG 18:2 18:2 6.66E−01 208 oddPC 37:5 4.77E−03 TG 16:0 18:0 18:1 3.35E−02 209 TG 16:0 18:1 18:2 4.47E−01 TG 14:1 18:1 18:1 2.69E−02 210 PC 38:5 4.96E−02 modPC 594.4/3.26 6.48E−01 211 PG 18:0 18:1 6.13E−01 modCer 886.8/9.06 2.15E−03 212 PC 36:2 1.93E−07 PC 32:2 2.26E−04 213 modCer 886.8/9.06 2.15E−03 PC 32:1 2.82E−01 214 modCer 910.8/8.98 2.41E−01 APC 32:0 1.91E−02 215 modCer 875.7/9.23 5.21E−01 DG 14:0 18:1 5.57E−01 216 PE 36:4 5.06E−01 modCer 921.8/9.05 6.07E−01 217 PC 32:2 2.26E−04 oddPC 31:0 2.02E−03 218 PC 32:1 2.82E−01 oddPC 37:2 1.71E−04 219 modCer 921.8/9.05 6.07E−01 PC 34:3 5.91E−06 220 PC 38:6 1.01E−02 SM 22:1 1.54E−05 221 PC 40:7 2.57E−02 DHC 18:1 2.94E−02 222 oddPC 35:1 8.32E−01 modCer 651.6/7.56 4.98E−05 223 PE 38:5 8.47E−01 modPC 608.4/3.84 9.87E−01 224 oddPC 35:3 1.03E−03 SM 24:1 5.29E−05 225 oddPC 35:2 2.74E−03 TG 18:0 18:2 18:2 5.48E−02 226 CE 24:0 2.36E−04 modCer 883.8/7.75 1.30E−01 227 PE 36:2 3.06E−02 modCer 703.6/5.87 5.81E−01 228 PC 34:3 5.91E−06 modCer 769.6/8.01 6.38E−05 229 DG 14:1 16:0 4.28E−01 oddPC 35:4 1.05E−01 230 PC 44:12 8.30E−03 oddPC 35:3 1.03E−03 231 oddPC 31:1 9.66E−02 oddPC 33:2 2.46E−04 232 DHC 22:0 8.28E−05 oddPC 33:1 9.87E−01 233 PC 40:5 6.65E−01 oddPC 35:0 3.74E−04 234 oddPC 33:1 9.87E−01 oddPC 35:1 8.32E−01 235 oddPC 33:0 5.09E−02 oddPC 35:2 2.74E−03 236 PE 38:2 3.93E−01 PE 38:6 6.74E−01 237 modPC 772.5/5.37 5.97E−01 PC 36:5 6.15E−03 238 modCer 703.6/5.87 5.81E−01 modPC 801.6/6.70 1.63E−05 239 THC 16:0 3.96E−04 PC 38:5 4.96E−02 240 DHC 20:0 2.85E−01 PC 36:4 9.22E−02 241 PC 40:6 7.35E−01 TG 17:0 16:0 18:0 8.68E−01 242 TG 18:1 18:1 22:6 3.28E−01 PC 44:12 8.30E−03 243 THC 22:0 1.65E−03 APC 38:3 3.73E−03 244 THC 18:1 1.52E−01 PC 40:6 7.35E−01 245 THC 18:0 1.31E−02 PC 40:5 6.65E−01 246 SM 24:1 5.29E−05 MHC 18:1 1.77E−01 247 MHC 18:0 2.44E−02 MHC 24:0 2.30E−09 248 PE 38:1 1.80E−01 DHC 16:0 1.78E−03 249 MHC 16:0 1.72E−05 MHC 20:0 2.35E−06 250 DHC 18:1 2.94E−02 MHC 24:1 1.94E−04 251 PS 38:3 5.49E−04 DHC 20:0 2.85E−01 252 MHC 20:0 2.35E−06 GM3 16:0 8.99E−03 253 MHC 24:0 2.30E−09 CE 20:4 1.39E−01 254 THC 24:1 5.40E−03 DHC 18:0 1.48E−01 255 DG 16:0 16:0 1.46E−03 DG 16:0 20:4 3.13E−03 256 LPC 16:1 2.41E−03 PC 40:7 2.57E−02 257 CE 22:1 3.67E−03 CE 24:2 2.33E−03 258 PI 38:5 2.13E−07 diabetes 259 SM 18:0 1.82E−01 DG 14:0 18:2 1.02E−01 260 modCer 769.6/8.01 6.38E−05 LPC 18:1 1.48E−04 261 DHC 24:0 7.02E−06 APC 36:1 1.25E−03 262 modCer 731.6/6.22 2.45E−02 Cer 16:0 1.83E−01 263 GM3 24:0 1.10E−05 Cer 22:0 6.49E−02 264 SM 15:0 1.50E−05 GM3 24:0 1.10E−05 265 GM3 22:0 3.69E−03 TG 18:1 18:1 18:1 7.49E−02 266 BMP 18:1 18:1 6.66E−01 TG 18:1 18:2 18:2 9.40E−02 267 APC 34:1 8.82E−03 GM3 24:1 2.32E−01 268 SM 22:1 1.54E−05 modPC 650.4/3.94 1.47E−01 269 modPC 510.3/4.00 3.18E−06 SM 20:1 6.46E−02 270 SM 18:1 3.83E−01 SM 16:0 4.18E−07 271 APC 32:0 1.91E−02 SM 18:1 3.83E−01 272 modPC 773.6/6.47 4.27E−04 DHC 22:0 8.28E−05 273 modPC 788.6/5.19 8.85E−01 modPC 506.3/3.50 1.09E−06 274 modPC 764.5/6.52 7.95E−01 THC 18:1 1.52E−01 275 oddPC 33:2 2.46E−04 LPC 15:0 6.06E−06 276 DG 18:1 20:3 1.87E−05 DHC 24:0 7.02E−06 277 TG 14:0 16:1 18:1 1.74E−03 THC 24:1 5.40E−03 278 APC 38:3 3.73E−03 PC 34:1 4.14E−01 279 modPC 650.4/3.94 1.47E−01 THC 20:0 6.00E−02 280 modPC 666.4/2.99 4.06E−01 THC 22:0 1.65E−03 281 modPC 536.3/3.50 9.52E−05 modPC 690.4/4.90 3.69E−06 282 modPC 650.4/3.24 3.58E−02 DG 18:1 18:3 4.01E−01 283 modPC 664.4/4.22 4.26E−01 modPC 536.3/3.50 9.52E−05 284 CE 20:5 1.27E−01 CE 22:6 4.71E−01 285 PC 36:4 9.22E−02 modPC.703.5/4.09 1.23E−01 286 oddPC 35:4 1.05E−01 modPC 764.5/6.52 7.95E−01 287 modPC 690.4/4.11 6.34E−02 PG 16:0 18:1 5.63E−01 288 LPC 18:0 8.07E−07 PI 32:1 3.81E−01 289 PE 36:1 7.00E−02 DHC 24:1 5.91E−05 290 PE 38:6 6.74E−01 modPC 610.4/2.03 4.62E−01 291 TG 18:1 18:2 18:2 9.40E−02 modPC 645.4/4.49 1.12E−05 292 oddPC 37:2 1.71E−04 SM 18:0 1.82E−01 293 PE 38:3 2.73E−01 PE 36:5 3.27E−02 294 oddPC 31:0 2.02E−03 modPC 636.4/3.37 3.06E−01 295 oddPC 37:6 2.97E−04 PE 34:2 2.85E−01 296 PE38:4 3.79E−01 modPC 664.4/4.22 4.26E−01 297 PG 16:0 18:1 5.63E−01 modPC 650.4/4.44 1.16E−01 298 PC 36:3 1.35E−01 TG 18:2 18:2 18:2 1.11E−01 299 oddPC 35:0 3.74E−04 PE 32:1 6.92E−02 300 modPC 608.4/3.84 9.87E−01 modPC 769.5/6.25 3.34E−05 301 PE 34:2 2.85E−01 modPC 666.4/2.99 4.06E−01 302 PE 36:5 3.27E−02 PG 18:0 18:1 6.13E−01 303 PE 32:1 6.92E−02 modPC 622.4/4.54 6.84E−02 304 TG 16:1 16:1 18:1 9.23E−01 PE 36:4 5.06E−01 305 LPC 16:0 4.68E−06 modPC 678.4/4.37 1.16E−02 306 LPC 18:1 1.48E−04 PE 34:1 1.98E−01 307 LPC 15:0 6.06E−06 modPC 772.5/5.37 5.97E−01 308 modCer 651.6/7.56 4.98E−05 PC 38:6 1.01E−02 309 modPC 743.5/5.91 9.86E−02 PE 38:2 3.93E−01 310 LPC 20:1 2.39E−05 modPC 773.6/6.47 4.27E−04 311 LPC 20:5 1.26E−02 modPC 788.6/5.19 8.85E−01 312 CE 15:0 1.99E−01 modPC 704.5/3.81 1.63E−01 313 modPC 678.4/4.37 1.16E−02 BMP 18:1 18:1 6.66E−01 314 CE 24:4 1.27E−01 SM 15:0 1.50E−05 315 SM 20:1 6.46E−02 modCer 731.6/6.22 2.45E−02 316 APC 34:0 1.20E−03 APC 36:0 4.44E−04 317 APC 38:4 1.20E−02 oddPC 31:1 9.66E−02 318 modPC 801.6/6.70 1.63E−05 oddPC 33:0 5.09E−02 319 APC 36:1 1.25E−03 APC 38:5 7.35E−05 320 APC 38:5 7.35E−05 DG 18:0 18:1 2.76E−02 321 MHC 24:1 1.94E−04 LPC 16:0 4.68E−06 322 modPC 594.4/3.26 6.48E−01 LPAF 18:0 3.66E−05 323 modPC 508.3/3.30 8.28E−05 DG 14:0 14:0 3.42E−02 324 Cer 22:0 6.49E−02 LPC 16:1 2.41E−03 325 modPC 592.4/5.10 5.49E−06 oddPC 37:5 4.77E−03 326 modPC 636.4/3.37 3.06E−01 modCer 910.8/8.98 2.41E−01 327 modPC 645.4/4.49 1.12E−05 APC 34:1 8.82E−03 328 modPC 610.4/2.03 4.62E−01 modPC 843.6/7.10 2.76E−05 329 CE 16:1 6.66E−02 DG 18:0 18:0 1.73E−01 330 LPAF 18:0 3.66E−05 APC 36:4 4.05E−05 331 modPC 506.3/3.50 1.09E−06 Cer 24:1 3.58E−02 332 PS 36:2 4.37E−04 APC 34:0 1.20E−03 333 LPAF 18:1 2.60E−03 MHC 18:0 2.44E−02 334 modPC 564.4/4.70 8.81E−09 DG 18:0 18:2 1.06E−01 335 modPC 622.4/4.54 6.84E−02 MHC 22:0 3.29E−10 336 PE 34:1 1.98E−01 modPC 508.3/3.30 8.28E−05 337 APC 36:4 4.05E−05 modPC 510.3/4.00 3.18E−06 338 PE 36:3 1.09E−02 339 CE 24:5 2.50E−02 340 modPC 564.4/4.70 8.81E−09 341 modPC 592.4/5.10 5.49E−06 342 DG 18:0 20:4 5.68E−01 343 modPC 650.4/3.24 3.58E−02 344 LPC 20:2 4.26E−03 345 LPC 18:0 8.07E−07 346 LPC 20:5 1.26E−02 347 LPAF 16:0 1.37E−05 348 LPAF 18:1 2.60E−03 349 LPC 20:1 2.39E−05 350 PC 36:3 1.35E−01

TABLE 15 Final conditions for precursor ion scan and MRM acquisition methods for lipid identification and quantification No. of Internal (pmol) Parent Lipid class species standard 15□L) ion MRM type DP EP CE CXP ceramide (Cer) 7 Cer17:0 100 [M + H]⁺ PIS^(a), 264.3 m/z 50 10 35 12 monohexosylceramide (MHC) 7 MHC 16:0 d₃ 50 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 264.3 m/z 77 10 50 12 dihexosylceramide (DHC) 7 DHC 16:0 d₃ 50 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 264.3 m/z 100 10 65 12 trihexosylcermide (THC) 7 THC 17:0 50 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 264.3 m/z 130 10 73 12 G_(M3) ganglioside (GM3) 6 THC 17:0 50 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 264.3 m/z 155 10 105 16 modified ceramide (modCer) 13 acCer 17:0 18:1 100 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 264.3 m/z 70 10 50 16 sphingomyelin (SM) 12 SM 12:0 200 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 184.1 m/z 65 10 35 12 phosphatidylglycerol (PG) 4 PG 17:0 17:0 100 [M⁺ NH₄]⁺ NL^(b), 189 Da 60 10 25 12 bis(monoacylglycerol)phosphate (BMP) 1 BMP 14:0/14:0 100 [M⁺ NH₄]⁺ PIS, 339.3 m/z 65 10 35 12 phosphatidylserine (PS) 7 PS 17:0 17:0 100 [M + H]⁺ NL, 185 Da 86 10 29 12 phosphatidylelhanolamine (PE) 18 PE 17:0 17:0 100 [M + H]⁺ NL, 141 Da 80 10 31 12 phosphatidylinositol (PI) 17 PE 17:0 17:0 100 [M⁺ NH₄]⁺ PIS, 184.1 m/z 51 10 43 14 phosphatidylcholine (LPC) 16 LPC 13:0 100 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 184.1 m/z 90 10 38 12 lysoplatelet activating factor (LPAF) 7 LPC 13:0 100 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 285.2 m/z 90 10 42 5 phosphatidylcholine (PC) 22 PC 13:0 13:0 100 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 184.1 m/z 100 10 45 11 odd chain phosphatidylcholine (oddPC) 16 PC 13:0 13:0 100 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 184.1 m/z 100 10 45 11 alkylphosphatidylcholine (APC) 18 PC 13:0 13:0 100 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 184.1 m/z 100 10 45 11 modified phosphatidylcholine (modPC) 38 PC 13:0 13:0 100 [M + H]⁺ PIS, 184.1 m/z 100 10 45 11 free cholesterol (COH) 1 COH d, 1000 [M⁺ NH₄]⁺ PIS, 369.3 m/z 55 10 17 12 cholesterol ester (CE) 30 CE 18:0 d₆ 1000 [M⁺ NH₄]⁺ PIS, 369.3 m/z 30 10 20 12 modified cholesterol ester (modCE) 4 CE 18:0 d₆ 1000 [M⁺ NH₄]⁺ PIS, 369.3 m/z 55 10 20 12 diacylglycerol (DG) 27 DAG 15:0 15:0 200 [M⁺ NH₄]⁺ NL, fatty acid 55 10 30 22 triaclyglycerol (TG) 44 TAG 17:0 17:0 17:0 100 [M⁺ NH₄]⁺ NL, fatty acid 95 10 30 12 ^(a)NL, neutral loss scan; ^(b)PIS, precursor ion scan; ^(c)PC 13:0 13:0 was used as internal standard for species with m/z < 700, ^(a)DP, declustering potential; ^(b)EP, entrance potential; ^(c)CE collision energy; ^(d)CXP, exit potential.

TABLE 16 Final summary^(a) of univariate analysis of plasma lipids in control, stable CAD and unstable CAD groups # of species control stable % difference^(b) vs CAD vs unstable control stable Lipid class total p < 0.01^(a) p < 0.01^(a) vs CAD vs unstable ceramide (CER) 7 2 −6.3 0.6 monohexosylceramide (MHC) 7 4 −24.9 −4.6 dihexosylceramide (DHC) 7 2 1 −12.8 8.1 trihexosylcermide (THC) 7 2 −13.6 2.0 G_(M3) Ganglioside (GM3) 6 1 −9.3 −3.2 modified ceramides (modCer) 13 5 1 −9.4 2.1 sphingomyelin (SM) 12 4 1 −9.3 2.9 phosphatidylglycerol (PG) 4 −7.0 −11.7 bis(monoacylglycero)phosphate (BMP) 1 2.6 6.4 phosphatidylserine (PS) 7 6 −27.4 23.9 phosphatidylethanolamine (PE) 18 −2.3 5.5 phosphatidylinositol (PI) 17 7 9 −20.4 −13.8 lysophosphatidylcholine (LPC) 16 10 8 −14.5 −10.7 lysoplatelet activating factor (LPAF) 7 2 −12.1 1.5 phosphatidylcholine (PC) 22 9 3 −7.2 −3.5 odd-chain phosphatidylcholine (oddPC) 16 7 −8.5 −2.5 alkylphosphatidylcholine (APC) 17 9 2 −16.0 −4.9 modified phosphatidylcholine (modPC) 39 15 −12.4 2.7 free cholesterol (COH) 1 −16.7 −3.9 cholesterol esters (CE) 30 4 1 −0.6 −2.0 modified cholesterol esters (modCE) 4 6.6 0.4 diacylglycerol (DG) 27 5 2 29.1 −2.8 triaclyglycerol (TG) 44 1 2 2.1 −7.3 Total lipid species 329 95 30 ^(a)table shows the number of lipids in each class with p < 0.01 ^(b)% difference between mean values for each lipid class, bold signifies p < 0.01 (Mann Whitney U test)

TABLE 17 Model features¹ C-statistic² % accuracy² A. Logistic Regression Models of Stable CAD vs Unstable CAD Lipids 4.4 72.9 (72.1-73.6) 67.0 (66.3-67.6) Risk Factors 1.4 65.4 (65.0-65.8) 68.5 (68.1-68.8) Lipids and Risk 4.8 78.8 (78.1-79.4) 71.0 (70.3-71.6) Factors B. Logistic Regression Models of Control vs CAD Lipids 5.7 94.6 (94.4-94.8) 87.3 (87.1-87.6) Risk Factors 4.2 95.6 (95.4-95.8) 90.4 (90.1-90.7) Lipids and Risk 5.5 98.2 (98.1-98.3) 92.4 (92.1-92.6) Factors ¹mean number of features in the model. ²mean value and 95% confidence intervals.

TABLE 18 Ranked Lipids in the Stable CAD vs Unstable CAD Logistic Model¹ features % occurrence² odds ratio³ 95% CI modCer 731.6 61.0 1.77 1.75-1.79 GM3 18:0 59.7 0.64 0.63-0.65 PC34:5 59.3 0.61 0.60-0.61 DHC 18:1 36.7 1.52 1.51-1.54 APC 34:2 28.7 0.66 0.65-0.66 SM 18:0 18.0 1.70 1.65-1.74 Cer 18:1 15.7 1.47 1.45-1.49 PI 36:1 14.0 0.63 0.61-0.64 APC 36:0 13.7 1.42 1.40-1.43 DG 18:1 20:0 13.3 0.65 0.63-0.66 LPC 14:0 11.0 0.65 0.63-0.66 LPC 16:1 10.0 0.62 0.60-0.63 PC 24:0 7.3 1.46 1.41-1.50 Cer 18:0 5.7 1.47 1.42-1.53 PI 36:3 5.3 0.64 0.61-0.66 PI 38:2 4.7 0.64 0.61-0.67 ¹lipids only. ²indicates the frequency of occurrence within the model. ³indicates the risk associated with a change of 1 standard deviation.

TABLE 19 Ranked Risk Factors in the Stable CAD vs Unstable CAD Logistic Models¹ features % occurrence² odds ratio³ 95% CI hsCRP 100.0 1.71 1.69-1.72 diabetes 16.3 0.70 0.69-0.71 smoker 13.0 1.43 1.41-1.45 HDL 6.3 0.68 0.66-0.70 SBP 4.7 0.72 0.72-0.73 BMI 1.0 0.66 0.54-0.84 cholesterol 0.7 0.72 0.70-0.74 age 0.3 0.71 Hist of CAD 0.3 0.72 sex 0.3 1.36 TRIGs 0.3 1.48 ¹risk factors only. ²indicates the frequency of occurrence within the model. ³indicates the risk associated with a change of 1 standard deviation.

TABLE 20 Ranked Features in the Stable CAD vs Unstable CAD Logistic Model¹ features % occurrence² odds ratio³ 95% CI hsCRP 99.0 1.79 1.77-1.81 PC 34:5 72.0 0.59 0.59-0.60 DHC 18:1 49.7 1.53 1.52-1.55 Cer 18:1 42.7 1.51 1.49-1.52 modCer 731.6 37.7 1.70 1.67-1.72 GM3 18:0 31.7 0.63 0.62-0.64 LPC 16:1 20.7 0.60 0.59-0.62 DG 18:1/20:0 17.0 0.64 0.63-0.65 LPC 14:0 11.0 0.62 0.60-0.64 LPC 18:1 10.3 0.65 0.63-0.66 smoker 10.3 1.46 1.44-1.48 modPC.622.4/4.0 6.3 1.47 1.44-1.51 LPC 18:2 5.7 0.65 0.64-0.66 APC 34:2 5.7 0.67 0.66-0.68 LPC 24:0 4.7 0.66 0.64-0.67 PI 36:1 4.0 0.63 0.61-0.66 ¹lipids and risk factors combined. ²indicates the frequency of occurrence within the model. ³indicates the risk associated with a change of 1 standard deviation.

TABLE 21 Ranked Lipids in the Control vs CAD Logistic Model¹ features % occurrence² odds ratio³ 95% CI LPC 22:0 100.0 0.40 0.40-0.40 PS 40:6 96.7 0.56 0.56-0.56 PI 34:0 42.0 0.61 0.60-0.61 Cer 20:0 39.3 1.61 1.59-1.63 Cer 18:0 39.0 1.72 1.70-1.74 APC 34:2 28.0 0.58 0.57-0.59 PC 34:5 22.7 0.59 0.58-0.60 LPC 20:3 16.7 1.50 1.48-1.51 PC 28:0 15.3 0.63 0.61-0.64 modPC 692.4/5.8 15.3 0.62 0.60-0.63 APC 30:0 14.7 0.63 0.61-0.64 modPC 736.5/5.7 14.3 0.61 0.59-0.62 LPC 20:4 14.0 1.51 1.49-1.53 APC 38:6 13.3 0.62 0.60-0.63 modPC 720.5.4.5 11.3 0.69 0.68-0.70 PI 36:0 11.0 0.64 0.63-0.66 ¹lipids only. ²indicates the frequency of occurrence within the model. ³indicates the risk associated with a change of 1 standard deviation.

TABLE 22 Ranked Risk Factors in the Control vs CAD Logistic Model¹ features % occurrence² odds ratio³ 95% CI hsCRP 100.0 3.02 3.01-3.04 age 99.0 1.82 1.81-1.84 TRIGs 91.0 1.71 1.70-1.72 SBP 82.0 0.65 0.65-0.66 HDL 22.0 1.58 1.56-1.60 sex 17.0 0.70 0.69-0.70 Hist of CAD 8.7 1.44 1.42-1.45 BMI 1.0 0.67 0.65-0.68 cholesterol 0.0 ¹risk factors only. ²indicates the frequency of occurrence within the model. ³indicates the risk associated with a change of 1 standard deviation.

TABLE 23 Ranked Features in the Control vs CAD Logistic Model¹ features % occurrence² odds ratio³ 95% CI hsCRP 100.0 2.35 2.33-2.36 LPC 22.0 99.7 0.47 0.47-0.47 age 97.0 1.76 1.74-1.77 PS 40:6 94.7 0.60 0.59-0.60 PC 34:5 37.7 0.63 0.62-0.63 SBP 18.7 0.65 0.65-0.66 modPC 879.6/6.1 13.0 0.63 0.62-0.64 APC 30:0 10.7 0.63 0.62-0.64 APC 38:6 10.7 0.62 0.61-0.64 Cer 18:0 10.3 1.61 1.59-1.63 modPC 877.6/6.0 8.7 0.66 0.65-0.68 modPC 736.5/5.7 8.3 0.61 0.60-0.62 HDL 7.3 1.57 1.54-1.60 LPC 20:3 7.3 1.52 1.49-1.54 PC 28:0 7.0 0.63 0.62-0.64 Cer 20:0 4.0 1.52 1.47-1.58 ¹lipids and risk factors combined. ²indicates the frequency of occurrence within the model. ³indicates the risk associated with a change of 1 standard deviation.

TABLE 24 Ranked Features in the Stable CAD vs Unstable CAD Recursive Feature Elimination Models¹ % occurrence³ # features in model Feature % change² 1 2 4 8 16 hsCRP 243 38 82 97 100 100 PC 34:5 −11 40 61 76 87 95 modCer 731.6 20 3 13 53 83 96 DHC 18:1 24 1 4 26 67 86 GM3 18:0 −11 0 2 19 62 88 LPC 16:1 −23 6 11 31 49 60 Cer 18:1 4 0 3 18 47 67 APC 34:2 −19 0 0 4 41 72 DG 18:1 20:0 −40 3 7 23 37 53 SM 18:0 16 1 2 9 26 56 smoker 101 0 0 3 16 49 APC 36:0 13 0 0 0 6 35 PC 24:0 16 0 0 0 3 29 PI 36:1 −24 1 1 3 11 24 PC 34:3 −20 1 1 1 6 23 LPC 14:0 −26 4 5 6 10 19 ¹lipids and risk factors combined. ²difference of mean unstable CAD value relative to mean stable CAD value. ³indicates the frequency of occurrence within the models of each size as indicated.

TABLE 25 Ranked Features in the Control vs CAD Recursive Feature Elimination Models¹ % occurrence³ # features in model Feature % difference² 1 2 4 8 16 LPC 22:0 −48 55 100 100 100 100 hsCRP 260 45 99 100 100 100 PS 40:6 −54 0 1 80 99 100 age 19 0 0 28 91 100 LPC 24:0 −37 0 0 34 73 91 PS 40:5 −49 0 0 2 62 96 LPC 20:0 −42 0 0 5 18 66 PI 34:0 −43 0 0 3 14 53 Cer 20:0 17 0 0 0 17 42 HDL −18 0 0 0 15 40 Systolic BP 11 0 0 0 9 38 modPC 877.6/6.0 8 0 0 4 18 33 PC 34:5 19 0 0 9 21 30 LPC 20:3 19 0 0 0 8 34 APC 38:6 −23 0 0 3 14 28 CE 22:4 −15 0 0 0 4 30 ¹lipids and risk factors combined. ²% difference of mean CAD value relative to mean control value. ³indicates the frequency of occurrence within the models of each size as indicated.

TABLE 26 Lipid Species Affected by Statin Use % difference % difference % difference with Control vs stable CAD vs Lipid species statin use p value¹ CAD² unstable CAD² Cer 18:1 −4.6 4.13E−02 2.9 4.2 DHC 18:1 −14.7 3.59E−02 −11.3 24.1 GM3 16:0 −14.2 3.15E−03 −7.2 1.1 PC 36:5 18.1 4.42E−02 −19.2 −10.1 PC 36:4 20.7 1.33E−02 6.6 0.5 PC 38:6 9.6 1.90E−02 −11.2 2.6 PC 38:5 15.1 9.18E−03 −8.9 −2.0 PC 38:4 21.4 1.04E−02 4.3 −0.9 PC 40:6 15.4 2.89E−02 −6.1 5.4 PC 40:5 16.8 9.99E−03 −5.3 −1.8 PC 37:5 23.0 4.27E−02 −16.6 −11.9 APC 32:0 −11.7 3.22E−02 −7.2 1.0 APC 34:1 −14.5 3.71E−02 −10.0 −2.5 APC 36:2 −18.6 3.59E−02 −27.1 −8.1 LPC 20:5 35.0 3.22E−02 −14.7 −18.1 PI 36:2 −27.1 1.86E−03 −27.9 −10.5 PI 38:4 17.3 4.42E−02 −13.0 −9.8 PS 38:4 51.5 4.27E−02 −30.6 23.7 DG 16:0 20:0 46.0 4.74E−02 −45.2 −36.0 DG 18:1 20:3 76.2 8.08E−03 64.8 −25.7 DG 18:1 20:0 54.1 3.99E−02 −41.6 −39.9 C22:3 −18.8 2.94E−02 −1.6 0.3 C22:2 −39.1 4.99E−03 −27.5 4.2 C22:1 −22.4 1.63E−02 −20.0 −0.6 C24:5 −34.7 4.61E−04 −7.3 20.0 C24:4 −27.5 5.96E−03 −3.4 2.3 C24:2 −29.6 6.51E−03 −14.7 −3.0 C24:1 −19.9 3.34E−02 −14.5 1.5 ¹p value calculated from Mann Whitney U test. ²bold numbers indicate significant differences (p < 0.01, from logistic regression adjusted for age and sex).

TABLE 27 Medication of stable and unstable CAD cohorts Stable Unstable Chi Medication % % Square p clopidogrel ¹ 18 27 1.625 0.202 aspirin ¹ 95 94 0.103 0.748 statin ² 54 88 19.991 0.000 beta blocker ³ 59 65 0.612 0.434 ACE inhibitor ³ 43 56 2.328 0.127 angiotensin-II blocker ³ 23 6 1.076 0.300 oral/sublingual nitrate ³ 31 27 0.269 0.604 Ca channel blocker ³ 26 19 1.212 0.271 heparin infusion ⁴ 0 21 14.544 0.000 low molecular weight heparin ⁴ 0 11 7.236 0.007 tirofiban ¹ 0 6 3.903 0.048 frusemide ³ 11 9 0.314 0.575 sulfonylurea ⁵ 15 14 0.040 0.842 metformin ⁵ 23 11 3.593 0.058 ¹ antiplatelet, ² lipid lowering, ³ antihypertensive, ⁴ anticoagulant, ⁵ anti-diabetic.

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1-22. (canceled)
 23. A method of treatment or prophylaxis of a subject suspected of being vulnerable or non-vulnerable to plaque rupture, the method comprising: a) obtaining a lipid sample from the subject; b) determining the levels of a lipid analyte in the lipid sample, wherein the lipid analyte is selected from the group consisting of alkylphosphatidylcholine (APC) 32:1, APC 32:0, APC 34:2, APC 34:1, APC 34:0, APC 36:5, APC 36:4, APC 36:3, APC 36:2, APC 36:1, APC 36:0, APC 38:6, APC 38:5, APC 38:4, APC 38:3, APC 38:2; wherein the level of the individual lipid analytes is different between vulnerable subjects and non-vulnerable subjects and wherein the level of the lipid analytes in the subject relative to a control identifies the subject as being vulnerable or non-vulnerable to plaque rupture; c) receiving the results of the assay of step (b); and d) providing therapeutic and/or behavioral modification to the subject based on whether the subject is determined to be vulnerable or non-vulnerable to plaque rupture.
 24. The method of claim 23, wherein the assay comprises comparing the level of the at least two lipid analytes in the sample to the respective levels of the same lipid analytes in at least one control sample selected from a first control sample from a subject that is vulnerable to plaque rupture and a second control sample from a subject that is non-vulnerable to plaque rupture, wherein a similarity in the respective levels of the at least two lipid analytes between the sample and the second control sample identifies the subject as being non-vulnerable to plaque rupture, and wherein a similarity in the respective levels of the at least two lipid analytes between the sample and the first control sample identifies the subject as being vulnerable to plaque rupture.
 25. The method of claim 24, wherein the assay further comprises comparing the level of the at least two lipid analytes in the sample to the respective levels of the same lipid analytes in at least one sample from a healthy subject, wherein a similarity in the respective levels of the at least two lipid analytes between the sample and the sample(s) from the healthy subject identifies the subject as being healthy with respect to vulnerability to plaque rupture.
 26. The method of claim 23, wherein the assay further comprises determining or determining and comparing the levels of 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15 or 16 lipid analytes listed in Table 1 wherein the level of an individual lipid analyte listed in Table 1 is different between subjects that are vulnerable to plaque rupture and subjects that are non-vulnerable to plaque rupture.
 27. The method of claim 23, wherein the assayed levels of lipid analytes are used in combination with one or more traditional risk factors selected from age, sex, smoker, diabetes, hypertension, coronary heart disease (CAD) family history, body mass index (BMI), total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein (LDL), high-density lipoprotein (HDL), triglycerides, glucose and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) to thereby identify the subject as being vulnerable or non-vulnerable to plaque rupture. 